Yahoo Finance report covering Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why ALGT Stock surged +7.35% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is ALGT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Allegiant Travel Company (NASDAQ: ALGT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $76.58 (+7.35% 1D, market cap $1.95B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ALGT ranks #788 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does ALGT compare to AERO and ULCC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), ALGT carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.1%. By comparison, AERO (Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) )) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.18B) and ULCC (Frontier Group Holdings Inc.) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.49B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SKYW leads on earnings multiple (8.8x) while SKYW leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALGT?
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Per ALGT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001362468), Allegiant Travel Company generated $2.32B in revenue (+4.8% YoY), -$44.7M in net income, and $75.1M in free cash flow against $4.21B in total assets and $1.68B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.2% FCF Margin ($75.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 1.26 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (46.7) create a -16 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ALGT Turnaround Squeeze
While ALGT currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($75.16) and Max Pain ($80.41) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $129.81.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why ALGT Stock surged +7.35% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) surged +7.35% to $76.58, trading at 29% of its 52-week range ($57.11 – $123.63). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 29% of its 52-week range ($57.11 – $123.63) with RSI-14 at 46.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.9% around $76.58 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $75.1M annual free cash flow.
TradingView report covering Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
kalkine.ca report covering Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Allegiant (NASDAQ: ALGT) is taking the next step in its customer experience journey through a new partnership with the University of Nevada, Las Vegas (UNLV) William F. Harrah College of Hospitality, bringing a customize
Allegiant Travel (ALGT) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALGT)
- ✓Walkthrough of ALGT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
ALGT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +4.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALGT today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALGT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALGT)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ALGT vs. AERO, ULCC, SKYW, JBLU)
Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (20 Tracked Issuers)Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) ranks #788 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #419 by equity capitalization ($1.95B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SKYW leads on earnings valuation at 8.8x trailing P/E, while SKYW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.9% ROIC and — gross margin. SKYW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with ALGT at 35/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALGT
ACTIVE
Allegiant Travel Company | D- | 35/100 | — | — | 1.1% | +7.35% | $1.95B | Benchmark Subject |
| AERO Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | +1.60% | $2.18B | /aero-vs-algt → |
| ULCC Frontier Group Holdings Inc. | E | 32/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +15.19% | $1.49B | /ulcc-vs-algt → |
| SKYW SkyWest Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | 8.8x | — | 10.9% | -0.79% | $3.20B | /skyw-vs-algt → |
| JBLU JetBlue Airways Corporation | E | 22/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +11.23% | $1.08B | /jblu-vs-algt → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001362468 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) reported GAAP revenue of $2.32B (+4.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.22B , and -0.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$44.7M, operating cash flow of $389.8M, and free cash flow of $75.1M (+96.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALGT closed FY2025 with $4.21B in total assets against $1.68B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.26, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.32B | -$44.7M | $389.8M | $75.1M | $4.21B | $1.68B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.22B | -$240.2M | $338.5M | $38.3M | $4.43B | $1.61B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.32B | $117.6M | $423.1M | $423.1M | — | — |
3. ALGT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ALGT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Allegiant Travel Company (NASDAQ: ALGT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $76.58 (+7.35% 1D, market cap $1.95B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ALGT ranks #788 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ALGT compare to AERO and ULCC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), ALGT carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.1%. By comparison, AERO (Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) )) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.18B) and ULCC (Frontier Group Holdings Inc.) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.49B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SKYW leads on earnings multiple (8.8x) while SKYW leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALGT?
Per ALGT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001362468), Allegiant Travel Company generated $2.32B in revenue (+4.8% YoY), -$44.7M in net income, and $75.1M in free cash flow against $4.21B in total assets and $1.68B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ALGT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ALGT last traded at $76.58 (+7.35% on volume of 642,702 shares), positioning the stock +1.89% above its 50-day simple moving average ($75.16) and -12.34% below its 200-day simple moving average ($87.36). Across its 52-week range of $57.11 to $123.63, ALGT sits at the 29.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.9% ($68.23 to $84.93).
ALGT — Allegiant Travel Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 35/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $76.58 (+7.35% 1D, market capitalization $1.95B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 1.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 1.6%, and free cash flow yield of 3.77%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (8/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.26, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.60x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Allegiant Travel Company is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Air Freight/Delivery Services industry,. The company carries a market capitalization of $2.0B. FY 2025 revenue was $2.32B, indicating a sizable revenue base.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) reported $2.32B in annual revenue (up from $2.22B in FY2024, +4.8% YoY) and -$44.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.32B revenue, $117.6M net income) through FY2025, ALGT scaled operating cash flow to $389.8M and free cash flow to $75.1M, backed by $4.21B in total assets against $1.68B in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 35/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 3.77% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $57.11 – $123.63 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 11.5x EV/EBITDA against 1.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals. The only sector context in the source is the Consumer Discretionary sector and Air Freight/Delivery Services industry classification, along with the Macro Regime Fit pillar's note of sector sensitivity at beta 1.0.
- Key Question #1: Can ALGT sustain or expand its 1.6% operating margin and 1.1% ROIC against Air Freight/Delivery Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.32B and free cash flow of $75.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.68B in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is ALGT's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
ALGT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
kalkine.ca report covering Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ALGT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $76.58?
Price sits far below the $123.63 52-week high with a 3.77% FCF yield and FY 2025 operating income swinging back to $37.2M.
Long ALGT at $71.34 targeting $85.61. Price sits far below the $123.63 52-week high with a 3.77% FCF yield and FY 2025 operating income swinging back to $37.2M.. Institutional whale score is 6/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $57.11 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.
@FadeTheHype Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Air Freight/Delivery Services. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
Altman Z of 1.26, Debt/Equity of 1.6, and debt rising to $1.68B against $172.7M cash leave the balance sheet financially stressed.
Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on ALGT: Altman Z of 1.26, Debt/Equity of 1.6, and debt rising to $1.68B against $172.7M cash leave the balance sheet financially stressed.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Air Freight/Delivery Services triggers a 12-15% air pocket.