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Stock Ratings / Industrials / AAUC / earnings
BELFA (60) BGSI (50) ARIS (46) BELFB (61) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Allied Gold Corporation (AAUC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.8% Move

$18.80 -4.37% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.62

Allied Gold Corporation (AAUC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.62B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AAUC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AAUC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Allied Gold Corporation (NYSE: AAUC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $18.80 (-4.37% 1D, market cap $2.62B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, AAUC ranks #282 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AAUC compare to BELFA and BGSI in the Industrials sector?
▼

Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), AAUC carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BELFA (Bel Fuse Inc. (Class A)) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 36.5x, ROIC 15.5%, cap $2.73B) and BGSI (Boyd Group Services Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.34B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BELFA leads on earnings multiple (36.5x) while BELFA leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AAUC?
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For Allied Gold Corporation (AAUC), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #282 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.62 (-0.98%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 1.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510045
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.9% Base Target
$34 Bull$18 Base$14 Bear
📬 FREE AAUC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AAUC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AAUC SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 1.8% FCF Margin ($73.4M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$20.32+1.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$20.70-1.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$20.32-7.5% Next Q
Current
45
Grade D$18.80-6.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AAUC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AAUC currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($21.35) and Max Pain ($19.74) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $33.81.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AAUC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AAUC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Upcoming Quarter (~28 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.8% Swing Band

±$1.65 Expected Swing
$17.15 (-8.8%)Spot $18.80$20.45 (+8.8%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

AAUC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 45/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (45/100)Model Risk Weight (55/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AAUC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AAUC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AAUC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.55%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $19.66H $19.66L $18.80C $18.80VOL 521.2K
RES: $20.40SUP: $18.35SMA50: $21.35SMA200: $26.02
$32.20$28.06$23.92$19.78$15.65RES $20.40SUP $18.35$18.802026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AAUC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AAUC Butterfly Map → + Track AAUC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AAUC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AAUC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AAUC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AAUC)

Industrials Rank #282 of 485 ⚔️ BELFA vs AAUC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (AAUC vs. BELFA, BGSI, ARIS, BELFB)

Industry: Diversified Equities (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Allied Gold Corporation (AAUC) ranks #282 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #191 by equity capitalization ($2.62B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BELFA leads on earnings valuation at 36.5x trailing P/E, while BELFA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.5% ROIC and 39.1% gross margin. BELFB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with AAUC at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AAUC ACTIVE
Allied Gold Corporation
D 45/100 — — — -4.37% $2.62B Benchmark Subject
BELFA
Bel Fuse Inc. (Class A)
C- 60/100 36.5x 39.1% 15.5% +0.90% $2.73B /belfa-vs-aauc →
BGSI
Boyd Group Services Inc.
D 50/100 — — — +0.91% $2.34B /bgsi-vs-aauc →
ARIS
Aris Mining Corporation
D 46/100 — — — -9.13% $2.98B /aris-vs-aauc →
BELFB
Bel Fuse Inc.
C- 61/100 45.9x 39.1% 15.5% +0.18% $3.41B /belfb-vs-aauc →

2. AAUC Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Allied Gold Corporation (AAUC) operates in Diversified Equities (Industrials) with an equity capitalization of $2.62B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. AAUC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AAUC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Allied Gold Corporation (NYSE: AAUC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $18.80 (-4.37% 1D, market cap $2.62B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, AAUC ranks #282 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AAUC compare to BELFA and BGSI in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), AAUC carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BELFA (Bel Fuse Inc. (Class A)) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 36.5x, ROIC 15.5%, cap $2.73B) and BGSI (Boyd Group Services Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.34B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BELFA leads on earnings multiple (36.5x) while BELFA leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AAUC?

For Allied Gold Corporation (AAUC), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #282 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AAUC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AAUC last traded at $18.80 (-4.37% on volume of 521,238 shares), positioning the stock -11.94% below its 50-day simple moving average ($21.35) and -27.75% below its 200-day simple moving average ($26.02). Across its 52-week range of $14.60 to $32.20, AAUC sits at the 23.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.8% ($17.15 to $20.45).

AAUC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is AAUC's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Allied Gold Corporation (AAUC)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Upcoming Quarter.

How much is AAUC stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8.8% event move for AAUC, spanning a range between $17.15 and $20.45.

Direct Sub-Reports: AAUC RQD Cockpit AAUC 12M Forecast AAUC Earnings & Move AAUC Dividends & DRIP AAUC Insiders & 13F AAUC Whale Options AAUC Profit Sankey AAUC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 45/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AAUC — Allied Gold Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:12:12Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD rating is 46 out of 20-point pillars totaling 100, graded D and labeled "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning" (per the Roarable RQD rating). Across its five pillars:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20 — ROIC 0% and FCF yield 0% (per the Roarable RQD rating). The rating records no current return on invested capital or free-cash-flow yield, meaning the pillar's score does not rest on cash generation at present.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 4 / 20 — Reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning (per the Roarable RQD rating). This is the lowest pillar score and indicates weak institutional-flow support.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20 — Reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow (per the Roarable RQD rating). The source does not itemize specific transactions.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20 — Beta 1.0 with sector sensitivity (per the Roarable RQD rating). A beta of 1.0 means the stock is rated as moving in line with the broad market, with sector sensitivity adding a further consideration.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20 — Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, Debt/Equity 0.5 (per the Roarable RQD rating). This is the strongest pillar relative to its maximum, reflecting a comparatively steadier balance-sheet profile than the cash and flow pillars.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to weak cash-return metrics and weak institutional-flow support, partly offset by a moderate balance-sheet read. The stated verdict is a distribution warning, which the investor should weigh as an analytical signal rather than a recommendation.

Business

Allied Gold Corporation (AAUC) is listed on the NYSE and classified in the Industrials sector, within the Diversified Equities industry (per the company profile). The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. Its market capitalization is listed at $2.7B (per the company profile and market data).

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news feed contains six items, all tagged to AAUC (per the recent news and catalysts section):

  • A "Stocks in play" market-wire report from Yahoo! Finance Canada, flagged YELLOW / MARKET WIRE, covering market action and institutional positioning.
  • A Seeking Alpha item on a Mining Forum Americas 2026 presentation dated 2026-10-08, flagged YELLOW / MARKET WIRE.
  • A TradingView estimates item, flagged YELLOW / MARKET WIRE.
  • A Seeking Alpha piece headlined "High Risk, Heavy NAV Discount, Short Timeline To Production Jump," flagged GREEN / CATALYST. This is the only item carrying a catalyst designation in the feed.
  • A MarketBeat item on analyst commentary, flagged YELLOW / MARKET WIRE.
  • A kalkine.ca "TSX Stock Watch" item, flagged YELLOW / MARKET WIRE.

Most items are generic market-wire coverage without specific fundamental detail in the source. The one GREEN catalyst item's headline references a high-risk profile, a heavy NAV discount, and a production timeline, but the source does not provide the underlying figures. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals (per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph).

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The source therefore does not establish any upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks for AAUC. Investors should treat the absence of mapped links as a gap in the available data rather than evidence that none exist.

Open Questions

  • What are AAUC's reported revenue, operating income, net income, EPS, free cash flow, cash, and debt across recent periods? The source provides none of these.
  • Why are the reported margins and ROIC recorded at 0%, and does that reflect a true absence of profitability or a data limitation?
  • What is the underlying basis of the GREEN catalyst item referencing a production timeline and NAV discount?
  • What do the SEC Form 4 insider and 13F institutional filings show, given the holders section is unpopulated?
  • What is the company's actual business model, product mix, and principal customers, which the profile does not describe?

AAUC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Allied Gold Corporation (AAUC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AAUC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AAUC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $18.80?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AAUC 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AAUC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $21.23 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AAUC (D • RQD 46/100) a Buy at $19.66?

Welcome to the AAUC (Allied Gold Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 46/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Diversified Equities. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.75 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $19.66

Pump the brakes on AAUC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AAUC, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Allied Gold Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $23.20 (+18.0%)
Spot @ $19.66

AAUC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AAUC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Diversified Equities and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $19.66 (52-wk range $14.60 - $32.20), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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