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Stock Ratings / Financials / ABTC / forecast
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American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$6.15 -7.38% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.06

American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 23/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $483.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ABTC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ABTC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (NASDAQ: ABTC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $6.15 (-7.38% 1D, market cap $483.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, ABTC ranks #1072 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ABTC compare to FWDI and OPFI in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), ABTC carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -27.1%. By comparison, FWDI (Forward Industries Inc.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.8%, cap $484.4M) and OPFI (OppFi Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 19.0x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $478.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OPRT leads on earnings multiple (18.2x) while OPFI leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABTC?
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Per ABTC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001755953), American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) generated $185.2M in revenue (+158.8% YoY), -$153.2M in net income, and -$79.6M in free cash flow against $1.25B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.06 (-1.52%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (23/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510023
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (6)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.8% Base Target
$84 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE ABTC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ABTC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (23/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ABTC SCORES 23/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (35% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+6/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
31
Grade E$8.66-11.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
28
Grade E$7.68+0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
26
Grade E$7.75-20.6% Next Q
Current
23
Grade E$6.15-11.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (31) → E (23)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ABTC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ABTC currently carries a cautious 23/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.30) and Max Pain ($6.46) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $84.38.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ABTC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ABTC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 23%NO 77%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ABTC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $6.15: 1626.0 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $4.04
$6,569
$-3,431 (-34.3%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $5.18
$8,423
$-1,577 (-15.8%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $84.38
$137,203
+$127,203 (+1272.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$574%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$7969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$558%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ABTC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ABTC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ABTC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -64.96%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $7.50H $7.50L $6.15C $6.15VOL 1.27M
RES: $8.46SUP: $7.62SMA50: $8.30SMA200: $12.42
$57.42$43.19$28.96$14.73$0.50RES $8.46SUP $7.62$6.152026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ABTC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ABTC Butterfly Map → + Track ABTC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +158.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ABTC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ABTC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ABTC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ABTC)

Financials Rank #1072 of 1097 ⚔️ FWDI vs ABTC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ABTC vs. FWDI, OPFI, WYFI, OPRT)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) ranks #1072 by composite RQD confidence (23/100, grade E) and #710 by equity capitalization ($483.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OPRT leads on earnings valuation at 18.2x trailing P/E, while OPFI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. OPRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with ABTC at 23/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ABTC ACTIVE
American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A)
E 23/100 — — -27.1% -7.38% $483.5M Benchmark Subject
FWDI
Forward Industries Inc.
E 29/100 — — -0.8% -5.67% $484.4M /fwdi-vs-abtc →
OPFI
OppFi Inc. (Class A)
D 50/100 19.0x — 85.0% -0.36% $478.9M /opfi-vs-abtc →
WYFI
WhiteFiber Inc.
E 30/100 — — -5.8% -10.62% $469.1M /wyfi-vs-abtc →
OPRT
Oportun Financial Corporation
C 64/100 18.2x — 6.5% +0.30% $454.8M /oprt-vs-abtc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001755953 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) reported GAAP revenue of $185.2M (+158.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $71.5M , and +185.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$153.2M, operating cash flow of -$79.6M, and free cash flow of -$79.6M (-31.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ABTC closed FY2025 with $1.25B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $185.2M -$153.2M -$79.6M -$79.6M $1.25B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $71.5M -$21.3M -$54.0M -$60.6M $1.11B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $65.0M -$28.6M -$56.0M -$56.0M — —

3. ABTC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ABTC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (NASDAQ: ABTC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $6.15 (-7.38% 1D, market cap $483.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, ABTC ranks #1072 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ABTC compare to FWDI and OPFI in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), ABTC carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -27.1%. By comparison, FWDI (Forward Industries Inc.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.8%, cap $484.4M) and OPFI (OppFi Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 19.0x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $478.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OPRT leads on earnings multiple (18.2x) while OPFI leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABTC?

Per ABTC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001755953), American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) generated $185.2M in revenue (+158.8% YoY), -$153.2M in net income, and -$79.6M in free cash flow against $1.25B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ABTC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ABTC last traded at $6.15 (-7.38% on volume of 869,648 shares), positioning the stock -25.90% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.30) and -50.48% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.42). Across its 52-week range of $4.92 to $80.36, ABTC sits at the 1.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($5.38 to $6.92).

Direct Sub-Reports: ABTC RQD Cockpit ABTC 12M Forecast ABTC Earnings & Move ABTC Dividends & DRIP ABTC Insiders & 13F ABTC Whale Options ABTC Profit Sankey ABTC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 23/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ABTC — American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 23/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $6.15 (-7.38% 1D, market capitalization $483.5M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -27.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -14.58%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) is listed on NASDAQ and classified under the Financials sector and the Finance: Consumer Services industry. The company profile is the only descriptive source provided.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) reported $185.2M in annual revenue (up from $71.5M in FY2024, +158.8% YoY) and -$153.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($65.0M revenue, -$28.6M net income) through FY2025, ABTC scaled operating cash flow to -$79.6M and free cash flow to -$79.6M, backed by $1.25B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 23/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -14.58% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.92 – $80.36 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Finance: Consumer Services (Financials), ABTC carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can ABTC sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -27.1% ROIC against Finance: Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $185.2M and free cash flow of -$79.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ABTC's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ABTC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ABTC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ABTC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $6.15?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ABTC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ABTC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $7.84 (+18.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Analysts are reworking bitcoin fair-value assumptions and one cited target of $22 sits well above the $7.5 price.

Here is why I am bullish on ABTC here at $6.64: Analysts are reworking bitcoin fair-value assumptions and one cited target of $22 sits well above the $7.5 price.. Compare ABTC's -60.0% operating margin and -27.1% ROIC against the rest of Finance: Consumer Services. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $6.31 are getting bought.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — ABTC's 8/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.44 (-18.1%)
Spot @ $6.64

ROIC of -27.1%, FCF yield of -14.58%, and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signal weak cash generation and fundamental health.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short ABTC above $6.64. ROIC of -27.1%, FCF yield of -14.58%, and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signal weak cash generation and fundamental health.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20) and FCF yield (-14.58%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $80.36.

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