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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / HYLN
MLR (57) BLBD (68) SCAG (47) GP (47) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) (HYLN) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$3.09 -4.92% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.06

Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) (HYLN) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 29/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $580.4M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on HYLN Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HYLN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) (NYSE: HYLN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $3.09 (-4.92% 1D, market cap $580.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HYLN ranks #886 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HYLN compare to MLR and BLBD in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks), HYLN carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 4.9%, and ROIC of -30.6%. By comparison, MLR (Miller Industries Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 25.7x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $577.0M) and BLBD (Blue Bird Corporation) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 13.8x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BLBD leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while BLBD leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HYLN?
β–Ό

Per HYLN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001759631), Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) generated $3.5M in revenue (+130.3% YoY), -$57.2M in net income, and -$70.3M in free cash flow against $203.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.06 (-1.08%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (29/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510029
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (4)SEC (11)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.9% Base Target
$9 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE HYLN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HYLN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (29/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY HYLN SCORES 29/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (38% of score)

Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 3/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 4.9% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
37
Grade E$3.65-13.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
34
Grade E$3.17+3.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
32
Grade E$3.29-6.1% Next Q
Current
29
Grade E$3.09-9.8% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (37) β†’ E (29)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HYLN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While HYLN currently carries a cautious 29/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.69) and Max Pain ($3.24) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.91.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HYLNβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œHYLN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 29%NO 71%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
4430 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
26.00>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE22% OF RANGE
L: $2$3.09H: $8
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 7 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning on HYLN

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (40)

-30.6% ROIC with 4.9% gross margin and -11.47% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (55)

Altman-Z 26.00 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (18)

7/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 3/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like HYLN
  • βœ“Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HYLN)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of HYLN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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HYLN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +46.45%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $3.43H $3.43L $3.09C $3.09VOL 1.48M
RES: $4.02SUP: $2.89SMA50: $3.69SMA200: $3.45
$8.95$7.04$5.13$3.23$1.32RES $4.02SUP $2.89$3.092026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HYLN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ HYLN Butterfly Map β†’ + Track HYLN β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +130.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HYLN today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HYLN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HYLN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HYLN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #886 of 1009 βš”οΈ MLR vs HYLN Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (HYLN vs. MLR, BLBD, SCAG, GP)

Industry: Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) (HYLN) ranks #886 by composite RQD confidence (29/100, grade E) and #567 by equity capitalization ($580.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BLBD leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while BLBD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 20.5% gross margin. BLBD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with HYLN at 29/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HYLN ACTIVE
Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A)
E 29/100 β€” 4.9% -30.6% -4.92% $580.4M Benchmark Subject
MLR
Miller Industries Inc.
D+ 57/100 25.7x 15.2% 5.5% +1.89% $577.0M /mlr-vs-hyln β†’
BLBD
Blue Bird Corporation
C+ 68/100 13.8x 20.5% 85.0% +3.34% $1.75B /blbd-vs-hyln β†’
SCAG
Scage Future
D 47/100 β€” -6.4% β€” +1.93% $10.0M /scag-vs-hyln β†’
GP
GreenPower Motor Company Inc.
D 47/100 β€” β€” β€” -20.99% $2.3M /gp-vs-hyln β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001759631 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) (HYLN) reported GAAP revenue of $3.5M (+130.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.5M , and +417.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$57.2M, operating cash flow of -$46.5M, and free cash flow of -$70.3M (+4.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, HYLN closed FY2025 with $203.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.5M -$57.2M -$46.5M -$70.3M $203.6M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.5M -$52.0M -$56.7M -$73.3M $263.0M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $672.0K -$123.5M -$117.0M -$117.0M β€” β€”

3. HYLN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HYLN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) (NYSE: HYLN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $3.09 (-4.92% 1D, market cap $580.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HYLN ranks #886 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HYLN compare to MLR and BLBD in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks), HYLN carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 4.9%, and ROIC of -30.6%. By comparison, MLR (Miller Industries Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 25.7x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $577.0M) and BLBD (Blue Bird Corporation) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 13.8x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BLBD leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while BLBD leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HYLN?

Per HYLN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001759631), Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) generated $3.5M in revenue (+130.3% YoY), -$57.2M in net income, and -$70.3M in free cash flow against $203.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HYLN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HYLN last traded at $3.09 (-4.92% on volume of 1,278,678 shares), positioning the stock -16.26% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.69) and -10.43% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.45). Across its 52-week range of $1.56 to $8.49, HYLN sits at the 22.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.1% ($2.72 to $3.46).

Direct Sub-Reports: HYLN RQD Cockpit HYLN 12M Forecast HYLN Earnings & Move HYLN Dividends & DRIP HYLN Insiders & 13F HYLN Whale Options HYLN Profit Sankey HYLN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 29/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

HYLN β€” Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) (HYLN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 29/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $3.09 (-4.92% 1D, market capitalization $580.4M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -30.6%, gross margin of 4.9%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -11.47%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 26.00, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks industry. Its market capitalization is $0.6B. Reported revenue was $3.5M in FY 2025, $1.5M in FY 2024, and $0.7M in FY 2023, indicating a very small revenue base relative to its operating losses. β€” describes its specific products, customers, or revenue model.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) (HYLN) reported $3.5M in annual revenue (up from $1.5M in FY2024, +130.3% YoY) and -$57.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($672.0K revenue, -$123.5M net income) through FY2025, HYLN scaled operating cash flow to -$46.5M and free cash flow to -$70.3M, backed by $203.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 29/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -11.47% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.56 – $8.49 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies are therefore β€” Sector correlation data is likewise β€” Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means the source data cannot identify second-order bottlenecks; any such analysis would require information outside this dataset.

  • Key Question #1: Can HYLN sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -30.6% ROIC against Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.5M and free cash flow of -$70.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is HYLN's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

HYLN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) (HYLN) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to HYLN Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HYLN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $3.09?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HYLN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on HYLN:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Systematic Momentum Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.29 (+32.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Balance sheet metrics (Altman Z 26, Debt/Equity 0.5) are the strongest pillar in the rating and revenue grew from $0.7M to $3.5M over t

Long HYLN at $3.25 targeting $4.29. Balance sheet metrics (Altman Z 26, Debt/Equity 0.5) are the strongest pillar in the rating and revenue grew from $0.7M to $3.5M over three years.. Institutional whale score is 4/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $1.56 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” HYLN's 11/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.50 (-23.1%)
Spot @ $3.25

Negative ROIC of -30.6%, FCF yield of -11.47%, and operating margin of -60% indicate the business is consuming cash, with an RQD score

Fading this rally in HYLN at $3.25. Negative ROIC of -30.6%, FCF yield of -11.47%, and operating margin of -60% indicate the business is consuming cash, with an RQD score of 31 and grade E.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $3.25 (52-wk range $1.56–$8.49), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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