FREE $100K
Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts

Why CNR Stock slipped -0.25% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$86.93 -0.25% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $86.73

Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $4.31B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CNR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CNR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Core Natural Resources Inc. (NYSE: CNR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $86.93 (-0.25% 1D, market cap $4.31B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CNR ranks #179 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CNR compare to HCC and BTU in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), CNR carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -4.0%. By comparison, HCC (Warrior Met Coal Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 79.3x, ROIC 1.8%, cap $4.54B) and BTU (Peabody Energy Corporation) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $2.70B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HCC leads on earnings multiple (79.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNR?
▼

Per CNR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001710366), Core Natural Resources Inc. generated $4.16B in revenue (+92.4% YoY), -$153.2M in net income, and $21.2M in free cash flow against $6.13B in total assets and $317.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $86.73 (-0.23%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510037
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (10)Whales (6)SEC (7)Macro (9)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target
$121 Bull$79 Base$61 Bear
📬 FREE CNR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CNR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CNR SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.5% FCF Margin ($21.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 30% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$91.54-4.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$87.31+4.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
40
Grade D$90.87-4.3% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$86.93-8.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CNR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CNR currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($92.36) and Max Pain ($91.28) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $120.54.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CNR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CNR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why CNR Stock slipped -0.25% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) slipped -0.25% to $86.93, trading at 30% of its 52-week range ($74.75 – $114.8). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 30% of its 52-week range ($74.75 – $114.8) with RSI-14 at 43.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7% around $86.93 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $21.2M annual free cash flow.
Live CNR Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 5d ago
3 market-beating stocks to consider right now

The best-performing stocks typically have robust sales growth, increasing margins, and rising returns on capital, and those that can maintain this trifecta year in and year out often become the legends of the investing w

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CNR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CNR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
CNR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.40%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $87.15H $87.15L $86.93C $86.93VOL 306.9K
RES: $108.4SUP: $86.10SMA50: $92.36SMA200: $90.76
$106.8$98.85$90.91$82.97$75.04RES $108.4SUP $86.10$86.932026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CNR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +92.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CNR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CNR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CNR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CNR)

Energy Rank #179 of 211 ⚔️ HCC vs CNR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (CNR vs. HCC, BTU, AMR, NRP)

Industry: Coal Mining (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) ranks #179 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #93 by equity capitalization ($4.31B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HCC leads on earnings valuation at 79.3x trailing P/E, while NRP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.4% ROIC and — gross margin. NRP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with CNR at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CNR ACTIVE
Core Natural Resources Inc.
D- 37/100 — — -4.0% -0.25% $4.31B Benchmark Subject
HCC
Warrior Met Coal Inc.
D+ 56/100 79.3x 22.4% 1.8% +0.41% $4.54B /hcc-vs-cnr →
BTU
Peabody Energy Corporation
E 24/100 — — -2.1% -0.22% $2.70B /btu-vs-cnr →
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.
D- 43/100 — — -4.1% -1.62% $2.02B /amr-vs-cnr →
NRP
Natural Resource Partners LP
B- 70/100 — — 18.4% -0.75% $1.53B /nrp-vs-cnr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001710366 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) reported GAAP revenue of $4.16B (+92.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.16B , and +66.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$153.2M, operating cash flow of $305.8M, and free cash flow of $21.2M (-92.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CNR closed FY2025 with $6.13B in total assets against $317.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.93, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.16B -$153.2M $305.8M $21.2M $6.13B $317.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.16B $286.4M $476.4M $298.4M $2.88B $79.5M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.51B $655.9M $857.9M $857.9M — —

3. CNR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CNR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Core Natural Resources Inc. (NYSE: CNR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $86.93 (-0.25% 1D, market cap $4.31B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CNR ranks #179 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CNR compare to HCC and BTU in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), CNR carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -4.0%. By comparison, HCC (Warrior Met Coal Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 79.3x, ROIC 1.8%, cap $4.54B) and BTU (Peabody Energy Corporation) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $2.70B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HCC leads on earnings multiple (79.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNR?

Per CNR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001710366), Core Natural Resources Inc. generated $4.16B in revenue (+92.4% YoY), -$153.2M in net income, and $21.2M in free cash flow against $6.13B in total assets and $317.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CNR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CNR last traded at $86.93 (-0.25% on volume of 306,889 shares), positioning the stock -5.88% below its 50-day simple moving average ($92.36) and -4.22% below its 200-day simple moving average ($90.76). Across its 52-week range of $74.75 to $114.80, CNR sits at the 30.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($80.84 to $93.02).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 37/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CNR — Core Natural Resources Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 37/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $86.93 (-0.25% 1D, market capitalization $4.31B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -4.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -4.4%, and free cash flow yield of 0.49%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (7/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.93, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.09x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, classified under the Coal Mining industry..3B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) reported $4.16B in annual revenue (up from $2.16B in FY2024, +92.4% YoY) and -$153.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.51B revenue, $655.9M net income) through FY2025, CNR scaled operating cash flow to $305.8M and free cash flow to $21.2M, backed by $6.13B in total assets against $317.3M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 37/100): Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 0.49% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $74.75 – $114.80 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -4.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream links are recorded for CNR, and no sector correlations or proprietary signals are provided.

  • Key Question #1: Can CNR sustain or expand its -4.4% operating margin and -4.0% ROIC against Coal Mining peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $4.16B and free cash flow of $21.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $317.3M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CNR's equity valuation to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CNR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Core Natural Resources Inc. (CNR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CNR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CNR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $86.93?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CNR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CNR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $109.53 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

A reported Seeking Alpha headline frames a buyback acceleration as forthcoming, and the Debt/Equity ratio of 0.09 indicates low leverag

Long CNR at $86.93 targeting $109.53. A reported Seeking Alpha headline frames a buyback acceleration as forthcoming, and the Debt/Equity ratio of 0.09 indicates low leverage.. Institutional whale score is 6/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $74.75 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Shorting a 6/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $86.93 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Energy.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $68.67 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $86.93

ROIC is -4% and the FY 2025 operating income swung to -$182.1M, so the business is not currently earning a return on invested capital.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on CNR: ROIC is -4% and the FY 2025 operating income swung to -$182.1M, so the business is not currently earning a return on invested capital.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Coal Mining triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%