Yahoo Finance report covering American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why ABTC Stock dropped -7.38% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 23/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is ABTC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (NASDAQ: ABTC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $6.15 (-7.38% 1D, market cap $483.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, ABTC ranks #1072 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does ABTC compare to FWDI and OPFI in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), ABTC carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -27.1%. By comparison, FWDI (Forward Industries Inc.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.8%, cap $484.4M) and OPFI (OppFi Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 19.0x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $478.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OPRT leads on earnings multiple (18.2x) while OPFI leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABTC?
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Per ABTC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001755953), American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) generated $185.2M in revenue (+158.8% YoY), -$153.2M in net income, and -$79.6M in free cash flow against $1.25B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ABTC Turnaround Squeeze
While ABTC currently carries a cautious 23/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.30) and Max Pain ($6.46) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $84.38.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why ABTC Stock dropped -7.38% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) dropped -7.38% to $6.15, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($4.92 – $80.36). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-27% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($4.92 – $80.36) with RSI-14 at 41 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $6.15 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Seeking Alpha report covering American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stocktwits report covering American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CoinMarketCap report covering American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Hut 8 remains a Buy as AI infrastructure growth, Bitcoin tailwinds, and diversified compute revenue support a potential rebound. See more on HUT stock here.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ABTC)
- ✓Walkthrough of ABTC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
ABTC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +158.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ABTC today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ABTC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ABTC)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ABTC vs. FWDI, OPFI, WYFI, OPRT)
Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) ranks #1072 by composite RQD confidence (23/100, grade E) and #710 by equity capitalization ($483.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OPRT leads on earnings valuation at 18.2x trailing P/E, while OPFI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. OPRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with ABTC at 23/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABTC
ACTIVE
American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) | E | 23/100 | — | — | -27.1% | -7.38% | $483.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| FWDI Forward Industries Inc. | E | 29/100 | — | — | -0.8% | -5.67% | $484.4M | /fwdi-vs-abtc → |
| OPFI OppFi Inc. (Class A) | D | 50/100 | 19.0x | — | 85.0% | -0.36% | $478.9M | /opfi-vs-abtc → |
| WYFI WhiteFiber Inc. | E | 30/100 | — | — | -5.8% | -10.62% | $469.1M | /wyfi-vs-abtc → |
| OPRT Oportun Financial Corporation | C | 64/100 | 18.2x | — | 6.5% | +0.30% | $454.8M | /oprt-vs-abtc → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001755953 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) reported GAAP revenue of $185.2M (+158.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $71.5M , and +185.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$153.2M, operating cash flow of -$79.6M, and free cash flow of -$79.6M (-31.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ABTC closed FY2025 with $1.25B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $185.2M | -$153.2M | -$79.6M | -$79.6M | $1.25B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $71.5M | -$21.3M | -$54.0M | -$60.6M | $1.11B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $65.0M | -$28.6M | -$56.0M | -$56.0M | — | — |
3. ABTC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ABTC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (NASDAQ: ABTC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $6.15 (-7.38% 1D, market cap $483.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, ABTC ranks #1072 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ABTC compare to FWDI and OPFI in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), ABTC carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -27.1%. By comparison, FWDI (Forward Industries Inc.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.8%, cap $484.4M) and OPFI (OppFi Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 19.0x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $478.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OPRT leads on earnings multiple (18.2x) while OPFI leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABTC?
Per ABTC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001755953), American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) generated $185.2M in revenue (+158.8% YoY), -$153.2M in net income, and -$79.6M in free cash flow against $1.25B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ABTC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ABTC last traded at $6.15 (-7.38% on volume of 869,648 shares), positioning the stock -25.90% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.30) and -50.48% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.42). Across its 52-week range of $4.92 to $80.36, ABTC sits at the 1.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($5.38 to $6.92).
ABTC — American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 23/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $6.15 (-7.38% 1D, market capitalization $483.5M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -27.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -14.58%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) is listed on NASDAQ and classified under the Financials sector and the Finance: Consumer Services industry. The company profile is the only descriptive source provided.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) reported $185.2M in annual revenue (up from $71.5M in FY2024, +158.8% YoY) and -$153.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($65.0M revenue, -$28.6M net income) through FY2025, ABTC scaled operating cash flow to -$79.6M and free cash flow to -$79.6M, backed by $1.25B in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 23/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -14.58% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.92 – $80.36 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Operating in Finance: Consumer Services (Financials), ABTC carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.
- Key Question #1: Can ABTC sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -27.1% ROIC against Finance: Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $185.2M and free cash flow of -$79.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is ABTC's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
ABTC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stocktwits report covering American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CoinMarketCap report covering American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ABTC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $6.15?
Analysts are reworking bitcoin fair-value assumptions and one cited target of $22 sits well above the $7.5 price.
Here is why I am bullish on ABTC here at $6.64: Analysts are reworking bitcoin fair-value assumptions and one cited target of $22 sits well above the $7.5 price.. Compare ABTC's -60.0% operating margin and -27.1% ROIC against the rest of Finance: Consumer Services. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $6.31 are getting bought.
Both sides have a point here — ABTC's 8/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
ROIC of -27.1%, FCF yield of -14.58%, and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signal weak cash generation and fundamental health.
Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short ABTC above $6.64. ROIC of -27.1%, FCF yield of -14.58%, and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signal weak cash generation and fundamental health.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20) and FCF yield (-14.58%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $80.36.