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Siebert Financial Corp. (SIEB) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.97 +5.35% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.99

Siebert Financial Corp. (SIEB) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $79.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SIEB Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SIEB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Siebert Financial Corp. (NASDAQ: SIEB) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $1.97 (+5.35% 1D, market cap $79.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, SIEB ranks #743 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SIEB compare to USIO and AIB in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), SIEB carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, USIO (Usio Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.1%, cap $83.2M) and AIB (AIB Data Centers Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $74.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SIEB leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SIEB leads on capital efficiency (6.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SIEB?
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Per SIEB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000065596), Siebert Financial Corp. generated $94.2M in revenue (+12.3% YoY), $0 in net income, and $9.7M in free cash flow against $759.0M in total assets and $4.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.99 (+0.77%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 10.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510047
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (11)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.1% Base Target
$4 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE SIEB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SIEB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SIEB SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.3% FCF Margin ($9.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$2.09-9.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$1.89-3.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$1.83+7.7% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$1.97-5.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → D (47)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SIEB Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SIEB currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.17) and Max Pain ($2.07) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.35.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SIEB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SIEB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 47%NO 53%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
40.430 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE17% OF RANGE
L: $2$1.97H: $4
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on SIEB

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (55)

6.2% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 12.54% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (43)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SIEB
  • ✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SIEB)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SIEB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SIEB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.88%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $1.83H $1.97L $1.83C $1.97VOL 7.0K
RES: $3.29SUP: $1.78SMA50: $2.17SMA200: $2.02
$2.94$2.56$2.18$1.79$1.41RES $3.29SUP $1.78$1.972026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SIEB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SIEB Butterfly Map → + Track SIEB →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
2.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +12.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SIEB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SIEB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SIEB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SIEB)

Financials Rank #743 of 1097 ⚔️ USIO vs SIEB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (SIEB vs. USIO, AIB, EVF, GSIW)

Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Siebert Financial Corp. (SIEB) ranks #743 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #990 by equity capitalization ($79.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SIEB leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SIEB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.2% ROIC and — gross margin. SIEB currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SIEB ACTIVE
Siebert Financial Corp.
D 47/100 — — 6.2% +5.35% $79.0M Benchmark Subject
USIO
Usio Inc.
D 46/100 — — -16.1% -3.08% $83.2M /usio-vs-sieb →
AIB
AIB Data Centers Inc.
D- 43/100 — — — -13.25% $74.5M /aib-vs-sieb →
EVF
Eaton Vance Senior Income Trust
D 45/100 — — — +0.41% $84.9M /evf-vs-sieb →
GSIW
Garden Stage Limited (Class A)
E 27/100 — — — +10.09% $97.7M /gsiw-vs-sieb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000065596 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Siebert Financial Corp. (SIEB) reported GAAP revenue of $94.2M (+12.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $83.9M , and +31.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $10.2M, and free cash flow of $9.7M (-1.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, SIEB closed FY2025 with $759.0M in total assets against $4.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $94.2M $0 $10.2M $9.7M $759.0M $4.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $83.9M $0 $10.1M $9.8M $519.7M $4.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $71.5M $7.8M -$4.8M -$4.8M — —

3. SIEB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SIEB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Siebert Financial Corp. (NASDAQ: SIEB) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $1.97 (+5.35% 1D, market cap $79.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, SIEB ranks #743 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SIEB compare to USIO and AIB in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), SIEB carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, USIO (Usio Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.1%, cap $83.2M) and AIB (AIB Data Centers Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $74.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SIEB leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SIEB leads on capital efficiency (6.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SIEB?

Per SIEB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000065596), Siebert Financial Corp. generated $94.2M in revenue (+12.3% YoY), $0 in net income, and $9.7M in free cash flow against $759.0M in total assets and $4.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SIEB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SIEB last traded at $1.97 (+5.35% on volume of 18,690 shares), positioning the stock -9.22% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.17) and -2.48% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.02). Across its 52-week range of $1.53 to $4.14, SIEB sits at the 16.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($1.80 to $2.14).

Direct Sub-Reports: SIEB RQD Cockpit SIEB 12M Forecast SIEB Earnings & Move SIEB Dividends & DRIP SIEB Insiders & 13F SIEB Whale Options SIEB Profit Sankey SIEB News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 47/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SIEB — Siebert Financial Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Siebert Financial Corp. (SIEB) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 47/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.97 (+5.35% 1D, market capitalization $79.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.2%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 5.9%, and free cash flow yield of 12.54%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Siebert Financial Corp. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Financials sector and the Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service industry. The profile describes the company as operating in that industry with a market capitalization of $0.1B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Siebert Financial Corp. (SIEB) reported $94.2M in annual revenue (up from $83.9M in FY2024, +12.3% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($71.5M revenue, $7.8M net income) through FY2025, SIEB scaled operating cash flow to $10.2M and free cash flow to $9.7M, backed by $759.0M in total assets against $4.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 47/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 12.54% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.53 – $4.14 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation and 9.8x EV/EBITDA against 5.9% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Sector and industry classifications (Financials; Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service) are the only sector context provided. Second-order bottlenecks an investor should monitor cannot be identified from the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can SIEB sustain or expand its 5.9% operating margin and 6.2% ROIC against Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $94.2M and free cash flow of $9.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $4.0M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SIEB's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SIEB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Siebert Financial Corp. (SIEB) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SIEB Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SIEB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.97?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SIEB 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SIEB:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.17 (+16.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the Roarable RQD rating, the 12.54% FCF yield and $22.4M reported cash in FY 2025 support the Fundamental Cash Engine pillar score

Picked up a starter position in SIEB in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $1.87. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the 12.54% FCF yield and $22.4M reported cash in FY 2025 support the Fundamental Cash Engine pillar score of 11 / 20.. Trading inside a $1.53–$4.14 52-week range with 12.54% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service multiples expand this quarter.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — SIEB's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.61 (-13.9%)
Spot @ $1.87

Per the Roarable RQD rating, Whale 13F Flow scores just 3 / 20 and the reported net margin is 0%, indicating weak institutional support

Careful chasing SIEB at $1.87. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Whale 13F Flow scores just 3 / 20 and the reported net margin is 0%, indicating weak institutional support and no net profit.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 5.9%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $1.61 on multiple compression.

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