Amentum Holdings Inc. (AMTM) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$21.87 -0.91% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.79

Amentum Holdings Inc. (AMTM) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $5.40B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AMTM Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AMTM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Amentum Holdings Inc. (NYSE: AMTM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $21.87 (-0.91% 1D, market cap $5.40B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AMTM ranks #459 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AMTM compare to MBGL and RELY in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), AMTM carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 81.8x, gross margin of 10.5%, and ROIC of 4.6%. By comparison, MBGL (Mobility Global Inc.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 1.4%, cap $5.58B) and RELY (Remitly Global Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 76.8x, ROIC 12.7%, cap $5.22B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXLS leads on earnings multiple (24.7x) while EXLS leads on capital efficiency (23.4% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMTM?
β–Ό

Per AMTM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-03, CIK 0002011286), Amentum Holdings Inc. generated $14.39B in revenue (+71.6% YoY), $66.0M in net income, and $516.0M in free cash flow against $11.20B in total assets and $3.89B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.79 (-0.35%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) β€’ 3.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 51.4% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510055
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (14)Macro (7)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.4% Base Target
$40 Bull$22 Base$17 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE AMTM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AMTM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY AMTM SCORES 55/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.96 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.6% FCF Margin ($516.0M FCF) & 10.5% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (67.5) create a -13 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$18.52+7.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$19.87+9.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
52
Grade C-$21.75+0.6% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$21.87-0.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (47) β†’ D+ (55)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AMTM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, AMTM faces multiple-compression risk if 81.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 82x earningsβ€”high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($19.86) or 200D SMA ($24.36) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.57) toward Bear Floor ($16.82).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AMTMβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œAMTM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 1, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
67.530 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
1.96>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
8 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE20% OF RANGE
L: $18$21.87H: $38
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (11% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on AMTM

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

4.6% ROIC with 10.5% gross margin and 9.56% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 1.96 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (48)

22/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 7/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AMTM
  • βœ“Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Priced at 82x earningsβ€”high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AMTM)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of AMTM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AMTM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.10%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $21.69H $22.07L $21.69C $21.87VOL 2.02M
RES: $22.21SUP: $16.78SMA50: $19.86SMA200: $24.36
$28.31$25.44$22.57$19.70$16.83RES $22.21SUP $16.78$21.872026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AMTM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +71.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMTM today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AMTM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AMTM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AMTM)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #459 of 1011 βš”οΈ MBGL vs AMTM Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AMTM vs. MBGL, RELY, XMTR, EXLS)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Amentum Holdings Inc. (AMTM) ranks #459 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #259 by equity capitalization ($5.40B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EXLS leads on earnings valuation at 24.7x trailing P/E, while EXLS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.4% ROIC and 38.4% gross margin. EXLS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 87/100 (A) compared with AMTM at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AMTM ACTIVE
Amentum Holdings Inc.
D+ 55/100 81.8x 10.5% 4.6% -0.91% $5.40B Benchmark Subject
MBGL
Mobility Global Inc.
D 51/100 32.8x β€” 1.4% -0.05% $5.58B /mbgl-vs-amtm β†’
RELY
Remitly Global Inc.
B 72/100 76.8x β€” 12.7% -1.99% $5.22B /rely-vs-amtm β†’
XMTR
Xometry Inc.
D+ 52/100 β€” 39.1% -7.8% -7.11% $5.78B /xmtr-vs-amtm β†’
EXLS
ExlService Holdings Inc.
A 87/100 24.7x 38.4% 23.4% +0.75% $6.20B /exls-vs-amtm β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-10-03 β€’ CIK 0002011286

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-10-03), Amentum Holdings Inc. (AMTM) reported GAAP revenue of $14.39B (+71.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $8.39B , and +83.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $66.0M, operating cash flow of $543.0M, and free cash flow of $516.0M (+1333.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, AMTM closed FY2025 with $11.20B in total assets against $3.89B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.96, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-10-03 $14.39B $66.0M $543.0M $516.0M $11.20B $3.89B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-27 $8.39B -$82.0M $47.0M $36.0M $11.92B $4.64B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-29 $7.87B -$314.0M $67.0M -$286.9M $9.44B $2.21B

3. AMTM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AMTM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Amentum Holdings Inc. (NYSE: AMTM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $21.87 (-0.91% 1D, market cap $5.40B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AMTM ranks #459 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AMTM compare to MBGL and RELY in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), AMTM carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 81.8x, gross margin of 10.5%, and ROIC of 4.6%. By comparison, MBGL (Mobility Global Inc.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 1.4%, cap $5.58B) and RELY (Remitly Global Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 76.8x, ROIC 12.7%, cap $5.22B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXLS leads on earnings multiple (24.7x) while EXLS leads on capital efficiency (23.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMTM?

Per AMTM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-03, CIK 0002011286), Amentum Holdings Inc. generated $14.39B in revenue (+71.6% YoY), $66.0M in net income, and $516.0M in free cash flow against $11.20B in total assets and $3.89B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AMTM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AMTM last traded at $21.87 (-0.91% on volume of 3,043,509 shares), positioning the stock +10.12% above its 50-day simple moving average ($19.86) and -10.22% below its 200-day simple moving average ($24.36). Across its 52-week range of $17.72 to $38.11, AMTM sits at the 20.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 67.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.2% ($20.30 to $23.44).

AMTM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell AMTM stock right now?

Amentum Holdings Inc. (AMTM) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell β€” SELL) with 55/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 82x P/E (5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is AMTM's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

AMTM's 12-month base price target is $21.57 (range $16.82 to $40.02), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 55/100 (D+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AMTM β€” Amentum Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:20:18Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AMTM carries an RQD Score of 55 and a letter grade of D+, labeled "Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of 4.6% and an FCF yield of 9.56%. A ROIC near 4.6% indicates modest returns on invested capital, while the FCF yield is the strongest cash-generation signal in the rating.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 10 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. Holder-level detail is not available in source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Individual transactions are not available in source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 7 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar is weighed down by a Beta of 1.11 and sector sensitivity, implying above-market price sensitivity to broad moves.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects an Altman Z-Score of 1.96, a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.85. The Piotroski reading is strong; the Altman reading sits in a range that warrants caution.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating implies that the cash-generation and balance-sheet pillars provide partial support, while weak macro fit and modest returns on capital weigh on the overall score. Valuation is elevated relative to reported earnings: per the market data, P/E (TTM) is 81.8 and EPS (TTM) is 0.27, so the multiple is sensitive to any change in earnings trajectory. The upside case rests primarily on the FCF yield and the improvement in reported operating income; the downside case rests on the low ROIC, the elevated trailing P/E, and above-market beta.

Snapshot

MetricValue
Price22.07
Market Cap$5.4B
P/E (TTM)81.8
Forward P/E68.7
EV/EBITDA18
EPS (TTM)0.27
Dividend Yield0%
Beta1.11
52-Wk Range$17.72 - $38.11
ROIC %4.6%

Business

Amentum Holdings Inc. is listed on the NYSE and is classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Business Services industry, per the profile section. Per the profile, the company has a market capitalization of $5.4B. Products, customer base, and revenue mechanics are not available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$14393.0M$480.0M$66.0MN/A$516.0M$247.0M$3894.0M
FY 2024$8388.0M$291.0M$-82.0MN/A$36.0M$522.0M$4636.0M
FY 2023$7865.0M$57.0M$-314.0MN/A$-286.9MN/A$2208.5M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $7865.0M in FY 2023 to $14393.0M in FY 2025, and operating income moved from $57.0M to $480.0M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 10.5%, operating margin 3.3%, and net margin 0.5%. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is 4.6%, the Altman Z-Score is 1.96, and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9. Per the RQD rating, Debt/Equity is 0.85; per the SEC financials, reported debt declined from $4636.0M in FY 2024 to $3894.0M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, six headlines were returned, each tagged YELLOW under the MARKET WIRE impact label:

  • A Seeking Alpha piece headlined "Amentum: Margin Quality Over Revenue Quantity" frames the investment question around margin quality. This aligns with the market data showing a net margin of 0.5% against revenue of $14393.0M.
  • A Yahoo Finance piece titled "Why Amentum (AMTM) Stock Is Up Today" and a Yahoo! Finance Canada page report price action; no underlying cause is detailed in source data.
  • A Simply Wall St piece referencing analyst predictions and a debelegger.nl chart-analysis page report market coverage; no analyst figures are included in source data.
  • A Stock Titan item headlined "Student support for two Tennessee colleges exceeds $1 million." is not described further in source data and its relevance to AMTM's operations is not stated.

Risk watch items: the trailing P/E of 81.8, the low ROIC of 4.6%, and the Altman Z-Score of 1.96. Proprietary signals: none are listed in the Butterfly graph. The butterfly graph reports no supply-chain link.

Open Questions

  • What drove the step-up in revenue from $8388.0M in FY 2024 to $14393.0M in FY 2025, and how much of it is organic versus acquired?
  • Why does reported net income of $66.0M in FY 2025 differ so widely from operating income of $480.0M, and what sits between them?
  • What explains the gap between an FCF of $516.0M and a net income of $66.0M, and is that cash conversion repeatable?
  • Which institutional holders and insiders are driving the Whale 13F and Insider Conviction pillar scores?
  • What is the company's actual product and customer mix, given that the business description is not available in source data?

AMTM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Amentum Holdings Inc. (AMTM) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to AMTM Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AMTM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $21.87?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AMTM 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AMTM:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $23.84 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AMTM (D+ β€’ RQD 55/100) a Buy at $22.07?

Welcome to the AMTM (Amentum Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 55/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Business Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (81.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $18.54 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $22.07

Pump the brakes on AMTM β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AMTM, but look at what you are paying: 81.8x trailing P/E with 10.5% gross margins. Unless Amentum Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.16 (+14.0%)
Spot @ $22.07

AMTM cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AMTM, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Business Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $22.07 (52-wk range $17.72 - $38.11), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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