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Stock Ratings / Energy / CNR
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Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$84.25 -3.08% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $83.62

Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $4.31B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CNR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Core Natural Resources Inc. (NYSE: CNR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $84.25 (-3.08% 1D, market cap $4.31B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CNR ranks #179 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CNR compare to HCC and BTU in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), CNR carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -4.0%. By comparison, HCC (Warrior Met Coal Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 79.3x, ROIC 1.8%, cap $4.54B) and BTU (Peabody Energy Corporation) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $2.70B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HCC leads on earnings multiple (79.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNR?
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Per CNR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001710366), Core Natural Resources Inc. generated $4.16B in revenue (+92.4% YoY), -$153.2M in net income, and $21.2M in free cash flow against $6.13B in total assets and $317.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $83.63 (-0.74%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510037
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (10)Whales (6)SEC (7)Macro (9)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target
$121 Bull$76 Base$60 Bear
📬 FREE CNR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CNR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CNR SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.5% FCF Margin ($21.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 24% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$91.54-4.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$87.31+4.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
40
Grade D$90.87-7.3% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$84.25-8.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CNR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CNR currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($92.36) and Max Pain ($88.46) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $120.54.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CNR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CNR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
43.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
1.93>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE24% OF RANGE
L: $75$84.25H: $115
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 11 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on CNR

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (50)

-4.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 0.49% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (35)

Altman-Z 1.93 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (33)

11/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CNR
  • ✓Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CNR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CNR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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CNR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.44%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $87.15H $87.15L $84.25C $84.25VOL 306.9K
RES: $108.4SUP: $86.31SMA50: $92.36SMA200: $90.76
$106.8$98.85$90.91$82.97$75.04RES $108.4SUP $86.31$84.252026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CNR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CNR Butterfly Map → + Track CNR →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +92.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CNR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CNR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CNR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CNR)

Energy Rank #179 of 211 ⚔️ HCC vs CNR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (CNR vs. HCC, BTU, AMR, NRP)

Industry: Coal Mining (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) ranks #179 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #93 by equity capitalization ($4.31B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HCC leads on earnings valuation at 79.3x trailing P/E, while NRP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.4% ROIC and — gross margin. NRP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with CNR at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CNR ACTIVE
Core Natural Resources Inc.
D- 37/100 — — -4.0% -3.08% $4.31B Benchmark Subject
HCC
Warrior Met Coal Inc.
D+ 56/100 79.3x 22.4% 1.8% -4.35% $4.54B /hcc-vs-cnr →
BTU
Peabody Energy Corporation
E 24/100 — — -2.1% -5.09% $2.70B /btu-vs-cnr →
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.
D- 43/100 — — -4.1% -3.12% $2.02B /amr-vs-cnr →
NRP
Natural Resource Partners LP
B- 70/100 — — 18.4% -1.23% $1.53B /nrp-vs-cnr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001710366 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) reported GAAP revenue of $4.16B (+92.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.16B , and +66.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$153.2M, operating cash flow of $305.8M, and free cash flow of $21.2M (-92.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CNR closed FY2025 with $6.13B in total assets against $317.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.93, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.16B -$153.2M $305.8M $21.2M $6.13B $317.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.16B $286.4M $476.4M $298.4M $2.88B $79.5M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.51B $655.9M $857.9M $857.9M — —

3. CNR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CNR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Core Natural Resources Inc. (NYSE: CNR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $84.25 (-3.08% 1D, market cap $4.31B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CNR ranks #179 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CNR compare to HCC and BTU in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), CNR carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -4.0%. By comparison, HCC (Warrior Met Coal Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 79.3x, ROIC 1.8%, cap $4.54B) and BTU (Peabody Energy Corporation) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $2.70B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HCC leads on earnings multiple (79.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNR?

Per CNR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001710366), Core Natural Resources Inc. generated $4.16B in revenue (+92.4% YoY), -$153.2M in net income, and $21.2M in free cash flow against $6.13B in total assets and $317.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CNR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CNR last traded at $84.25 (-3.08% on volume of 501,118 shares), positioning the stock -8.78% below its 50-day simple moving average ($92.36) and -7.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($90.76). Across its 52-week range of $74.75 to $114.80, CNR sits at the 23.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($78.35 to $90.15).

Direct Sub-Reports: CNR RQD Cockpit CNR 12M Forecast CNR Earnings & Move CNR Dividends & DRIP CNR Insiders & 13F CNR Whale Options CNR Profit Sankey CNR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 37/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CNR — Core Natural Resources Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 37/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $84.25 (-3.08% 1D, market capitalization $4.31B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -4.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -4.4%, and free cash flow yield of 0.49%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (7/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.93, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.09x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, classified under the Coal Mining industry..3B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) reported $4.16B in annual revenue (up from $2.16B in FY2024, +92.4% YoY) and -$153.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.51B revenue, $655.9M net income) through FY2025, CNR scaled operating cash flow to $305.8M and free cash flow to $21.2M, backed by $6.13B in total assets against $317.3M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 37/100): Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 0.49% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $74.75 – $114.80 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -4.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream links are recorded for CNR, and no sector correlations or proprietary signals are provided.

  • Key Question #1: Can CNR sustain or expand its -4.4% operating margin and -4.0% ROIC against Coal Mining peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $4.16B and free cash flow of $21.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $317.3M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CNR's equity valuation to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CNR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CNR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CNR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $84.25?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CNR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CNR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $109.53 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

A reported Seeking Alpha headline frames a buyback acceleration as forthcoming, and the Debt/Equity ratio of 0.09 indicates low leverag

Long CNR at $86.93 targeting $109.53. A reported Seeking Alpha headline frames a buyback acceleration as forthcoming, and the Debt/Equity ratio of 0.09 indicates low leverage.. Institutional whale score is 6/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $74.75 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Shorting a 6/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $86.93 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Energy.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $68.67 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $86.93

ROIC is -4% and the FY 2025 operating income swung to -$182.1M, so the business is not currently earning a return on invested capital.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on CNR: ROIC is -4% and the FY 2025 operating income swung to -$182.1M, so the business is not currently earning a return on invested capital.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Coal Mining triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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