CATALYSTYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Amer Sports gains as Jefferies initiates at Buy citing Salomon, Arc’teryx momentumYahoo Finance report covering Amer Sports Inc. (AS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why AS Stock surged +4.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$30.67 +4.21% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.84
Amer Sports Inc. (AS) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $16.41B
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Is AS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Amer Sports Inc. (NYSE: AS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $30.67 (+4.21% 1D, market cap $16.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AS ranks #433 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does AS compare to TPR and LULU in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel), AS carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, TPR (Tapestry Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 15.4x, ROIC 79.8%, cap $23.23B) and LULU (lululemon athletica inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 7.3x, ROIC 32.3%, cap $11.32B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LULU leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while TPR leads on capital efficiency (79.8% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AS?
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For Amer Sports Inc. (AS), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #433 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.84 (+0.57%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 9.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AS SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (29% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (55.2) create a -14 pt regime headwind
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$28.82+2.6% Next Q
47
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$29.58-4.8% Next Q
50
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$28.17+8.9% Next Q
52
CurrentGrade D+$30.67-0.5% Hist 90D α
55
Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AS Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, AS faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($28.43) or 200D SMA ($33.59) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($30.26) toward Bear Floor ($23.60).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why AS Stock surged +4.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Amer Sports Inc. (AS) surged +4.21% to $30.67, trading at 27% of its 52-week range ($26.1 – $42.76). Stretched risk/reward at 33x P/E (10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 27% of its 52-week range ($26.1 – $42.76) with RSI-14 at 55.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.1% around $30.67 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $362.7M annual free cash flow.
Live AS Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREThe Motley Fool • 1d ago
Amer Sports Chief Strategy Officer Exercises Options to Acquire More than $7 Million Shares. Is This a Signal to Buy AS?The Motley Fool report covering Amer Sports Inc. (AS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTInvesting.com • 1d ago
Why is Amer Sports stock rallying today?Investing.com report covering Amer Sports Inc. (AS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRESimply Wall St • 1d ago
Amer Sports (NYSE:AS) Stock Forecast & Analyst PredictionsSimply Wall St report covering Amer Sports Inc. (AS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREMarketBeat • 1d ago
73,000 Shares of Amer Sports, Inc. $AS Bought by Bright Rock Capital Management LLCMarketBeat report covering Amer Sports Inc. (AS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREQuiver Quantitative • 1d ago
Why Amer Sports (AS) Stock Is Up TodayQuiver Quantitative report covering Amer Sports Inc. (AS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTInvesting.com • 1d ago
Jefferies initiates Amer Sports stock with buy on brand growthInvesting.com report covering Amer Sports Inc. (AS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRESimply Wall St • 1d ago
What Is Drawing Fresh Attention To Amer Sports (AS)?Simply Wall St report covering Amer Sports Inc. (AS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 5d ago
Shares of broader consumer discretionary stocks are trading higher. Softer-than-expected November CPI may be lifting broader market sentiment.MARKET WIREYahoo • 7d ago
Amer Sports Leads Athletic Footwear This Holiday Season as Others Struggle, Bank of America SaysNike and Lululemon will see challenges this holiday season, while Amer Sports and off-price are the big winners, says Bank of America.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AS)
- ✓Walkthrough of AS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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AS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.58%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $29.24H $30.67L $29.24C $30.67VOL 4.47M
RES: $37.93SUP: $22.59SMA50: $28.43SMA200: $33.59
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
AS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +14.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AS today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AS)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #433 of 1009
⚔️ TPR vs AS Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AS vs. TPR, LULU, LEVI, GIL)
Industry: Apparel (27 Tracked Issuers)Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Amer Sports Inc. (AS) ranks #433 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #114 by equity capitalization ($16.41B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LULU leads on earnings valuation at 7.3x trailing P/E, while TPR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 79.8% ROIC and 77.8% gross margin. LULU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with AS at 55/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS
ACTIVE
Amer Sports Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | +4.21% | $16.41B | Benchmark Subject |
| TPR Tapestry Inc. | C | 65/100 | 15.4x | 77.8% | 79.8% | +3.84% | $23.23B | /tpr-vs-as → |
| LULU lululemon athletica inc. | B | 73/100 | 7.3x | 56.6% | 32.3% | +0.55% | $11.32B | /lulu-vs-as → |
| LEVI Levi Strauss & Co | B- | 70/100 | 16.4x | 61.7% | 20.9% | +2.36% | $8.63B | /levi-vs-as → |
| GIL Gildan Activewear Inc. Class A Sub. Vot. | D | 51/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | +3.12% | $7.35B | /gil-vs-as → |
2. AS Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTAmer Sports Inc. (AS) operates in Apparel (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $16.41B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 27.6x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.
3. AS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs AS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Amer Sports Inc. (NYSE: AS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $30.67 (+4.21% 1D, market cap $16.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AS ranks #433 in composite RQD confidence.
How does AS compare to TPR and LULU in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel), AS carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, TPR (Tapestry Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 15.4x, ROIC 79.8%, cap $23.23B) and LULU (lululemon athletica inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 7.3x, ROIC 32.3%, cap $11.32B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LULU leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while TPR leads on capital efficiency (79.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AS?
For Amer Sports Inc. (AS), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #433 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is AS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
AS last traded at $30.67 (+4.21% on volume of 5,195,906 shares), positioning the stock +7.88% above its 50-day simple moving average ($28.43) and -8.69% below its 200-day simple moving average ($33.59). Across its 52-week range of $26.10 to $42.76, AS sits at the 27.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($28.80 to $32.54).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 55/100 (D+)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
AS — Amer Sports Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Amer Sports Inc. (AS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 55/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $30.67 (+4.21% 1D, market capitalization $16.41B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.08x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.74, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Amer Sports Inc. (AS) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Apparel industry,. The company's products, customer base, and revenue model are not described beyond the sector and industry classification. Per the news wire, the company's brands Salomon and Arc'teryx are referenced in a headline. The source does not further describe how these brands generate revenue.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 55/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 2.21% and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $26.10 – $42.76 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 32.8x trailing P/E and 21.0x EV/EBITDA against 13.9% operating margins and a 1.08x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
The source therefore does not establish upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or cross-company dependencies for AS. Sector correlations and second-order bottlenecks cannot be assessed from the provided data beyond the sector classification (Consumer Discretionary / Apparel) and the beta of 1.08 in the RQD rating. Investors seeking to trace ripple effects would need supplier, customer, and peer data that is not present in this source.
- Key Question #1: Can AS sustain or expand its 13.9% operating margin and 9.9% ROIC against Apparel peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (2.21% FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score 3.74) toward the $42.76 52-week high?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is AS's 27.6x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.08x)?
AS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Amer Sports Inc. (AS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
Amer Sports gains as Jefferies initiates at Buy citing Salomon, Arc’teryx momentum Yahoo Finance report covering Amer Sports Inc. (AS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE The Motley Fool • 1d ago
Amer Sports Chief Strategy Officer Exercises Options to Acquire More than $7 Million Shares. Is This a Signal to Buy AS? The Motley Fool report covering Amer Sports Inc. (AS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Investing.com • 1d ago
Why is Amer Sports stock rallying today? Investing.com report covering Amer Sports Inc. (AS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago
Amer Sports (NYSE:AS) Stock Forecast & Analyst Predictions Simply Wall St report covering Amer Sports Inc. (AS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago
73,000 Shares of Amer Sports, Inc. $AS Bought by Bright Rock Capital Management LLC MarketBeat report covering Amer Sports Inc. (AS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Quiver Quantitative • 1d ago
Why Amer Sports (AS) Stock Is Up Today Quiver Quantitative report covering Amer Sports Inc. (AS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Investing.com • 1d ago
Jefferies initiates Amer Sports stock with buy on brand growth Investing.com report covering Amer Sports Inc. (AS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago
What Is Drawing Fresh Attention To Amer Sports (AS)? Simply Wall St report covering Amer Sports Inc. (AS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
AS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $30.67?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $37.96 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate The forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and a Jefferies initiation at Bu
The street is overcomplicating Amer Sports Inc. (AS). The forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and a Jefferies initiation at Buy cites Salomon and Arc'teryx momentum.. With an RQD score of 55/100 (D+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $31.78.
CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL
@ShortSeller_Dan Fair point on 32.8x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Apparel. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $22.66 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $29.43 The RQD verdict is Roarable Sell with a D+ grade, and the stock trades at a trailing P/E of 32.8 against a 2.21% FCF yield and a macro
The RQD verdict is Roarable Sell with a D+ grade, and the stock trades at a trailing P/E of 32.8 against a 2.21% FCF yield and a macro regime fit score of only 6/20.. Look at the math on AS: paying 32.8x trailing P/E for 9.9% ROIC and 13.9% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Apparel demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $25.90 before getting long.