Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why AGNC Stock advanced +0.46% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is AGNC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, AGNC Investment Corp. (NASDAQ: AGNC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $8.69 (+0.46% 1D, market cap $11.07B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, AGNC ranks #587 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does AGNC compare to EGP and GLPI in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), AGNC carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.9%. By comparison, EGP (EastGroup Properties Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 41.7x, ROIC 5.8%, cap $10.80B) and GLPI (Gaming and Leisure Properties Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 14.8%, cap $11.44B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AGNC leads on earnings multiple (6.4x) while GLPI leads on capital efficiency (14.8% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AGNC?
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Per AGNC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001423689), AGNC Investment Corp. generated $5.52B in revenue (+93.5% YoY), $1.67B in net income, and $653.0M in free cash flow against $115.08B in total assets and $46.21B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AGNC Turnaround Squeeze
While AGNC currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why AGNC Stock advanced +0.46% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) advanced +0.46% to $8.69, trading at 8% of its 52-week range ($8.38 – $12.19). Stretched risk/reward at 6x P/E (3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 8% of its 52-week range ($8.38 – $12.19) with RSI-14 at 42.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.1% around $8.69 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 0% gross margin and $653.0M annual free cash flow.
The Motley Fool report covering AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The mortgage REIT offers a high-risk, high-reward income stream.
The Fed held rates steady following September's hike, with two dissenters favoring another increase. Check out the market update here.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AGNC)
- ✓Walkthrough of AGNC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
AGNC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +93.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AGNC today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AGNC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AGNC)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AGNC vs. EGP, GLPI, AMH, UDR)
Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) ranks #587 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #178 by equity capitalization ($11.07B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AGNC leads on earnings valuation at 6.4x trailing P/E, while GLPI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.8% ROIC and — gross margin. EGP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with AGNC at 52/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGNC
ACTIVE
AGNC Investment Corp. | D+ | 52/100 | 6.4x | — | 2.9% | +0.46% | $11.07B | Benchmark Subject |
| EGP EastGroup Properties Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | 41.7x | — | 5.8% | +1.01% | $10.80B | /egp-vs-agnc → |
| GLPI Gaming and Leisure Properties Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | — | — | 14.8% | +0.92% | $11.44B | /glpi-vs-agnc → |
| AMH American Homes 4 Rent Common | C | 62/100 | 32.8x | — | 3.8% | +0.92% | $11.45B | /amh-vs-agnc → |
| UDR UDR Inc. | C | 63/100 | 30.1x | — | 7.3% | +1.10% | $11.54B | /udr-vs-agnc → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001423689 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) reported GAAP revenue of $5.52B (+93.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.85B , and +977.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.67B, operating cash flow of $653.0M, and free cash flow of $653.0M (+659.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, AGNC closed FY2025 with $115.08B in total assets against $46.21B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $5.52B | $1.67B | $653.0M | $653.0M | $115.08B | $46.21B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.85B | $863.0M | $86.0M | $86.0M | $88.02B | $35.21B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $512.1M | $155.0M | -$118.0M | -$118.0M | $5.84B | $1.37B |
3. AGNC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs AGNC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, AGNC Investment Corp. (NASDAQ: AGNC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $8.69 (+0.46% 1D, market cap $11.07B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, AGNC ranks #587 in composite RQD confidence.
How does AGNC compare to EGP and GLPI in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), AGNC carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.9%. By comparison, EGP (EastGroup Properties Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 41.7x, ROIC 5.8%, cap $10.80B) and GLPI (Gaming and Leisure Properties Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 14.8%, cap $11.44B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AGNC leads on earnings multiple (6.4x) while GLPI leads on capital efficiency (14.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AGNC?
Per AGNC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001423689), AGNC Investment Corp. generated $5.52B in revenue (+93.5% YoY), $1.67B in net income, and $653.0M in free cash flow against $115.08B in total assets and $46.21B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is AGNC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
AGNC last traded at $8.69 (+0.46% on volume of 23,100,262 shares), positioning the stock -7.75% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.42) and -16.76% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.44). Across its 52-week range of $8.38 to $12.19, AGNC sits at the 8.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.1% ($8.25 to $9.13).
AGNC — AGNC Investment Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 52/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $8.69 (+0.46% 1D, market capitalization $11.07B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 2.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 68.6%, and free cash flow yield of 4.89%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 0.99x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector and Real Estate Investment Trusts industry, with a market capitalization of $10.6B.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) reported $5.52B in annual revenue (up from $2.85B in FY2024, +93.5% YoY) and $1.67B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($512.1M revenue, $155.0M net income) through FY2025, AGNC scaled operating cash flow to $653.0M and free cash flow to $653.0M, backed by $115.08B in total assets against $46.21B in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 52/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $8.38 – $12.19 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 6.4x trailing P/E and 24.8x EV/EBITDA against 68.6% operating margins and a 0.99x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Operating in Real Estate Investment Trusts (Financials), AGNC carries a macro regime beta of 0.99 and gross margin of —.
- Key Question #1: Can AGNC sustain or expand its 68.6% operating margin and 2.9% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $5.52B and free cash flow of $653.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $46.21B in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is AGNC's 5.4x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.99x)?
AGNC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
AGNC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $8.69?
Trading at a 6.4 trailing P/E with an 11.5% dividend yield and a 7/9 Piotroski F-Score, AGNC offers high income with a balance sheet th
Long AGNC at $8.65 targeting $10.90. Trading at a 6.4 trailing P/E with an 11.5% dividend yield and a 7/9 Piotroski F-Score, AGNC offers high income with a balance sheet that the RQD rating scores as sound.. Institutional whale score is 5/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $8.38 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.
@ForensicBear Shorting a 5/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $8.65 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.
A 2.9% ROIC and a 54 RQD score with a Trim verdict suggest the high yield is not supported by returns on invested capital.
I respect the product at AGNC Investment Corp., but the stock at $8.65 is a different story. A 2.9% ROIC and a 54 RQD score with a Trim verdict suggest the high yield is not supported by returns on invested capital.. FCF yield is 4.89% and RQD sits at 52/100 (D+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?