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Stock Ratings / Financials / AAT
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American Assets Trust Inc. (AAT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$21.73 -0.73% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.66

American Assets Trust Inc. (AAT) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.34B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AAT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AAT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, American Assets Trust Inc. (NYSE: AAT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $21.73 (-0.73% 1D, market cap $1.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, AAT ranks #484 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AAT compare to UMH and MPT in the Financials sector?
▼

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), AAT carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.3%. By comparison, UMH (UMH Properties Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.7%, cap $1.30B) and MPT (Medical Properties Trust Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.0%, cap $1.30B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALX leads on earnings multiple (45.1x) while ALX leads on capital efficiency (25.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AAT?
▼

Per AAT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001500217), American Assets Trust Inc. generated $39.9M in revenue (-7.2% YoY), $0 in net income, and $167.1M in free cash flow against $2.92B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.66 (-0.32%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 418.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510057
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (10)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.5% Base Target
$27 Bull$22 Base$17 Bear
📬 FREE AAT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AAT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AAT SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 49% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 53.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 418.7% FCF Margin ($167.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$21.20-3.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$20.47+5.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$21.63+0.5% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$21.73-0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AAT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, AAT faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($21.68) or 200D SMA ($21.49) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.63) toward Bear Floor ($16.87).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AAT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AAT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
53.630 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE49% OF RANGE
L: $18$21.73H: $26
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground) on AAT

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

11.3% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 12.19% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (58)

22/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AAT
  • ✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AAT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AAT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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AAT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.17%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-04O $21.86H $21.89L $21.73C $21.73VOL 371.1K
RES: $22.32SUP: $20.38SMA50: $21.68SMA200: $21.49
$26.43$24.53$22.63$20.74$18.84RES $22.32SUP $20.38$21.732026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AAT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AAT Butterfly Map → + Track AAT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
0.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -7.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AAT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AAT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AAT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AAT)

Financials Rank #484 of 1097 ⚔️ UMH vs AAT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AAT vs. UMH, MPT, ALX, FRMI)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, American Assets Trust Inc. (AAT) ranks #484 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #508 by equity capitalization ($1.34B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALX leads on earnings valuation at 45.1x trailing P/E, while ALX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 25.9% ROIC and — gross margin. ALX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with AAT at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AAT ACTIVE
American Assets Trust Inc.
D+ 57/100 — — 11.3% -0.73% $1.34B Benchmark Subject
UMH
UMH Properties Inc.
D 49/100 — — 0.7% -3.40% $1.30B /umh-vs-aat →
MPT
Medical Properties Trust Inc.
D- 39/100 — — -6.0% -7.34% $1.30B /mpt-vs-aat →
ALX
Alexander's Inc.
C 64/100 45.1x — 25.9% -4.30% $1.28B /alx-vs-aat →
FRMI
Fermi Inc.
E 31/100 — — -20.4% -7.71% $1.41B /frmi-vs-aat →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001500217 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), American Assets Trust Inc. (AAT) reported GAAP revenue of $39.9M (-7.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $43.0M , and -6.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $167.1M, and free cash flow of $167.1M (-19.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, AAT closed FY2025 with $2.92B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $39.9M $0 $167.1M $167.1M $2.92B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $43.0M $0 $207.1M $207.1M $3.27B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $42.9M $0 $188.8M $188.8M — —

3. AAT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AAT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, American Assets Trust Inc. (NYSE: AAT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $21.73 (-0.73% 1D, market cap $1.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, AAT ranks #484 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AAT compare to UMH and MPT in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), AAT carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.3%. By comparison, UMH (UMH Properties Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.7%, cap $1.30B) and MPT (Medical Properties Trust Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.0%, cap $1.30B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALX leads on earnings multiple (45.1x) while ALX leads on capital efficiency (25.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AAT?

Per AAT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001500217), American Assets Trust Inc. generated $39.9M in revenue (-7.2% YoY), $0 in net income, and $167.1M in free cash flow against $2.92B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AAT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AAT last traded at $21.73 (-0.73% on volume of 411,796 shares), positioning the stock +0.23% above its 50-day simple moving average ($21.68) and +1.12% above its 200-day simple moving average ($21.49). Across its 52-week range of $17.72 to $25.97, AAT sits at the 48.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.0% ($20.64 to $22.82).

Direct Sub-Reports: AAT RQD Cockpit AAT 12M Forecast AAT Earnings & Move AAT Dividends & DRIP AAT Insiders & 13F AAT Whale Options AAT Profit Sankey AAT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AAT — American Assets Trust Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

American Assets Trust Inc. (AAT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 57/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $21.73 (-0.73% 1D, market capitalization $1.34B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 11.3%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 75.0%, and free cash flow yield of 12.19%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. (AAT) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating within Real Estate Investment Trusts. Per the market data, the company's gross margin is 0% and its operating margin is 75%, while the SEC financials report revenue of $39.9M for FY 2025.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), American Assets Trust Inc. (AAT) reported $39.9M in annual revenue (up from $43.0M in FY2024, -7.2% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($42.9M revenue, $0 net income) through FY2025, AAT scaled operating cash flow to $167.1M and free cash flow to $167.1M, backed by $2.92B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 57/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 12.19% and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $17.72 – $25.97 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh current valuation and 8.5x EV/EBITDA against 75.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Real Estate Investment Trusts (Financials), AAT carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can AAT sustain or expand its 75.0% operating margin and 11.3% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $39.9M and free cash flow of $167.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AAT's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

AAT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for American Assets Trust Inc. (AAT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AAT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AAT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $21.73?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AAT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AAT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.79 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Cash generation is the rating's strongest input, with a 12.19% free cash flow yield and 11.3% ROIC.

Here is why I am bullish on AAT here at $21.86: Cash generation is the rating's strongest input, with a 12.19% free cash flow yield and 11.3% ROIC.. Compare AAT's 75.0% operating margin and 11.3% ROIC against the rest of Real Estate Investment Trusts. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $20.77 are getting bought.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Real Estate Investment Trusts. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $18.58 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $21.86

The forensic balance sheet pillar scores lowest at 10 of 20, with a Piotroski F-Score of 3 of 9.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short AAT above $21.86. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores lowest at 10 of 20, with a Piotroski F-Score of 3 of 9.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20) and FCF yield (12.19%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $25.97.

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