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ADI Global Distribution Inc. (ADIG) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.6% Move

$18.68 +6.87% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.88

ADI Global Distribution Inc. (ADIG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.33B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ADIG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, ADI Global Distribution Inc. (NYSE: ADIG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $18.68 (+6.87% 1D, market cap $1.33B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ADIG compare to REZI and BXC in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Wholesale Distributors), ADIG carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, REZI (Resideo Technologies Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.8%, cap $2.84B) and BXC (Bluelinx Holdings Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.9%, cap $621.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRS leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while REZI leads on capital efficiency (8.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADIG?
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Per ADIG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002105139), ADI Global Distribution Inc. generated $1.74B in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $4.15B in total assets and $1.19B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.88 (+1.05%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 2.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510046
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (5)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$33 Bull$18 Base$14 Bear
📬 FREE ADIG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ADIG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ADIG SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.1% FCF Margin ($37.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$16.51-3.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
41
Grade D$15.97+8.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
43
Grade D$17.37+7.5% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$18.68-6.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (38) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ADIG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ADIG currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($18.86) and Max Pain ($19.61) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $32.54.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ADIG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ADIG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11.6% Swing Band

±$2.17 Expected Swing
$16.51 (-11.6%)Spot $18.68$20.85 (+11.6%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ADIG Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 46/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (46/100)Model Risk Weight (54/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$1.74B$0$052%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ADIG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ADIG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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ADIG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.05%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $17.69H $18.68L $17.48C $18.68VOL 531.9K
RES: $20.15SUP: $12.85SMA50: $18.86SMA200: $20.06
$32.11$27.47$22.84$18.20$13.56RES $20.15SUP $12.85$18.682026-07-302026-08-212026-09-162026-10-092026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ADIG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ADIG Butterfly Map → + Track ADIG →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ADIG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ADIG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ADIG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ADIG)

Industrials Rank #265 of 486 ⚔️ REZI vs ADIG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ADIG vs. REZI, BXC, LYNX, TRS)

Industry: Wholesale Distributors (3 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ADI Global Distribution Inc. (ADIG) ranks #265 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #232 by equity capitalization ($1.33B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TRS leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while REZI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.8% ROIC and 29.4% gross margin. BXC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with ADIG at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ADIG ACTIVE
ADI Global Distribution Inc.
D 46/100 — — — +6.87% $1.33B Benchmark Subject
REZI
Resideo Technologies Inc.
D- 35/100 — 29.4% 8.8% +2.78% $2.84B /rezi-vs-adig →
BXC
Bluelinx Holdings Inc.
C 64/100 — 15.3% 4.9% -0.37% $621.2M /bxc-vs-adig →
LYNX
Lyntris Inc.
D 47/100 — — — +0.52% $1.33B /lynx-vs-adig →
TRS
TriMas Corporation
D 51/100 11.5x 21.4% 4.8% +4.67% $1.37B /trs-vs-adig →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002105139 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ADI Global Distribution Inc. (ADIG) reported GAAP revenue of $1.74B , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, ADIG closed FY2025 with $4.15B in total assets against $1.19B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.74B $0 — — $4.15B $1.19B

3. ADIG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ADIG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, ADI Global Distribution Inc. (NYSE: ADIG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $18.68 (+6.87% 1D, market cap $1.33B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

How does ADIG compare to REZI and BXC in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Wholesale Distributors), ADIG carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, REZI (Resideo Technologies Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.8%, cap $2.84B) and BXC (Bluelinx Holdings Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.9%, cap $621.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRS leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while REZI leads on capital efficiency (8.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADIG?

Per ADIG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002105139), ADI Global Distribution Inc. generated $1.74B in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $4.15B in total assets and $1.19B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ADIG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ADIG last traded at $18.68 (+6.87% on volume of 536,209 shares), positioning the stock -0.95% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.86) and -6.88% below its 200-day simple moving average ($20.06). Across its 52-week range of $15.00 to $30.99, ADIG sits at the 23.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.6% ($16.51 to $20.85).

Direct Sub-Reports: ADIG RQD Cockpit ADIG 12M Forecast ADIG Earnings & Move ADIG Dividends & DRIP ADIG Insiders & 13F ADIG Whale Options ADIG Profit Sankey ADIG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ADIG — ADI Global Distribution Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

ADI Global Distribution Inc. (ADIG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 46/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $18.68 (+6.87% 1D, market capitalization $1.33B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of 0.70x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

ADI Global Distribution Inc. (ADIG) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, Wholesale Distributors industry. Based on the profile alone, the company's market capitalization is $1.3B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), ADI Global Distribution Inc. (ADIG) reported $1.74B in annual revenue and $0 in GAAP net income. Operating cash flow reached $0 and free cash flow totaled $0, backed by $4.15B in total assets against $1.19B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 46/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $15.00 – $30.99 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Supply_chain is "NONE" and butterfly_links is empty, so no upstream or downstream dependencies are mapped. The sector is Industrials and the industry is Wholesale Distributors, but no sector correlations are quantified in the source data. The one proprietary signal is liquidity-based rather than supply-chain-based: a 6.00x beta to net liquidity implies that changes in Fed balance-sheet plumbing could amplify ADIG's price moves. An investor should watch whether the liquidity tailwind and the negative news flow diverge, and whether the Resideo spinoff timing affects the company's structure.

  • Key Question #1: Can ADIG sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Wholesale Distributors peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.74B and free cash flow of $0, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.19B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ADIG's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ADIG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for ADI Global Distribution Inc. (ADIG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ADIG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ADIG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $18.68?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ADIG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ADIG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $20.10 (+15.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The Butterfly liquidity signal scores a 96/100 Macro Tailwind with a 6.00x net liquidity beta, and the balance sheet pillar scores 13/2

The Butterfly liquidity signal scores a 96/100 Macro Tailwind with a 6.00x net liquidity beta, and the balance sheet pillar scores 13/20 on a 2.5 Altman Z.. When you look under the hood at ADIG, Fundamental Cash Engine is 11/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 0.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (5/20) has been quietly accumulating below $30.99. My 12M target is $20.10.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@RedlineAuditor Shorting a 5/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $17.48 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Industrials.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.51 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $17.48

ROIC and FCF yield are both 0%, reported revenue and net income are $0.0M, and multiple news items flag RISK WATCH on drops and a new 1

Careful chasing ADIG at $17.48. ROIC and FCF yield are both 0%, reported revenue and net income are $0.0M, and multiple news items flag RISK WATCH on drops and a new 1-year low.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $14.51 on multiple compression.

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