How profitable is TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), TIC converted $1.5B of revenue into a 29.4% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $61.3M in free cash flow (4% FCF margin).

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / TIC / financials

FLYW (64) PAYO (67) WU (52) TNET (66) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$10.27 +2.19% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.29

TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.19B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TIC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TIC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-03, TIC Solutions Inc. (NYSE: TIC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $10.27 (+2.19% 1D, market cap $2.19B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TIC ranks #611 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TIC compare to FLYW and PAYO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), TIC carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 29.4%, and ROIC of -0.4%. By comparison, FLYW (Flywire Corporation Voting) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.8%, cap $2.40B) and PAYO (Payoneer Global Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 33.0x, ROIC 34.1%, cap $2.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WU leads on earnings multiple (3.9x) while WU leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TIC?

▼

Per TIC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002032966), TIC Solutions Inc. generated $1.53B in revenue (+65.0% YoY), -$87.1M in net income, and $61.3M in free cash flow against $4.40B in total assets and $1.59B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.29 (+0.20%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TIC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TIC SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (30% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 66% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 60.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$9.12-1.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$8.96+11.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$10.01+2.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D$10.27-5.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (39) → D (47)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TIC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TIC currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.22) and Max Pain ($10.78) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.94.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TIC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TIC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 47%NO 53%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How TIC Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$61.3M (4% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $1.05B

FY24

Rev $927.3M

FY25

Rev $1.53B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$1.53B	29.4%	-1.1%	-$87.1M	$61.3M	-0.4%
FY 2024	$927.3M	29.4%	0%	$0	$0	-0.4%
FY 2023	$1.05B	29.4%	0%	$0	$0	-0.4%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TIC)

✓Walkthrough of TIC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TIC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +10.67%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $10.39H $10.39L $10.05C $10.27VOL 1.42M

RES: $10.43SUP: $7.63SMA50: $9.22SMA200: $8.75

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TIC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TIC Butterfly Map → + Track TIC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +65.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TIC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TIC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TIC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TIC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #611 of 1009 ⚔️ FLYW vs TIC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TIC vs. FLYW, PAYO, WU, TNET)

Industry: Business Services (88 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) ranks #611 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #401 by equity capitalization ($2.19B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WU leads on earnings valuation at 3.9x trailing P/E, while WU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 34.3% gross margin. PAYO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with TIC at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TIC ACTIVE TIC Solutions Inc.	D	47/100	—	29.4%	-0.4%	+2.19%	$2.19B	Benchmark Subject
FLYW Flywire Corporation Voting	C	64/100	—	—	1.8%	-1.02%	$2.40B	/flyw-vs-tic →
PAYO Payoneer Global Inc.	C+	67/100	33.0x	—	34.1%	+0.14%	$2.42B	/payo-vs-tic →
WU Western Union Company	D+	52/100	3.9x	34.3%	85.0%	+2.11%	$1.92B	/wu-vs-tic →
TNET TriNet Group Inc.	C+	66/100	18.9x	—	85.0%	+5.09%	$2.94B	/tnet-vs-tic →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002032966 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) reported GAAP revenue of $1.53B (+65.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $927.3M , and +45.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$87.1M, operating cash flow of $95.0M, and free cash flow of $61.3M . On the balance sheet, TIC closed FY2025 with $4.40B in total assets against $1.59B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.08, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.53B	-$87.1M	$95.0M	$61.3M	$4.40B	$1.59B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$927.3M	$0	—	—	$2.21B	$747.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.05B	$0	—	—	—	—

3. TIC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TIC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TIC compare to FLYW and PAYO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TIC?

Where is TIC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TIC last traded at $10.27 (+2.19% on volume of 1,427,417 shares), positioning the stock +11.39% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.22) and +17.37% above its 200-day simple moving average ($8.75). Across its 52-week range of $6.36 to $12.32, TIC sits at the 65.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($9.46 to $11.08).

Direct Sub-Reports: TIC RQD Cockpit TIC 12M Forecast TIC Earnings & Move TIC Dividends & DRIP TIC Insiders & 13F TIC Whale Options TIC Profit Sankey TIC News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 47/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TIC — TIC Solutions Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 47/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $10.27 (+2.19% 1D, market capitalization $2.19B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -0.4%, gross margin of 29.4%, operating margin of -1.1%, and free cash flow yield of 2.70%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (7/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.08, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.73x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) is a NYSE-listed operating company in the Business Services industry (Consumer Discretionary sector) with an equity market capitalization of $2.19B. The business operates with a gross margin of 29.4%, an operating margin of -1.1%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of -0.4% (free cash flow yield of 2.7%). Within the Business Services peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) reported $1.53B in annual revenue (up from $927.3M in FY2024, +65.0% YoY) and -$87.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.05B revenue, $0 net income) through FY2025, TIC scaled operating cash flow to $95.0M and free cash flow to $61.3M, backed by $4.40B in total assets against $1.59B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 47/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 2.70% and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $6.36 – $12.32 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -1.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The graph therefore provides no upstream or downstream dependency mapping, no sector correlation data, and no identified 2nd-order bottlenecks. A prospective investor should note that the source contains no basis for assessing ripple effects through suppliers or customers. — for upstream dependencies, downstream dependencies, or sector correlations.

Key Question #1: Can TIC sustain or expand its -1.1% operating margin and -0.4% ROIC against Business Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.53B and free cash flow of $61.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.59B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is TIC's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TIC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TIC Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

TiC Solutions Confirms Date for Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release

Yahoo Finance report covering TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Moomoo • 1d ago

TIC Solutions(TIC) Stock Options Chain | Quotes & News

Moomoo report covering TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

TIC Solutions (NYSE:TIC) Stock Forecast & Analyst Predictions

Simply Wall St report covering TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST MarketBeat • 1d ago

TIC Solutions (NYSE:TIC) Stock Jumps 6.8% - Still a Buy?

MarketBeat report covering TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

TIC Solutions, Inc. Estimates – NYSE:TIC

TradingView report covering TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

TIC Solutions (NYSE:TIC) Stock Sees Heavy Call Option Buying

MarketBeat report covering TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago

TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) Edges Higher to $9.69 as Buyers Defend Support - Hull Moving Average

https://www.siam.in/ report covering TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

TIC Q3'26 Earnings: revenue estimate is 615.03M USD

TradingView report covering TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TIC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.27?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TIC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $11.56 (+15.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation and options positioning score 15 of 20 in the RQD rating, the strongest pillar, with heavy call option buyin

Institutional accumulation and options positioning score 15 of 20 in the RQD rating, the strongest pillar, with heavy call option buying reported in the news feed.. When you look under the hood at TIC, Fundamental Cash Engine is 8/20 with 29.4% gross margins and -0.4% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (14/20) has been quietly accumulating below $12.32. My 12M target is $11.56.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@SiliconVal_Bull Agree on the RQD 47/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $10.05 and keeping dry powder in case we test $9.35.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.64 (-24.0%)

Spot @ $10.05

A -0.4% ROIC, Altman Z of 1.08, and $1.59B of debt against $439.5M of cash leave the fundamental cash engine and balance sheet both s

A -0.4% ROIC, Altman Z of 1.08, and $1.59B of debt against $439.5M of cash leave the fundamental cash engine and balance sheet both scoring 8 of 20.. Look at the math on TIC: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -0.4% ROIC and -1.1% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Business Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $8.84 before getting long.