Should I buy, hold, or sell MRX stock right now?

Marex Group Limited (MRX) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold — HOLD) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 33x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is MRX's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

MRX's 12-month base price target is $65.19 (range $50.85 to $83.07), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Financials / MRX

PIPR (63) BGC (65) MKTX (83) GLXY (25) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Marex Group Limited (MRX) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$64.90 +0.76% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $64.87

Marex Group Limited (MRX) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.77B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MRX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MRX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Marex Group Limited (NASDAQ: MRX) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $64.90 (+0.76% 1D, market cap $4.77B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, MRX ranks #412 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MRX compare to PIPR and BGC in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), MRX carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, PIPR (Piper Sandler Companies) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 17.3x, ROIC 18.3%, cap $4.51B) and BGC (BGC Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 36.3x, ROIC 15.1%, cap $5.24B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PIPR leads on earnings multiple (17.3x) while MKTX leads on capital efficiency (28.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MRX?

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For Marex Group Limited (MRX), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #412 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $64.87 (-0.05%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 2.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MRX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MRX SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (20% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 71% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 36.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$69.38+3.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$71.54-7.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$66.28-2.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$64.90+0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (67) → C- (59)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MRX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, MRX faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($71.36) or 200D SMA ($57.49) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($65.19) toward Bear Floor ($50.85).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MRX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MRX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

36.530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE71% OF RANGE

L: $30$64.90H: $79

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on MRX

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (55)

9.9% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.21% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (75)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (55)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like MRX

✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MRX Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

MRX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +24.19%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-03O $65.05H $65.05L $64.41C $64.90VOL 775.0K

RES: $86.85SUP: $62.62SMA50: $71.36SMA200: $57.49

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MRX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MRX Butterfly Map → + Track MRX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MRX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MRX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MRX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MRX)

Financials Rank #412 of 1097 ⚔️ PIPR vs MRX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (MRX vs. PIPR, BGC, MKTX, GLXY)

Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Marex Group Limited (MRX) ranks #412 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #280 by equity capitalization ($4.77B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PIPR leads on earnings valuation at 17.3x trailing P/E, while MKTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 28.4% ROIC and — gross margin. MKTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 83/100 (A-) compared with MRX at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MRX ACTIVE Marex Group Limited	C-	59/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+0.76%	$4.77B	Benchmark Subject
PIPR Piper Sandler Companies	C	63/100	17.3x	—	18.3%	+5.66%	$4.51B	/pipr-vs-mrx →
BGC BGC Group Inc. (Class A)	C	65/100	36.3x	—	15.1%	+1.60%	$5.24B	/bgc-vs-mrx →
MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc.	A-	83/100	23.5x	—	28.4%	+0.11%	$5.82B	/mktx-vs-mrx →
GLXY Galaxy Digital Inc.	E	25/100	—	—	-5.5%	-8.81%	$6.25B	/glxy-vs-mrx →

2. MRX Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Marex Group Limited (MRX) operates in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (Financials) with an equity capitalization of $4.77B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9.

3. MRX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MRX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does MRX compare to PIPR and BGC in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MRX?

Where is MRX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MRX last traded at $64.90 (+0.76% on volume of 609,107 shares), positioning the stock -9.05% below its 50-day simple moving average ($71.36) and +12.89% above its 200-day simple moving average ($57.49). Across its 52-week range of $30.17 to $79.11, MRX sits at the 71.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($59.32 to $70.48).

Direct Sub-Reports: MRX RQD Cockpit MRX 12M Forecast MRX Earnings & Move MRX Dividends & DRIP MRX Insiders & 13F MRX Whale Options MRX Profit Sankey MRX News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MRX — Marex Group Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Marex Group Limited (MRX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 59/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $64.90 (+0.76% 1D, market capitalization $4.77B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.07x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Marex Group Limited (MRX) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector, within the Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service industry. The profile does not describe its specific products, customers, or revenue model. — for detailed business description.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 59/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 2.21% and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $30.17 – $79.11 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 32.8x trailing P/E and 21.0x EV/EBITDA against 13.9% operating margins and a 1.07x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (Financials), MRX carries a macro regime beta of 1.07 and gross margin of —.

Key Question #1: Can MRX sustain or expand its 13.9% operating margin and 9.9% ROIC against Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (2.21% FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $79.11 52-week high?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is MRX's 30.5x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.07x)?

MRX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Marex Group Limited (MRX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MRX Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 5d ago

Marex Group PLC (MRX) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?

Marex Group PLC (MRX) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 7d ago

Marex appoints Kory Sorenson to Group Board

NEW YORK, Oct. 27, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Marex Group Limited (‘Marex’ or the ‘Group’, NASDAQ: MRX), the diversified global financial services platform, today announces that Kory Sorenson will join the Group Board with

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 11d ago

Financial Exchanges CME, Cboe, ICE, Nasdaq Benefiting From Sector Rotation Out Of AI Stocks

Financial exchanges CME stock, Cboe and ICE, along with Marex, Nasdaq and Tradeweb Markets, are benefiting from rotation out of AI stocks.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST ChartMill • 19d ago

MAREX GROUP LTD (NASDAQ:MRX): High Growth Momentum and a Breakout Setup

MRX scores high on growth momentum, technical strength, and breakout setup. See key levels, risks, and why this Nasdaq brokerage stock is worth watching.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 19d ago

William Blair Initiates Coverage On Marex Group with Outperform Rating

William Blair analyst Jeff Schmitt initiates coverage on Marex Group (NASDAQ:MRX) with a Outperform rating.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 20d ago

Marex Group Limited to announce third quarter 2026 results on November 5, 2026

NEW YORK, Oct. 13, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Marex Group Limited (‘Marex’ or the ‘Group’, NASDAQ:MRX), the diversified global financial services platform, today announced that it will release its fiscal 2026 third quarter

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MRX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $64.90?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MRX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $81.80 (+27.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Strong forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 7/9, Debt/Equity 0.5) provides a solid foundation for the business.

Strong forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 7/9, Debt/Equity 0.5) provides a solid foundation for the business.. When you look under the hood at MRX, Fundamental Cash Engine is 11/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 9.9% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (9/20) has been quietly accumulating below $79.11. My 12M target is $81.80.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@AlphaFlow_Cap Agree on the RQD 59/100 quality, though with 1.07 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $64.41 and keeping dry powder in case we test $59.90.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $53.46 (-17.0%)

Spot @ $64.41

A trailing P/E of 32.8 and a 2.21% FCF yield leave little valuation cushion if earnings growth slows.

Careful chasing MRX at $64.41. A trailing P/E of 32.8 and a 2.21% FCF yield leave little valuation cushion if earnings growth slows.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 13.9%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $53.46 on multiple compression.