Marex Group Limited (MRX) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$64.41 -0.98% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $64.17

Marex Group Limited (MRX) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.77B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MRX Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MRX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Marex Group Limited (NASDAQ: MRX) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $64.41 (-0.98% 1D, market cap $4.77B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, MRX ranks #411 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MRX compare to PIPR and BGC in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), MRX carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, PIPR (Piper Sandler Companies) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 17.3x, ROIC 18.3%, cap $4.51B) and BGC (BGC Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 36.3x, ROIC 15.1%, cap $5.24B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PIPR leads on earnings multiple (17.3x) while MKTX leads on capital efficiency (28.4% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MRX?
β–Ό

For Marex Group Limited (MRX), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #411 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $64.17 (-0.37%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 2.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 53.1% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk C+
Cash (11)Whales (9)SEC (15)Macro (12)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.5% Base Target
$83 Bull$65 Base$50 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE MRX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MRX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY MRX SCORES 59/100 (C-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (20% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 70% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 36.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
67
Grade B-$69.38+3.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$71.54-7.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$66.28-2.8% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$64.41+0.2% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B- (67) β†’ C- (59)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MRX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, MRX faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($71.36) or 200D SMA ($57.49) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($64.70) toward Bear Floor ($50.47).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MRXβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œMRX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±8.6%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (MRX)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for MRX.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating MRX & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on MRX
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MRX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +23.25%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $65.05H $65.05L $64.41C $64.41VOL 775.0K
RES: $86.85SUP: $62.62SMA50: $71.36SMA200: $57.49
$81.99$70.06$58.13$46.20$34.27RES $86.85SUP $62.62$64.412026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MRX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MRX today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MRX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MRX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MRX)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (MRX vs. PIPR, BGC, MKTX, GLXY)

Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Marex Group Limited (MRX) ranks #411 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #279 by equity capitalization ($4.77B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PIPR leads on earnings valuation at 17.3x trailing P/E, while MKTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 28.4% ROIC and β€” gross margin. MKTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 83/100 (A-) compared with MRX at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MRX ACTIVE
Marex Group Limited
C- 59/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -0.98% $4.77B Benchmark Subject
PIPR
Piper Sandler Companies
C 63/100 17.3x β€” 18.3% -7.14% $4.51B /pipr-vs-mrx β†’
BGC
BGC Group Inc. (Class A)
C 65/100 36.3x β€” 15.1% -1.66% $5.24B /bgc-vs-mrx β†’
MKTX
MarketAxess Holdings Inc.
A- 83/100 23.5x β€” 28.4% +0.23% $5.82B /mktx-vs-mrx β†’
GLXY
Galaxy Digital Inc.
E 25/100 β€” β€” -5.5% -11.75% $6.25B /glxy-vs-mrx β†’

2. MRX Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Marex Group Limited (MRX) operates in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (Financials) with an equity capitalization of $4.77B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of β€”, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9.

3. MRX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MRX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Marex Group Limited (NASDAQ: MRX) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $64.41 (-0.98% 1D, market cap $4.77B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, MRX ranks #411 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MRX compare to PIPR and BGC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), MRX carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, PIPR (Piper Sandler Companies) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 17.3x, ROIC 18.3%, cap $4.51B) and BGC (BGC Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 36.3x, ROIC 15.1%, cap $5.24B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PIPR leads on earnings multiple (17.3x) while MKTX leads on capital efficiency (28.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MRX?

For Marex Group Limited (MRX), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #411 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MRX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MRX last traded at $64.41 (-0.98% on volume of 774,969 shares), positioning the stock -9.74% below its 50-day simple moving average ($71.36) and +12.04% above its 200-day simple moving average ($57.49). Across its 52-week range of $30.20 to $79.11, MRX sits at the 69.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.6% ($58.87 to $69.95).

MRX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is MRX's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for MRX.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 59/100 (C-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MRX β€” Marex Group Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:11:19Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, MRX scores 59 out of 100, grade C-, verdict "Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 9.9% and an FCF yield of 2.21%. Returns on capital are positive but modest, and the cash yield is thin relative to the share price, which points to a valuation that already prices in considerable growth.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar measures institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is below midpoint, indicating limited evidence of strong institutional conviction in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is moderate, suggesting neither a clear insider buying signal nor a strong selling signal.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.07, implying slightly above-market price sensitivity to broad market moves. The score reflects moderate sector sensitivity.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 7 of 9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is the strongest pillar, indicating a reasonably sound balance sheet.

Taken together, the rating points to a business with a sound balance sheet and acceptable operating economics, offset by a demanding valuation (trailing P/E of 32.8 per the market data), a thin free cash flow yield, and weak-to-moderate institutional signal. The upside case rests on sustained earnings growth justifying the premium multiple; the downside risk is multiple compression if growth slows. The rating is a neutral stance, not a directional call, and this is analytical context rather than personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
65.05$4.82B32.830.5211.980%1.07$30.17 - $79.119.9%

Business

Marex Group Limited (MRX) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector, within the Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service industry, per the company profile. The profile does not describe its specific products, customers, or revenue model. Not available in source data for detailed business description.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's reported revenue, operating income, net income, and cash flow across recent periods, and does the trend support the premium multiple?
  • What specific products and customer segments drive Marex's earnings, and how concentrated is revenue?
  • What is the reason for the 0% dividend yield, and does the company have a capital return policy?
  • What institutional (13F) and insider (Form 4) activity has occurred, and in which direction?
  • What catalysts or risks are scheduled or pending that could move the stock from its current position in its 52-week range?

MRX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Marex Group Limited (MRX) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to MRX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟑 MARKET WIRE Yahoo β€’ 6d ago
Marex appoints Kory Sorenson to Group Board

NEW YORK, Oct. 27, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Marex Group Limited (β€˜Marex’ or the β€˜Group’, NASDAQ: MRX), the diversified global financial services platform, today announces that Kory Sorenson will join the Group Board with

Read Full Source β†—
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MRX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $64.41?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MRX 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MRX:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $70.25 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MRX (C- β€’ RQD 59/100) a Buy at $65.05?

Welcome to the MRX (Marex Group Limited) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 59/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral) in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $50.74 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $65.05

Pump the brakes on MRX β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MRX, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Marex Group Limited expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $81.31 (+25.0%)
Spot @ $65.05

MRX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MRX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $65.05 (52-wk range $30.17 - $79.11), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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