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UMH (49) MPT (39) ALX (64) FRMI (31) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

American Assets Trust Inc. (AAT) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$21.73 -0.73% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.66

American Assets Trust Inc. (AAT) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $1.34B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AAT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, American Assets Trust Inc. (NYSE: AAT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $21.73 (-0.73% 1D, market cap $1.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, AAT ranks #484 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AAT compare to UMH and MPT in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), AAT carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 11.3%. By comparison, UMH (UMH Properties Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.7%, cap $1.30B) and MPT (Medical Properties Trust Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.0%, cap $1.30B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALX leads on earnings multiple (45.1x) while ALX leads on capital efficiency (25.9% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AAT?
β–Ό

Per AAT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001500217), American Assets Trust Inc. generated $39.9M in revenue (-7.2% YoY), $0 in net income, and $167.1M in free cash flow against $2.92B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.66 (-0.32%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) β€’ 418.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 52.2% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510057
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (10)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.5% Base Target
$27 Bull$22 Base$17 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE AAT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AAT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY AAT SCORES 57/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 49% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 53.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 418.7% FCF Margin ($167.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$21.20-3.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$20.47+5.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$21.63+0.5% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$21.73-0.2% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (49) β†’ D+ (57)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AAT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, AAT faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($21.68) or 200D SMA ($21.49) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.63) toward Bear Floor ($16.87).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AATβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œAAT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (AAT)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for AAT.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AAT)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of AAT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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AAT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.17%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-04O $21.86H $21.89L $21.73C $21.73VOL 371.1K
RES: $22.32SUP: $20.38SMA50: $21.68SMA200: $21.49
$26.43$24.53$22.63$20.74$18.84RES $22.32SUP $20.38$21.732026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AAT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ AAT Butterfly Map β†’ + Track AAT β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
0.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -7.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AAT today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AAT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AAT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AAT)

Financials Rank #484 of 1097 βš”οΈ UMH vs AAT Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AAT vs. UMH, MPT, ALX, FRMI)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, American Assets Trust Inc. (AAT) ranks #484 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #508 by equity capitalization ($1.34B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALX leads on earnings valuation at 45.1x trailing P/E, while ALX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 25.9% ROIC and β€” gross margin. ALX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with AAT at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AAT ACTIVE
American Assets Trust Inc.
D+ 57/100 β€” β€” 11.3% -0.73% $1.34B Benchmark Subject
UMH
UMH Properties Inc.
D 49/100 β€” β€” 0.7% -3.40% $1.30B /umh-vs-aat β†’
MPT
Medical Properties Trust Inc.
D- 39/100 β€” β€” -6.0% -7.34% $1.30B /mpt-vs-aat β†’
ALX
Alexander's Inc.
C 64/100 45.1x β€” 25.9% -4.30% $1.28B /alx-vs-aat β†’
FRMI
Fermi Inc.
E 31/100 β€” β€” -20.4% -7.71% $1.41B /frmi-vs-aat β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001500217 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), American Assets Trust Inc. (AAT) reported GAAP revenue of $39.9M (-7.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $43.0M , and -6.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $167.1M, and free cash flow of $167.1M (-19.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, AAT closed FY2025 with $2.92B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $39.9M $0 $167.1M $167.1M $2.92B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $43.0M $0 $207.1M $207.1M $3.27B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $42.9M $0 $188.8M $188.8M β€” β€”

3. AAT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AAT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, American Assets Trust Inc. (NYSE: AAT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $21.73 (-0.73% 1D, market cap $1.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, AAT ranks #484 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AAT compare to UMH and MPT in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), AAT carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 11.3%. By comparison, UMH (UMH Properties Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.7%, cap $1.30B) and MPT (Medical Properties Trust Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.0%, cap $1.30B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALX leads on earnings multiple (45.1x) while ALX leads on capital efficiency (25.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AAT?

Per AAT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001500217), American Assets Trust Inc. generated $39.9M in revenue (-7.2% YoY), $0 in net income, and $167.1M in free cash flow against $2.92B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AAT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AAT last traded at $21.73 (-0.73% on volume of 411,796 shares), positioning the stock +0.23% above its 50-day simple moving average ($21.68) and +1.12% above its 200-day simple moving average ($21.49). Across its 52-week range of $17.72 to $25.97, AAT sits at the 48.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.0% ($20.64 to $22.82).

Direct Sub-Reports: AAT RQD Cockpit AAT 12M Forecast AAT Earnings & Move AAT Dividends & DRIP AAT Insiders & 13F AAT Whale Options AAT Profit Sankey AAT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 57/100 (D+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AAT β€” American Assets Trust Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

American Assets Trust Inc. (AAT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 57/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $21.73 (-0.73% 1D, market capitalization $1.34B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 11.3%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of 75.0%, and free cash flow yield of 12.19%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. (AAT) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating within Real Estate Investment Trusts. Per the market data, the company's gross margin is 0% and its operating margin is 75%, while the SEC financials report revenue of $39.9M for FY 2025.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), American Assets Trust Inc. (AAT) reported $39.9M in annual revenue (up from $43.0M in FY2024, -7.2% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($42.9M revenue, $0 net income) through FY2025, AAT scaled operating cash flow to $167.1M and free cash flow to $167.1M, backed by $2.92B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D+ β€’ RQD 57/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 12.19% and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $17.72 – $25.97 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh current valuation and 8.5x EV/EBITDA against 75.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Real Estate Investment Trusts (Financials), AAT carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of β€”.

  • Key Question #1: Can AAT sustain or expand its 75.0% operating margin and 11.3% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $39.9M and free cash flow of $167.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AAT's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

AAT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for American Assets Trust Inc. (AAT) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to AAT Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AAT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $21.73?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AAT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AAT:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Options Flow Specialist πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.79 (+18.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Cash generation is the rating's strongest input, with a 12.19% free cash flow yield and 11.3% ROIC.

Here is why I am bullish on AAT here at $21.86: Cash generation is the rating's strongest input, with a 12.19% free cash flow yield and 11.3% ROIC.. Compare AAT's 75.0% operating margin and 11.3% ROIC against the rest of Real Estate Investment Trusts. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $20.77 are getting bought.

ArenaChamp_24 πŸ‚ BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Real Estate Investment Trusts. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $18.58 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $21.86

The forensic balance sheet pillar scores lowest at 10 of 20, with a Piotroski F-Score of 3 of 9.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short AAT above $21.86. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores lowest at 10 of 20, with a Piotroski F-Score of 3 of 9.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20) and FCF yield (12.19%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $25.97.

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