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Stock Ratings / Financials / AHR / earnings
DOC (58) SUI (62) ELS (62) MAA (60) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

American Healthcare REIT Inc. (AHR) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.9% Move

$53.79 +0.50% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.74

American Healthcare REIT Inc. (AHR) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $12.48B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AHR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AHR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, American Healthcare REIT Inc. (NYSE: AHR) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $53.79 (+0.50% 1D, market cap $12.48B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, AHR ranks #231 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AHR compare to DOC and SUI in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), AHR carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.1%. By comparison, DOC (Healthpeak Properties Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.6%, cap $13.12B) and SUI (Sun Communities Inc.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 9.5x, ROIC 15.9%, cap $13.52B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SUI leads on earnings multiple (9.5x) while SUI leads on capital efficiency (15.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AHR?
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Per AHR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001632970), American Healthcare REIT Inc. generated $2.09B in revenue (+11.2% YoY), $70.8M in net income, and $200.2M in free cash flow against $5.43B in total assets and $929.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.74 (-0.10%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 9.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C+
Cash (12)Whales (14)SEC (15)Macro (12)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target
$65 Bull$55 Base$43 Bear
📬 FREE AHR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AHR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AHR SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.9% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$52.42+0.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$52.86-2.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$51.50+4.4% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$53.79+1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (57) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AHR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, AHR faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($52.97) or 200D SMA ($51.55) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($55.48) toward Bear Floor ($43.27).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AHR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AHR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.9% Swing Band

±$3.17 Expected Swing
$50.62 (-5.9%)Spot $53.79$56.96 (+5.9%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

AHR Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 65/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 11.2%

Model Bullish Setup (65/100)Model Risk Weight (35/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$2.09B$70.8M$200.2M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$1.88B-$35.6M$91.3M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$1.67B-$76.9M$23.4M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating AHR & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on AHR
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AHR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.30%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $52.94H $53.79L $52.94C $53.79VOL 2.91M
RES: $54.10SUP: $47.82SMA50: $52.97SMA200: $51.55
$59.67$55.64$51.62$47.59$43.56RES $54.10SUP $47.82$53.792026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AHR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AHR Butterfly Map → + Track AHR →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
25.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AHR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AHR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AHR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AHR)

Financials Rank #231 of 1097 ⚔️ DOC vs AHR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AHR vs. DOC, SUI, ELS, MAA)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, American Healthcare REIT Inc. (AHR) ranks #231 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #160 by equity capitalization ($12.48B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SUI leads on earnings valuation at 9.5x trailing P/E, while SUI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.9% ROIC and — gross margin. AHR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AHR ACTIVE
American Healthcare REIT Inc.
C 65/100 — — 8.1% +0.50% $12.48B Benchmark Subject
DOC
Healthpeak Properties Inc.
D+ 58/100 — — 0.6% +2.37% $13.12B /doc-vs-ahr →
SUI
Sun Communities Inc.
C 62/100 9.5x — 15.9% +3.13% $13.52B /sui-vs-ahr →
ELS
Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc.
C 62/100 28.5x — 11.4% +2.41% $11.50B /els-vs-ahr →
MAA
Mid-America Apartment Communities Inc.
C- 60/100 30.7x — 5.3% +0.96% $13.60B /maa-vs-ahr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001632970 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), American Healthcare REIT Inc. (AHR) reported GAAP revenue of $2.09B (+11.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.88B , and +25.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $70.8M, operating cash flow of $294.4M, and free cash flow of $200.2M (+119.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, AHR closed FY2025 with $5.43B in total assets against $929.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.09B $70.8M $294.4M $200.2M $5.43B $929.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.88B -$35.6M $176.1M $91.3M $4.49B $982.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.67B -$76.9M $98.5M $23.4M $6.79B $1.59B

3. AHR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AHR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, American Healthcare REIT Inc. (NYSE: AHR) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $53.79 (+0.50% 1D, market cap $12.48B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, AHR ranks #231 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AHR compare to DOC and SUI in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), AHR carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.1%. By comparison, DOC (Healthpeak Properties Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.6%, cap $13.12B) and SUI (Sun Communities Inc.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 9.5x, ROIC 15.9%, cap $13.52B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SUI leads on earnings multiple (9.5x) while SUI leads on capital efficiency (15.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AHR?

Per AHR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001632970), American Healthcare REIT Inc. generated $2.09B in revenue (+11.2% YoY), $70.8M in net income, and $200.2M in free cash flow against $5.43B in total assets and $929.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AHR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AHR last traded at $53.79 (+0.50% on volume of 2,013,371 shares), positioning the stock +1.55% above its 50-day simple moving average ($52.97) and +4.35% above its 200-day simple moving average ($51.55). Across its 52-week range of $44.69 to $58.70, AHR sits at the 65.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.9% ($50.62 to $56.96).

Direct Sub-Reports: AHR RQD Cockpit AHR 12M Forecast AHR Earnings & Move AHR Dividends & DRIP AHR Insiders & 13F AHR Whale Options AHR Profit Sankey AHR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AHR — American Healthcare REIT Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

American Healthcare REIT Inc. (AHR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 65/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $53.79 (+0.50% 1D, market capitalization $12.48B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 19.8%, and free cash flow yield of 1.62%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.11x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Per the Financials sector classification, American Healthcare REIT Inc. (AHR) operates in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry and is listed on the NYSE. It is a publicly traded US issuer with a market capitalization of $12.3B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), American Healthcare REIT Inc. (AHR) reported $2.09B in annual revenue (up from $1.88B in FY2024, +11.2% YoY) and $70.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.67B revenue, -$76.9M net income) through FY2025, AHR scaled operating cash flow to $294.4M and free cash flow to $200.2M, backed by $5.43B in total assets against $929.5M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 65/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 1.62% and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $44.69 – $58.70 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh current valuation and 26.4x EV/EBITDA against 19.8% operating margins and a 1.11x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— for upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks. A prospective investor should note that the broader REIT sector's interest-rate sensitivity, implied by the 1.

  • Key Question #1: Can AHR sustain or expand its 19.8% operating margin and 8.1% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.09B and free cash flow of $200.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $929.5M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AHR's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.11x)?

AHR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for American Healthcare REIT Inc. (AHR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AHR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AHR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $53.79?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AHR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AHR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $64.76 (+21.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Raymond James initiated coverage at strong buy on the Trilogy partnership while the forensic balance sheet scores strongly (Piotroski F

Raymond James initiated coverage at strong buy on the Trilogy partnership while the forensic balance sheet scores strongly (Piotroski F 8/9, Altman Z 2.5).. When you look under the hood at AHR, Fundamental Cash Engine is 12/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 8.1% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (14/20) has been quietly accumulating below $58.70. My 12M target is $64.76.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@SiliconVal_Bull Agree on the RQD 65/100 quality, though with 1.11 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $53.52 and keeping dry powder in case we test $49.77.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $42.28 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $53.52

At an EV/EBITDA of 26.4 with only 1.62% FCF yield and 8.1% ROIC, the valuation leaves little margin for error.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on AHR: At an EV/EBITDA of 26.4 with only 1.62% FCF yield and 8.1% ROIC, the valuation leaves little margin for error.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Real Estate Investment Trusts triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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