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Apartment Investment and Management Company (AIV) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$1.64 +4.46% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.65

Apartment Investment and Management Company (AIV) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $238.2M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AIV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Apartment Investment and Management Company (NYSE: AIV) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $1.64 (+4.46% 1D, market cap $238.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, AIV ranks #738 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AIV compare to BRT and REFI in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), AIV carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, BRT (BRT Apartments Corp. (MD)) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.5%, cap $242.4M) and REFI (Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 6.4x, ROIC 11.7%, cap $227.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, REFI leads on earnings multiple (6.4x) while AIV leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIV?
β–Ό

Per AIV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000922864), Apartment Investment and Management Company generated $138.5M in revenue (+0.6% YoY), $547.2M in net income, and $8.1M in free cash flow against $1.68B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.65 (+0.61%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) β€’ 5.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510047
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- Β· Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (9)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.9% Base Target
$6 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE AIV RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AIV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY AIV SCORES 47/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 4/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$1.66-3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$1.61+0% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$1.61+1.9% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$1.64-5.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (55) β†’ D (47)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AIV Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While AIV currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.02) and Max Pain ($1.72) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.34.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AIVβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œAIV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AIV)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of AIV's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AIV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -61.41%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-04O $1.57H $1.64L $1.57C $1.64VOL 1.38M
SUP: $1.52SMA50: $2.02SMA200: $3.46
$6.36$5.06$3.76$2.46$1.16SUP $1.52$1.642026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AIV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AIV today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AIV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AIV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AIV)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AIV vs. BRT, REFI, NXDT, NREF)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Apartment Investment and Management Company (AIV) ranks #738 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #856 by equity capitalization ($238.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, REFI leads on earnings valuation at 6.4x trailing P/E, while AIV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and β€” gross margin. REFI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with AIV at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AIV ACTIVE
Apartment Investment and Management Company
D 47/100 β€” β€” 85.0% +4.46% $238.2M Benchmark Subject
BRT
BRT Apartments Corp. (MD)
D- 35/100 β€” β€” -6.5% -0.62% $242.4M /brt-vs-aiv β†’
REFI
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc.
D 48/100 6.4x β€” 11.7% +0.23% $227.0M /refi-vs-aiv β†’
NXDT
NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust
D- 35/100 β€” β€” -0.2% +3.54% $217.7M /nxdt-vs-aiv β†’
NREF
NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc.
D 47/100 β€” β€” β€” -0.93% $282.2M /nref-vs-aiv β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000922864 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Apartment Investment and Management Company (AIV) reported GAAP revenue of $138.5M (+0.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $137.7M , and +15.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $547.2M, operating cash flow of $8.1M, and free cash flow of $8.1M (-82.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, AIV closed FY2025 with $1.68B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $138.5M $547.2M $8.1M $8.1M $1.68B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $137.7M -$104.0M $47.0M $47.0M $1.96B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $119.9M -$166.2M $50.5M $50.5M β€” β€”

3. AIV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AIV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Apartment Investment and Management Company (NYSE: AIV) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $1.64 (+4.46% 1D, market cap $238.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, AIV ranks #738 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AIV compare to BRT and REFI in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), AIV carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, BRT (BRT Apartments Corp. (MD)) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.5%, cap $242.4M) and REFI (Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 6.4x, ROIC 11.7%, cap $227.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, REFI leads on earnings multiple (6.4x) while AIV leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIV?

Per AIV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000922864), Apartment Investment and Management Company generated $138.5M in revenue (+0.6% YoY), $547.2M in net income, and $8.1M in free cash flow against $1.68B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AIV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AIV last traded at $1.64 (+4.46% on volume of 1,380,524 shares), positioning the stock -18.81% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.02) and -52.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.46). Across its 52-week range of $1.56 to $6.04, AIV sits at the 1.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.9% ($1.49 to $1.79).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 47/100 (D) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AIV β€” Apartment Investment and Management Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Apartment Investment and Management Company (AIV) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 47/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.64 (+4.46% 1D, market capitalization $238.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 85.0%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of β€”, and free cash flow yield of 3.40%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Apartment Investment and Management Company is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Real Estate Investment Trusts industry, with a market capitalization of $0.2B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Apartment Investment and Management Company (AIV) reported $138.5M in annual revenue (up from $137.7M in FY2024, +0.6% YoY) and $547.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($119.9M revenue, -$166.2M net income) through FY2025, AIV scaled operating cash flow to $8.1M and free cash flow to $8.1M, backed by $1.68B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D β€’ RQD 47/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 3.40% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.56 – $6.04 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation against β€” operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Real Estate Investment Trusts (Financials), AIV carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of β€”.

  • Key Question #1: Can AIV sustain or expand its β€” operating margin and 85.0% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $138.5M and free cash flow of $8.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AIV's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

AIV Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Apartment Investment and Management Company (AIV) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to AIV Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟑 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance β€’ 218d ago
Aimco Provides Update on Liquidation Activities

Apartment Investment and Management Company ("Aimco" or the "Company") today provided an update regarding the status of ongoing liquidation activities under the Company's Plan of Sale and Liquidation approved by Aimco st

Read Full Source β†—
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AIV Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $1.64?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AIV 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AIV:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Verified $100K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.84 (+17.2%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

The 85% ROIC and 3.4% FCF yield show the business generates substantial returns on capital relative to its market value.

The street is overcomplicating Apartment Investment and Management Company (AIV). The 85% ROIC and 3.4% FCF yield show the business generates substantial returns on capital relative to its market value.. With an RQD score of 47/100 (D) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $1.70.

CapAlloc_Nerd πŸ‚ BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Real Estate Investment Trusts. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.22 (-22.3%)
Spot @ $1.57

The 3-of-20 institutional flow score and 0% dividend yield show little institutional support and no income return to holders.

I respect the product at Apartment Investment and Management Company, but the stock at $1.57 is a different story. The 3-of-20 institutional flow score and 0% dividend yield show little institutional support and no income return to holders.. FCF yield is 3.4% and RQD sits at 47/100 (D) β€” why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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