Does ALCO pay a dividend and is it safe?

Alico Inc. (ALCO) offers a 0.55% cash dividend yield ($0.21 annualized) and 2.35% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / ALCO / dividends

VFF (53) BNC (37) LND (45) LMNR (19) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Alico Inc. (ALCO) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

Q: Where is ALCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALCO last traded at $37.40 (-0.45% on volume of 18,269 shares), positioning the stock -3.43% below its 50-day simple moving average ($38.73) and -6.97% below its 200-day simple moving average ($40.20). Across its 52-week range of $31.32 to $45.01, ALCO sits at the 44.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.4% ($36.13 to $38.67).

$37.40 -0.45% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $37.30

Alico Inc. (ALCO) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $277.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ALCO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ALCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Alico Inc. (NASDAQ: ALCO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $37.40 (-0.45% 1D, market cap $277.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, ALCO ranks #107 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ALCO compare to VFF and BNC in the Consumer Staples sector?

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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Farming/Seeds/Milling), ALCO carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, VFF (Village Farms International Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 9.8x, ROIC 10.5%, cap $305.7M) and BNC (BNB Standard Corporation) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $241.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VFF leads on earnings multiple (9.8x) while VFF leads on capital efficiency (10.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALCO?

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Per ALCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000003545), Alico Inc. generated $44.1M in revenue (-5.5% YoY), -$147.3M in net income, and $14.6M in free cash flow against $195.0M in total assets and $82.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $37.30 (-0.27%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 33.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ALCO SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 33.2% FCF Margin ($14.6M FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$38.25-2.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$37.35+0.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$37.37+0.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$37.40-7.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (46) → D- (38)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ALCO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ALCO currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($38.73) and Max Pain ($39.27) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $47.26.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALCO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ALCO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 38%NO 62%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

2.35% Total Yield

0.55% Cash ($0.21/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

14% of FCF

8 consecutive years of payout growth

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,573

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $413/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.6K

Yr 1

$11.2K

Yr 2

$11.8K

Yr 3

$12.5K

Yr 4

$13.3K

Yr 5

$14.0K

Yr 6

$14.8K

Yr 7

$15.7K

Yr 8

$16.6K

Yr 9

$17.6K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALCO)

✓Walkthrough of ALCO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

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ALCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.20%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $37.57H $37.57L $37.40C $37.40VOL 18.3K

RES: $44.38SUP: $36.49SMA50: $38.73SMA200: $40.20

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ALCO Butterfly Map → + Track ALCO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALCO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALCO)

Consumer Staples Rank #107 of 147 ⚔️ VFF vs ALCO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (ALCO vs. VFF, BNC, LND, LMNR)

Industry: Farming/Seeds/Milling (25 Tracked Issuers)

Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alico Inc. (ALCO) ranks #107 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #95 by equity capitalization ($277.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VFF leads on earnings valuation at 9.8x trailing P/E, while VFF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.5% ROIC and 40.6% gross margin. VFF currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with ALCO at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ALCO ACTIVE Alico Inc.	D-	38/100	—	-30.0%	-35.0%	-0.45%	$277.5M	Benchmark Subject
VFF Village Farms International Inc.	D+	53/100	9.8x	40.6%	10.5%	-3.47%	$305.7M	/vff-vs-alco →
BNC BNB Standard Corporation	D-	37/100	—	—	-35.0%	-8.50%	$241.4M	/bnc-vs-alco →
LND Brasilagro Brazilian Agric Real Estate Co Sponsored ADR (Brazil)	D	45/100	—	—	—	0.00%	$326.5M	/lnd-vs-alco →
LMNR Limoneira Co	E	19/100	—	-0.7%	-6.0%	-3.44%	$193.6M	/lmnr-vs-alco →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000003545 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Alico Inc. (ALCO) reported GAAP revenue of $44.1M (-5.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $46.6M , and +10.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$147.3M, operating cash flow of $20.1M, and free cash flow of $14.6M (+130.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALCO closed FY2025 with $195.0M in total assets against $82.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$44.1M	-$147.3M	$20.1M	$14.6M	$195.0M	$82.8M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$46.6M	$7.0M	-$30.5M	-$48.4M	$397.6M	$82.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$39.8M	$1.8M	-$6.3M	-$6.3M	—	—

3. ALCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ALCO compare to VFF and BNC in the Consumer Staples sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALCO?

Where is ALCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALCO last traded at $37.40 (-0.45% on volume of 18,269 shares), positioning the stock -3.43% below its 50-day simple moving average ($38.73) and -6.97% below its 200-day simple moving average ($40.20). Across its 52-week range of $31.32 to $45.01, ALCO sits at the 44.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.4% ($36.13 to $38.67).

Direct Sub-Reports: ALCO RQD Cockpit ALCO 12M Forecast ALCO Earnings & Move ALCO Dividends & DRIP ALCO Insiders & 13F ALCO Whale Options ALCO Profit Sankey ALCO News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 38/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ALCO — Alico Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-09-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Alico Inc. (ALCO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 38/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $37.40 (-0.45% 1D, market capitalization $277.5M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of -30.0%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of 5.25%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (8/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.83x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Alico Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Staples sector and the Farming/Seeds/Milling industry. The profile identifies the company as operating in Farming/Seeds/Milling with a market capitalization of $0.3B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), Alico Inc. (ALCO) reported $44.1M in annual revenue (up from $46.6M in FY2024, -5.5% YoY) and -$147.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($39.8M revenue, $1.8M net income) through FY2025, ALCO scaled operating cash flow to $20.1M and free cash flow to $14.6M, backed by $195.0M in total assets against $82.8M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 38/100): Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 5.25% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $31.32 – $45.01 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore — The only sector context available is the Consumer Staples classification and the Farming/Seeds/Milling industry, with beta of 1.0 indicating market-level sensitivity.

Key Question #1: Can ALCO sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Farming/Seeds/Milling peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $44.1M and free cash flow of $14.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $82.8M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is ALCO's equity valuation to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ALCO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Alico Inc. (ALCO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ALCO Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 21h ago

Alico, Inc. (ALCO) Seasonal Returns Chart - Yahoo Finance

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Alico Inc. (ALCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

(ALCO) as a Liquidity Pulse for Institutional Tactics

Stock Traders Daily report covering Alico Inc. (ALCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 65d ago

Alico Maps Shift From Citrus to Florida Land Development at IDEAS Conference

Alico (NASDAQ:ALCO) outlined its transition from citrus production to a land-management and real estate-entitlement strategy at the Midwest IDEAS Investor Conference, as the Florida-based company seeks to monetize its ag

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 77d ago

Alico (ALCO) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Land leasing income drove revenue growth as citrus winds down and development advances.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 82d ago

Alico 3Q Revenue Jumps on Booming Land Management Strategy – Quarterly Update Report

Download the Complete Report Here Alico, Inc. (ALCO) New Lease Structure Broadens Land Monetization Strategy; Stronger Liquidity Extends Runway Through FY29 Key Takeaways: 3Q FY26 reinforced ALCO’s post-citrus transition

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 83d ago

Alico to Present at the 17th Annual Midwest IDEAS Investor Conference

FORT MYERS, Fla., Aug. 12, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Alico, Inc. (“Alico” or the “Company”) (Nasdaq: ALCO) today announced that John Kiernan, the Company’s President and Chief Executive Officer, will present and host one-

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 83d ago

Alico Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

Alico (NASDAQ:ALCO) reported higher third-quarter revenue and a return to profitability as the company continued its transition away from citrus operations and toward land management, agricultural leasing and real estate

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 84d ago

Alico (ALCO) Surpasses Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Alico (ALCO) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +139.73% and +247.69%, respectively, for the quarter ended June 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ALCO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $37.40?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ALCO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $45.25 (+21.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

The 5.25% FCF yield and $34.8M of FY 2025 cash show the company generated positive free cash flow of $14.6M despite operating losses.

The 5.25% FCF yield and $34.8M of FY 2025 cash show the company generated positive free cash flow of $14.6M despite operating losses.. When you look under the hood at ALCO, Fundamental Cash Engine is 8/20 with -30.0% gross margins and -35.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (6/20) has been quietly accumulating below $45.01. My 12M target is $45.25.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — ALCO's 8/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $28.80 (-23.0%)

Spot @ $37.40

A -35% ROIC, -60% operating margin, and 0.2 Altman Z-Score point to a balance sheet and earnings base under severe stress.

Fading this rally in ALCO at $37.40. A -35% ROIC, -60% operating margin, and 0.2 Altman Z-Score point to a balance sheet and earnings base under severe stress.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $37.40 (52-wk range $31.32–$45.01), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.