Yahoo Finance report covering RXO Inc. (RXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why RXO Stock slipped -0.58% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
RXO Inc. (RXO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is RXO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, RXO Inc. (NYSE: RXO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $27.49 (-0.58% 1D, market cap $4.56B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RXO ranks #433 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does RXO compare to BWLP and MMYT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), RXO carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -2.9%. By comparison, BWLP (BW LPG Limited) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.12B) and MMYT (MakeMyTrip Limited) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GXO leads on earnings multiple (159.1x) while GXO leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RXO?
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Per RXO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001929561), RXO Inc. generated $5.74B in revenue (+26.2% YoY), -$100.0M in net income, and -$8.0M in free cash flow against $3.28B in total assets and $766.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.9% realized swing band)
Altman Z-Score 3.35 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RXO Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, RXO faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($23.98) or 200D SMA ($21.17) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($27.24) toward Bear Floor ($21.25).
Why RXO Stock slipped -0.58% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
RXO Inc. (RXO) slipped -0.58% to $27.49, trading at 88% of its 52-week range ($10.43 – $29.9). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 88% of its 52-week range ($10.43 – $29.9) with RSI-14 at 57.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±3.9% around $27.49 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Commercial Carrier Journal report covering RXO Inc. (RXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering RXO Inc. (RXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CNBC report covering RXO Inc. (RXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investor's Business Daily report covering RXO Inc. (RXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Reuters report covering RXO Inc. (RXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Barron's report covering RXO Inc. (RXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering RXO Inc. (RXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Susquehanna analyst Harrison Bauer maintains RXO (NYSE:RXO) with a Neutral and raises the price target from $19 to $30.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RXO)
- ✓Walkthrough of RXO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RXO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +26.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RXO today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RXO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RXO)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RXO vs. BWLP, MMYT, GXO, HAFN)
Industry: Transportation Services (22 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, RXO Inc. (RXO) ranks #433 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #288 by equity capitalization ($4.56B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GXO leads on earnings valuation at 159.1x trailing P/E, while GXO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.2% ROIC and — gross margin. HAFN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with RXO at 56/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RXO
ACTIVE
RXO Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | -2.9% | -0.58% | $4.56B | Benchmark Subject |
| BWLP BW LPG Limited | C- | 61/100 | — | — | — | -3.32% | $4.12B | /bwlp-vs-rxo → |
| MMYT MakeMyTrip Limited | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | -0.74% | $4.04B | /mmyt-vs-rxo → |
| GXO GXO Logistics Inc. | D | 48/100 | 159.1x | — | 4.2% | +0.68% | $5.73B | /gxo-vs-rxo → |
| HAFN Hafnia Limited | C | 65/100 | — | — | — | -1.72% | $5.92B | /hafn-vs-rxo → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001929561In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), RXO Inc. (RXO) reported GAAP revenue of $5.74B (+26.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.55B , and +46.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$100.0M, operating cash flow of $51.0M, and free cash flow of -$8.0M (+86.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, RXO closed FY2025 with $3.28B in total assets against $766.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.35, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $5.74B | -$100.0M | $51.0M | -$8.0M | $3.28B | $766.8M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $4.55B | -$290.0M | -$12.0M | -$57.0M | $3.41B | $798.9M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $3.93B | $4.0M | $89.0M | -$87.7M | $4.71B | $1.10B |
3. RXO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs RXO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, RXO Inc. (NYSE: RXO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $27.49 (-0.58% 1D, market cap $4.56B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RXO ranks #433 in composite RQD confidence.
How does RXO compare to BWLP and MMYT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), RXO carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -2.9%. By comparison, BWLP (BW LPG Limited) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.12B) and MMYT (MakeMyTrip Limited) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GXO leads on earnings multiple (159.1x) while GXO leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RXO?
Per RXO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001929561), RXO Inc. generated $5.74B in revenue (+26.2% YoY), -$100.0M in net income, and -$8.0M in free cash flow against $3.28B in total assets and $766.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is RXO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
RXO last traded at $27.49 (-0.58% on volume of 3,117,497 shares), positioning the stock +14.64% above its 50-day simple moving average ($23.98) and +29.85% above its 200-day simple moving average ($21.17). Across its 52-week range of $10.43 to $29.90, RXO sits at the 87.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.9% ($26.42 to $28.56).
RXO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is RXO stock moving today?
Why RXO Stock slipped -0.58% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
RXO — RXO Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, RXO scores 56 out of 100, which maps to a letter grade of D+ and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental cash engine: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -2.9% and FCF yield is -0.18%. This is the weakest-scoring pillar relative to the points available and indicates the business is not currently generating returns on invested capital or free cash flow to shareholders.
- Whale 13F flow: 18 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is the strongest pillar and signals that large holders have been building positions.
- Insider conviction: 7 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, which is weak in the rating.
- Macro regime fit: 8 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.09 and the score reflects sector sensitivity. Higher sensitivity to market swings is a meaningful factor in this pillar's weak score.
- Forensic balance sheet: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 3.35, Piotroski F is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.43. This is a relative strength, though not enough to offset weak cash generation.
For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the practical read is that the rating combines strong institutional interest and a reasonable balance sheet with weak operating returns and cash generation. The strongest upside driver in the source data is institutional positioning; the main valuation tradeoff is that the stock's forward P/E of 22 sits against negative EPS (TTM) of -0.61 and negative ROIC. The rating's verdict is "Trim," which signals the rating's view that the fundamentals do not currently support the current price level. This is an analytical framing for education, not personalized financial advice.
Business
RXO Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Transportation Services industry, per the company profile. Per the company profile, the company is described as operating in Transportation Services with a market capitalization of $4.6B. The source data does not describe specific products, customers, or the revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $5742.0M | $-79.0M | $-100.0M | N/A | $-8.0M | $17.0M | $766.8M |
| FY 2024 | $4550.0M | $-56.0M | $-290.0M | N/A | $-57.0M | $35.0M | $798.9M |
| FY 2023 | $3927.0M | $39.0M | $4.0M | N/A | $-87.7M | N/A | $1102.7M |
Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $3927.0M in FY 2023 to $5742.0M in FY 2025, while operating income moved from $39.0M to $-79.0M over the same period. Per the market data, operating margin is -1.4% and net margin is -1.7%, and gross margin is 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -2.9%. Per the Roarable RQD rating forensic balance sheet pillar, Altman Z is 3.35 and Piotroski F is 7/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.43. Debt declined from $1102.7M in FY 2023 to $766.8M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news and catalysts section, the dominant catalyst across all six items is a proposed acquisition of RXO by C.H. Robinson. Reporting from Commercial Carrier Journal, CNBC, Reuters, and Investor's Business Daily describes a transaction valued at $5.8 billion in stock and cash. CNBC characterizes it as a truck broking expansion, and Reuters describes it as pushing into last-mile delivery. A Yahoo Finance item and a Motley Fool item both describe a sharp stock move, and Investor's Business Daily reports the stock rose 25% on the merger offer. Items are labeled as CATALYST or MARKET WIRE with GREEN or YELLOW signal lights. Risk watch: the source data does not describe deal terms, approval timing, or conditions beyond the headline value. The Butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.
Open Questions
- What are the terms, conditions, and expected timing of the proposed C.H. Robinson acquisition of RXO, and what is the likelihood of completion?
- Why did the Roarable RQD fundamental cash engine pillar score 9/20 when institutional accumulation scores 18/20, and what drives that divergence?
- What is the trailing P/E and EV/EBITDA, since both are unavailable in the source data?
- What drove the swing from FY 2023 net income of $4.0M to FY 2024 net loss of $-290.0M, and what caused the FY 2024 to FY 2025 operating loss change?
- What are the composition and magnitude of the 13F holder positions and insider trades, given that the holders section is empty?
RXO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for RXO Inc. (RXO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering RXO Inc. (RXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Commercial Carrier Journal report covering RXO Inc. (RXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering RXO Inc. (RXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CNBC report covering RXO Inc. (RXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investor's Business Daily report covering RXO Inc. (RXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Reuters report covering RXO Inc. (RXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Barron's report covering RXO Inc. (RXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering RXO Inc. (RXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RXO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $27.49?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is RXO (D+ • RQD 56/100) a Buy at $27.65?
Welcome to the RXO (RXO Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 56/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Transportation Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on RXO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on RXO, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless RXO Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
RXO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on RXO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Transportation Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $27.65 (52-wk range $10.43 - $29.90), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.