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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / AS
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Amer Sports Inc. (AS) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$30.67 +4.21% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.84

Amer Sports Inc. (AS) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $16.41B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Amer Sports Inc. (NYSE: AS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $30.67 (+4.21% 1D, market cap $16.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AS ranks #433 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AS compare to TPR and LULU in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel), AS carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, TPR (Tapestry Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 15.4x, ROIC 79.8%, cap $23.23B) and LULU (lululemon athletica inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 7.3x, ROIC 32.3%, cap $11.32B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LULU leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while TPR leads on capital efficiency (79.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AS?
▼

For Amer Sports Inc. (AS), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #433 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.84 (+0.57%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 9.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510055
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (6)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target
$45 Bull$30 Base$24 Bear
📬 FREE AS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AS SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (55.2) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$28.82+2.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$29.58-4.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
52
Grade C-$28.17+8.9% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$30.67-0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, AS faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($28.43) or 200D SMA ($33.59) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($30.26) toward Bear Floor ($23.60).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
55.230 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.74>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
8 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE27% OF RANGE
L: $26$30.67H: $43
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground) on AS

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (55)

9.9% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.21% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 3.74 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (47)

22/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AS
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.58%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $29.24H $30.67L $29.24C $30.67VOL 4.47M
RES: $37.93SUP: $22.59SMA50: $28.43SMA200: $33.59
$38.46$35.11$31.76$28.41$25.06RES $37.93SUP $22.59$30.672026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AS Butterfly Map → + Track AS →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #433 of 1009 ⚔️ TPR vs AS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AS vs. TPR, LULU, LEVI, GIL)

Industry: Apparel (27 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Amer Sports Inc. (AS) ranks #433 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #114 by equity capitalization ($16.41B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LULU leads on earnings valuation at 7.3x trailing P/E, while TPR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 79.8% ROIC and 77.8% gross margin. LULU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with AS at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AS ACTIVE
Amer Sports Inc.
D+ 55/100 32.8x — 9.9% +4.21% $16.41B Benchmark Subject
TPR
Tapestry Inc.
C 65/100 15.4x 77.8% 79.8% +3.84% $23.23B /tpr-vs-as →
LULU
lululemon athletica inc.
B 73/100 7.3x 56.6% 32.3% +0.55% $11.32B /lulu-vs-as →
LEVI
Levi Strauss & Co
B- 70/100 16.4x 61.7% 20.9% +2.36% $8.63B /levi-vs-as →
GIL
Gildan Activewear Inc. Class A Sub. Vot.
D 51/100 32.8x — 9.9% +3.12% $7.35B /gil-vs-as →

2. AS Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Amer Sports Inc. (AS) operates in Apparel (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $16.41B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 27.6x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. AS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Amer Sports Inc. (NYSE: AS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $30.67 (+4.21% 1D, market cap $16.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AS ranks #433 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AS compare to TPR and LULU in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel), AS carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, TPR (Tapestry Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 15.4x, ROIC 79.8%, cap $23.23B) and LULU (lululemon athletica inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 7.3x, ROIC 32.3%, cap $11.32B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LULU leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while TPR leads on capital efficiency (79.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AS?

For Amer Sports Inc. (AS), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #433 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AS last traded at $30.67 (+4.21% on volume of 5,195,906 shares), positioning the stock +7.88% above its 50-day simple moving average ($28.43) and -8.69% below its 200-day simple moving average ($33.59). Across its 52-week range of $26.10 to $42.76, AS sits at the 27.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($28.80 to $32.54).

Direct Sub-Reports: AS RQD Cockpit AS 12M Forecast AS Earnings & Move AS Dividends & DRIP AS Insiders & 13F AS Whale Options AS Profit Sankey AS News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 55/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AS — Amer Sports Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Amer Sports Inc. (AS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 55/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $30.67 (+4.21% 1D, market capitalization $16.41B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.08x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.74, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Amer Sports Inc. (AS) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Apparel industry,. The company's products, customer base, and revenue model are not described beyond the sector and industry classification. Per the news wire, the company's brands Salomon and Arc'teryx are referenced in a headline. The source does not further describe how these brands generate revenue.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 55/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 2.21% and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $26.10 – $42.76 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 32.8x trailing P/E and 21.0x EV/EBITDA against 13.9% operating margins and a 1.08x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source therefore does not establish upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or cross-company dependencies for AS. Sector correlations and second-order bottlenecks cannot be assessed from the provided data beyond the sector classification (Consumer Discretionary / Apparel) and the beta of 1.08 in the RQD rating. Investors seeking to trace ripple effects would need supplier, customer, and peer data that is not present in this source.

  • Key Question #1: Can AS sustain or expand its 13.9% operating margin and 9.9% ROIC against Apparel peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (2.21% FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score 3.74) toward the $42.76 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AS's 27.6x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.08x)?

AS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Amer Sports Inc. (AS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $30.67?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $37.96 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and a Jefferies initiation at Bu

The street is overcomplicating Amer Sports Inc. (AS). The forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and a Jefferies initiation at Buy cites Salomon and Arc'teryx momentum.. With an RQD score of 55/100 (D+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $31.78.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Fair point on 32.8x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Apparel. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $22.66 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $29.43

The RQD verdict is Roarable Sell with a D+ grade, and the stock trades at a trailing P/E of 32.8 against a 2.21% FCF yield and a macro

The RQD verdict is Roarable Sell with a D+ grade, and the stock trades at a trailing P/E of 32.8 against a 2.21% FCF yield and a macro regime fit score of only 6/20.. Look at the math on AS: paying 32.8x trailing P/E for 9.9% ROIC and 13.9% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Apparel demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $25.90 before getting long.

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