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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / TIC
FLYW (64) PAYO (67) WU (52) TNET (66) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$10.27 +2.19% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.29

TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $2.19B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TIC Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TIC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, TIC Solutions Inc. (NYSE: TIC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $10.27 (+2.19% 1D, market cap $2.19B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TIC ranks #611 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TIC compare to FLYW and PAYO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), TIC carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 29.4%, and ROIC of -0.4%. By comparison, FLYW (Flywire Corporation Voting) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.8%, cap $2.40B) and PAYO (Payoneer Global Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 33.0x, ROIC 34.1%, cap $2.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WU leads on earnings multiple (3.9x) while WU leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TIC?
β–Ό

Per TIC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002032966), TIC Solutions Inc. generated $1.53B in revenue (+65.0% YoY), -$87.1M in net income, and $61.3M in free cash flow against $4.40B in total assets and $1.59B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.29 (+0.20%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510047
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D Β· Rk D
Cash (8)Whales (14)SEC (8)Macro (10)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5% Base Target
$13 Bull$10 Base$8 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE TIC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TIC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY TIC SCORES 47/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (30% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±7.9% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 66% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 60.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$9.12-1.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$8.96+11.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
44
Grade D$10.01+2.6% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$10.27-5.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (39) β†’ D (47)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TIC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While TIC currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.22) and Max Pain ($10.78) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.94.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TICβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œTIC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 47%NO 53%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
60.930 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
1.08>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE66% OF RANGE
L: $6$10.27H: $12
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning on TIC

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (40)

-0.4% ROIC with 29.4% gross margin and 2.70% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 1.08 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (52)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like TIC
  • βœ“Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TIC)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of TIC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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TIC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +10.67%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $10.39H $10.39L $10.05C $10.27VOL 1.42M
RES: $10.43SUP: $7.63SMA50: $9.22SMA200: $8.75
$11.21$9.93$8.65$7.37$6.09RES $10.43SUP $7.63$10.272026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TIC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ TIC Butterfly Map β†’ + Track TIC β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +65.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TIC today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TIC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TIC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TIC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #611 of 1009 βš”οΈ FLYW vs TIC Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TIC vs. FLYW, PAYO, WU, TNET)

Industry: Business Services (88 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) ranks #611 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #401 by equity capitalization ($2.19B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WU leads on earnings valuation at 3.9x trailing P/E, while WU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 34.3% gross margin. PAYO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with TIC at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TIC ACTIVE
TIC Solutions Inc.
D 47/100 β€” 29.4% -0.4% +2.19% $2.19B Benchmark Subject
FLYW
Flywire Corporation Voting
C 64/100 β€” β€” 1.8% -1.02% $2.40B /flyw-vs-tic β†’
PAYO
Payoneer Global Inc.
C+ 67/100 33.0x β€” 34.1% +0.14% $2.42B /payo-vs-tic β†’
WU
Western Union Company
D+ 52/100 3.9x 34.3% 85.0% +2.11% $1.92B /wu-vs-tic β†’
TNET
TriNet Group Inc.
C+ 66/100 18.9x β€” 85.0% +5.09% $2.94B /tnet-vs-tic β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0002032966 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) reported GAAP revenue of $1.53B (+65.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $927.3M , and +45.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$87.1M, operating cash flow of $95.0M, and free cash flow of $61.3M . On the balance sheet, TIC closed FY2025 with $4.40B in total assets against $1.59B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.08, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.53B -$87.1M $95.0M $61.3M $4.40B $1.59B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $927.3M $0 β€” β€” $2.21B $747.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.05B $0 β€” β€” β€” β€”

3. TIC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TIC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, TIC Solutions Inc. (NYSE: TIC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $10.27 (+2.19% 1D, market cap $2.19B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TIC ranks #611 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TIC compare to FLYW and PAYO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), TIC carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 29.4%, and ROIC of -0.4%. By comparison, FLYW (Flywire Corporation Voting) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.8%, cap $2.40B) and PAYO (Payoneer Global Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 33.0x, ROIC 34.1%, cap $2.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WU leads on earnings multiple (3.9x) while WU leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TIC?

Per TIC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002032966), TIC Solutions Inc. generated $1.53B in revenue (+65.0% YoY), -$87.1M in net income, and $61.3M in free cash flow against $4.40B in total assets and $1.59B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TIC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TIC last traded at $10.27 (+2.19% on volume of 1,427,417 shares), positioning the stock +11.39% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.22) and +17.37% above its 200-day simple moving average ($8.75). Across its 52-week range of $6.36 to $12.32, TIC sits at the 65.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.9% ($9.46 to $11.08).

Direct Sub-Reports: TIC RQD Cockpit TIC 12M Forecast TIC Earnings & Move TIC Dividends & DRIP TIC Insiders & 13F TIC Whale Options TIC Profit Sankey TIC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 47/100 (D) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TIC β€” TIC Solutions Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 47/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $10.27 (+2.19% 1D, market capitalization $2.19B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -0.4%, gross margin of 29.4%, operating margin of -1.1%, and free cash flow yield of 2.70%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (7/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.08, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.73x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) is a NYSE-listed operating company in the Business Services industry (Consumer Discretionary sector) with an equity market capitalization of $2.19B. The business operates with a gross margin of 29.4%, an operating margin of -1.1%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of -0.4% (free cash flow yield of 2.7%). Within the Business Services peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) reported $1.53B in annual revenue (up from $927.3M in FY2024, +65.0% YoY) and -$87.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.05B revenue, $0 net income) through FY2025, TIC scaled operating cash flow to $95.0M and free cash flow to $61.3M, backed by $4.40B in total assets against $1.59B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D β€’ RQD 47/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 2.70% and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $6.36 – $12.32 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -1.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The graph therefore provides no upstream or downstream dependency mapping, no sector correlation data, and no identified 2nd-order bottlenecks. A prospective investor should note that the source contains no basis for assessing ripple effects through suppliers or customers. β€” for upstream dependencies, downstream dependencies, or sector correlations.

  • Key Question #1: Can TIC sustain or expand its -1.1% operating margin and -0.4% ROIC against Business Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.53B and free cash flow of $61.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.59B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TIC's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TIC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to TIC Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TIC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $10.27?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TIC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TIC:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Growth & Tech Investor πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $11.56 (+15.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation and options positioning score 15 of 20 in the RQD rating, the strongest pillar, with heavy call option buyin

Institutional accumulation and options positioning score 15 of 20 in the RQD rating, the strongest pillar, with heavy call option buying reported in the news feed.. When you look under the hood at TIC, Fundamental Cash Engine is 8/20 with 29.4% gross margins and -0.4% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (14/20) has been quietly accumulating below $12.32. My 12M target is $11.56.

CapAlloc_Nerd πŸ‚ BULL

@SiliconVal_Bull Agree on the RQD 47/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $10.05 and keeping dry powder in case we test $9.35.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.64 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $10.05

A -0.4% ROIC, Altman Z of 1.08, and $1.59B of debt against $439.5M of cash leave the fundamental cash engine and balance sheet both s

A -0.4% ROIC, Altman Z of 1.08, and $1.59B of debt against $439.5M of cash leave the fundamental cash engine and balance sheet both scoring 8 of 20.. Look at the math on TIC: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -0.4% ROIC and -1.1% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Business Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $8.84 before getting long.

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