Should I buy, hold, or sell NINE stock right now?

Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 17/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is NINE's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

NINE's 12-month base price target is $6.03 (range $4.7 to $13.89), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Energy / NINE

KLXE (25) TUSK (37) NOA (46) RNGR (52) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$7.40 -5.61% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.31

Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 17/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $109.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NINE Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NINE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Nine Energy Service Inc. (NYSE: NINE) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 17/100 at a spot price of $7.40 (-5.61% 1D, market cap $109.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NINE ranks #211 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NINE compare to KLXE and TUSK in the Energy sector?

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Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), NINE carries a Roarable E (17/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.9%. By comparison, KLXE (KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.8%, cap $117.3M) and TUSK (Mammoth Energy Services Inc.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E 30.5x, ROIC -29.0%, cap $153.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RNGR leads on earnings multiple (29.4x) while RNGR leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NINE?

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Per NINE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001532286), Nine Energy Service Inc. generated $561.9M in revenue (+1.4% YoY), -$51.3M in net income, and -$23.3M in free cash flow against $339.5M in total assets and $341.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.31 (-1.20%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (17/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-18.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NINE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (17/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NINE SCORES 17/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+5/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$7.95+6.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$8.49-7.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$7.84-5.6% Next Q

Current

Grade E$7.40-12.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (25) → E (17)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NINE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NINE currently carries a cautious 17/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.90) and Max Pain ($7.77) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $13.89.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NINE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NINE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 18%NO 82%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

42.430 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

0.20>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

2 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE

L: $7$7.40H: $13

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 2 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 9 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on NINE

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (15)

0.9% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -21.21% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (25)

Altman-Z 0.20 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (18)

6/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 4/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like NINE

✓Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NINE)

✓Walkthrough of NINE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NINE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.85%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $7.86H $7.86L $7.40C $7.40VOL 7.1K

RES: $12.04SUP: $6.41SMA50: $8.90SMA200: $9.99

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NINE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NINE Butterfly Map → + Track NINE →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

26.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NINE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NINE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NINE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NINE)

Energy Rank #211 of 211 ⚔️ KLXE vs NINE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NINE vs. KLXE, TUSK, NOA, RNGR)

Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) ranks #211 by composite RQD confidence (17/100, grade E) and #186 by equity capitalization ($109.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RNGR leads on earnings valuation at 29.4x trailing P/E, while RNGR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.2% ROIC and — gross margin. RNGR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with NINE at 17/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NINE ACTIVE Nine Energy Service Inc.	E	17/100	—	—	0.9%	-5.61%	$109.4M	Benchmark Subject
KLXE KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc.	E	25/100	—	21.2%	-13.8%	-9.01%	$117.3M	/klxe-vs-nine →
TUSK Mammoth Energy Services Inc.	D-	37/100	30.5x	—	-29.0%	-2.52%	$153.0M	/tusk-vs-nine →
NOA North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par)	D	46/100	—	—	—	-1.75%	$332.2M	/noa-vs-nine →
RNGR Ranger Energy Services Inc. (Class A)	D+	52/100	29.4x	—	4.2%	-6.06%	$356.1M	/rngr-vs-nine →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001532286 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) reported GAAP revenue of $561.9M (+1.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $554.1M , and -7.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$51.3M, operating cash flow of -$7.3M, and free cash flow of -$23.3M (-1383.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, NINE closed FY2025 with $339.5M in total assets against $341.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$561.9M	-$51.3M	-$7.3M	-$23.3M	$339.5M	$341.6M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$554.1M	-$41.1M	$13.2M	-$1.6M	$360.1M	$317.3M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$609.5M	-$32.2M	$45.5M	$45.5M	—	—

3. NINE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NINE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does NINE compare to KLXE and TUSK in the Energy sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NINE?

Where is NINE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NINE last traded at $7.40 (-5.61% on volume of 64,623 shares), positioning the stock -16.85% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.90) and -25.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.99). Across its 52-week range of $7.32 to $13.23, NINE sits at the 1.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.5% ($6.62 to $8.18).

Direct Sub-Reports: NINE RQD Cockpit NINE 12M Forecast NINE Earnings & Move NINE Dividends & DRIP NINE Insiders & 13F NINE Whale Options NINE Profit Sankey NINE News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 17/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NINE — Nine Energy Service Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 17/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $7.40 (-5.61% 1D, market capitalization $109.4M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 0.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 0.4%, and free cash flow yield of -21.21%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, Oilfield Services/Equipment industry. The profile lists its market capitalization as $0.1B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) reported $561.9M in annual revenue (up from $554.1M in FY2024, +1.4% YoY) and -$51.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($609.5M revenue, -$32.2M net income) through FY2025, NINE scaled operating cash flow to -$7.3M and free cash flow to -$23.3M, backed by $339.5M in total assets against $341.6M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 17/100): Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -21.21% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $7.32 – $13.23 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 27.2x EV/EBITDA against 0.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies are therefore — Sector correlation data is also not provided. The Morgan Stanley ProPetro target cut in the news feed suggests peer-level pressure within oilfield services, but the source does not establish a causal link to NINE, so this is noted as a watch item only.

Key Question #1: Can NINE sustain or expand its 0.4% operating margin and 0.9% ROIC against Oilfield Services/Equipment peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $561.9M and free cash flow of -$23.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $341.6M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is NINE's equity valuation to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

NINE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NINE Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 22h ago

Nine Energy Service Announces Timing of Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call

Yahoo Finance report covering Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Source Energy Services Announces Upcoming Earnings Release

Yahoo Finance report covering Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

NESR to Release Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results on November 9th

Yahoo Finance report covering Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingKey • 1d ago

52-Week Low U.S. Stocks & New Market Lows

TradingKey report covering Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Technip Energies Announces Publication Date for the First Nine Months of 2026 Financial Results and Conference Call

Yahoo Finance report covering Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH ad-hoc-news.de • 1d ago

Morgan Stanley cuts target to USD 12.00 for ProPetro Holding stock

ad-hoc-news.de report covering Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

NGS Announces Third-Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call Details

Yahoo Finance report covering Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

T1 Energy Announces Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call Schedule

Yahoo Finance report covering Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NINE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.40?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NINE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.41 (+20.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Operating income stayed positive at $2.3M in FY 2025 and the stock trades near the low end of its 52-week range at $7.86.

Long NINE at $7.84 targeting $9.41. Operating income stayed positive at $2.3M in FY 2025 and the stock trades near the low end of its 52-week range at $7.86.. Institutional whale score is 3/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $7.32 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@DeltaGamma_99 Agree on the RQD 17/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $7.84 and keeping dry powder in case we test $7.29.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.88 (-25.0%)

Spot @ $7.84

The RQD rating of 18 (grade E) is driven by a -21.21% FCF yield, Altman Z of 0.2, and Piotroski F of 2/9, with net losses in every repo

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on NINE: The RQD rating of 18 (grade E) is driven by a -21.21% FCF yield, Altman Z of 0.2, and Piotroski F of 2/9, with net losses in every reported period.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Oilfield Services/Equipment triggers a 12-15% air pocket.