ADI Global Distribution Inc. (ADIG) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$17.48 -1.19% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.41

ADI Global Distribution Inc. (ADIG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.34B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ADIG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, ADI Global Distribution Inc. (NYSE: ADIG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $17.48 (-1.19% 1D, market cap $1.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ADIG compare to REZI and BXC in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Wholesale Distributors), ADIG carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, REZI (Resideo Technologies Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.8%, cap $2.85B) and BXC (Bluelinx Holdings Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.9%, cap $615.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRS leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while REZI leads on capital efficiency (8.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADIG?
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Per ADIG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002105139), ADI Global Distribution Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $4.15B in total assets and $1.19B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.41 (-0.40%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510045
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (5)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.8% Base Target
$33 Bull$16 Base$13 Bear
📬 FREE ADIG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ADIG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ADIG SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.9% FCF Margin ($37.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
37
Grade E$16.95-10.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
40
Grade D$15.22+7.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
42
Grade D$16.36+6.8% Next Q
Current
45
Grade D$17.48-6.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (37) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ADIG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ADIG currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($18.95) and Max Pain ($18.35) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $32.54.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ADIG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ADIG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
51.930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE16% OF RANGE
L: $15$17.48H: $31
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on ADIG

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (50)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (37)

14/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ADIG
  • ✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ADIG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ADIG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ADIG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -16.76%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $17.31H $17.69L $17.31C $17.48VOL 367.2K
RES: $17.68SUP: $13.01SMA50: $18.95SMA200: $20.10
$32.11$27.47$22.84$18.20$13.56RES $17.68SUP $13.01$17.482026-07-302026-08-212026-09-162026-10-082026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ADIG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ADIG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ADIG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ADIG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ADIG)

Industrials Rank #296 of 485 ⚔️ REZI vs ADIG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ADIG vs. REZI, BXC, AMPX, TRS)

Industry: Wholesale Distributors (3 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ADI Global Distribution Inc. (ADIG) ranks #296 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #231 by equity capitalization ($1.34B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TRS leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while REZI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.8% ROIC and 29.4% gross margin. BXC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with ADIG at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ADIG ACTIVE
ADI Global Distribution Inc.
D 45/100 — — — -1.19% $1.34B Benchmark Subject
REZI
Resideo Technologies Inc.
D- 35/100 — 29.4% 8.8% -0.37% $2.85B /rezi-vs-adig →
BXC
Bluelinx Holdings Inc.
C 64/100 — 15.3% 4.9% +0.98% $615.1M /bxc-vs-adig →
AMPX
Amprius Technologies Inc.
E 34/100 — 11.5% -35.0% -6.02% $1.34B /ampx-vs-adig →
TRS
TriMas Corporation
D+ 53/100 11.5x 21.4% 4.8% -1.40% $1.39B /trs-vs-adig →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002105139

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ADI Global Distribution Inc. (ADIG) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, ADIG closed FY2025 with $4.15B in total assets against $1.19B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $0 — — $4.15B $1.19B

3. ADIG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ADIG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, ADI Global Distribution Inc. (NYSE: ADIG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $17.48 (-1.19% 1D, market cap $1.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

How does ADIG compare to REZI and BXC in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Wholesale Distributors), ADIG carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, REZI (Resideo Technologies Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.8%, cap $2.85B) and BXC (Bluelinx Holdings Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.9%, cap $615.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRS leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while REZI leads on capital efficiency (8.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADIG?

Per ADIG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002105139), ADI Global Distribution Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $4.15B in total assets and $1.19B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ADIG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ADIG last traded at $17.48 (-1.19% on volume of 531,918 shares), positioning the stock -7.76% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.95) and -13.03% below its 200-day simple moving average ($20.10). Across its 52-week range of $15.00 to $30.99, ADIG sits at the 15.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.9% ($15.40 to $19.56).

ADIG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ADIG stock right now?

ADI Global Distribution Inc. (ADIG) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 45/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is ADIG's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ADIG's 12-month base price target is $16.46 (range $12.84 to $32.54), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 45/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ADIG — ADI Global Distribution Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:13:45Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ADIG scores 45 out of 100, earning a letter grade of D and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10 / 20): Reported ROIC of 0% and FCF yield of 0% weigh heavily here. For a prospective investor, this means the source data shows no measurable return on invested capital and no free-cash-flow yield to support the current valuation.
  • Whale 13F Flow (5 / 20): Institutional accumulation and options positioning score low. The source data does not provide holdings detail, so the score reflects weak institutional support as measured by the rating, not a visible holdings list.
  • Insider Conviction (9 / 20): SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow scores low, indicating limited observable insider conviction in the rating's methodology.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8 / 20): Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity produce a middling-to-weak macro fit score. A beta of 1.0 implies market-level sensitivity to broad moves rather than a defensive profile.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (13 / 20): This is the strongest pillar, reflecting Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.7. Balance-sheet quality is the most supportive element of the rating.

Taken together, the rating frames ADIG as a name where the balance sheet is relatively sound but earnings-based and cash-based return metrics, institutional support, and insider signals are weak. Upside drivers would need to come from a turn in cash generation or sentiment; the rating does not show either today. The 52-week range of $15 to $30.99 against a price of $17.69 places the stock in the lower part of its recent range, which the rating's distribution-warning verdict is consistent with, though it is not a valuation conclusion. This is educational analysis, not personalized financial advice.

Business

ADI Global Distribution Inc. (ADIG) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, Wholesale Distributors industry, per the company profile. Source data does not describe its specific products, customer base, or revenue model. Based on the profile alone, the company's market capitalization is $1.3B.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)$0.0M$0.0M$0.0MN/AN/A$124.0M$1185.0M

Per the SEC financials, reported revenue, operating income, and net income are each shown as $0.0M for FY 2025, and gross, operating, and net margins are each 0% per the market data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 0%. The Altman Z-Score of 2.5 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 come from the forensic balance-sheet pillar, and Debt/Equity is 0.7. Cash of $124.0M against debt of $1185.0M is reported in the financials. The source data does not allow a reliable reading of profitability trend beyond a single reported period.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Risk Watch (RED): A Yahoo Finance headline reports that ADIG stock dropped, and another Yahoo Finance headline references a roughly 20% fall. Both are flagged RISK WATCH.
  • Analyst downgrade: A MarketBeat headline reports a new 1-year low after an analyst downgrade (flagged RISK WATCH).
  • Zacks move: A MarketBeat headline reports a move down to "Strong Sell" by Zacks Research (flagged MARKET WIRE).
  • Resideo spinoff: A National Association of Wholesaler-Distributors headline reports that Resideo's ADI spinoff is set to complete on Aug. 3 (flagged MARKET WIRE).
  • Butterfly liquidity signal (BULLISH): Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, a LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND signal carries a severity score of 94 and a Macro Tailwind Score of 96/100. The signal cites a 6.00x Net Liquidity beta with r = -0.24 and a True Net Liquidity Index of $5,745.73B. This signal conflicts directionally with the news flow and the RQD rating, and the source data does not resolve that conflict.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply_chain is "NONE" and butterfly_links is empty, so no upstream or downstream dependencies are mapped. The sector is Industrials and the industry is Wholesale Distributors, but no sector correlations are quantified in the source data. The one proprietary signal is liquidity-based rather than supply-chain-based: a 6.00x beta to net liquidity implies that changes in Fed balance-sheet plumbing could amplify ADIG's price moves. An investor should watch whether the liquidity tailwind and the negative news flow diverge, and whether the Resideo spinoff timing affects the company's structure.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's reported revenue and profitability beyond a single FY 2025 period showing $0.0M across key lines?
  • What do the EPS, P/E, and EV/EBITDA figures look like, given they are absent from the source data?
  • How does the Resideo ADI spinoff on Aug. 3 affect ADIG's scale, financials, and valuation?
  • Why does the liquidity-tailwind signal point bullish while the news wire and RQD rating point bearish?
  • What institutional and insider holdings exist, since the holders section is empty?

ADIG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for ADI Global Distribution Inc. (ADIG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ADIG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ADIG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $17.48?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ADIG 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ADIG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $15.57 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ADIG (D • RQD 45/100) a Buy at $17.69?

Welcome to the ADIG (ADI Global Distribution Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 45/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Wholesale Distributors. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.68 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $17.69

Pump the brakes on ADIG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ADIG, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless ADI Global Distribution Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $21.23 (+20.0%)
Spot @ $17.69

ADIG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ADIG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Wholesale Distributors and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $17.69 (52-wk range $15.00 - $30.99), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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