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Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$22.51 +2.41% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.56

Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.37B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ALH Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ALH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (NYSE: ALH) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $22.51 (+2.41% 1D, market cap $4.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, ALH ranks #105 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ALH compare to ESAB and BMI in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ALH carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 45.1x, gross margin of 37.6%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, ESAB (ESAB Corporation) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 20.3x, ROIC 10.1%, cap $4.34B) and BMI (Badger Meter Inc.) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 30.2x, ROIC 18.3%, cap $4.24B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VNT leads on earnings multiple (11.9x) while ALH leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALH?
β–Ό

Per ALH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001317685), Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. generated $1.71B in revenue (+13.3% YoY), $98.5M in net income, and $158.0M in free cash flow against $2.89B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (37.6% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.56 (+0.24%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) β€’ 9.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 53.9% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C-
025507510061
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C+ Β· Rk D
Cash (17)Whales (9)SEC (14)Macro (6)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target
$30 Bull$23 Base$18 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ALH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ALH SCORES 61/100 (C-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.2% FCF Margin ($158.0M FCF) & 37.6% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (55.8) create a -14 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$21.23+0.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$21.31-0.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$21.15+6.4% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$22.51+0.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (53) β†’ C- (61)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ALH Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, ALH faces multiple-compression risk if 45.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 45x earningsβ€”high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($21.77) or 200D SMA ($23.51) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($22.81) toward Bear Floor ($17.79).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALHβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œALH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (9.1% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $23,892

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $430/yr
$10.9K
Yr 1
$11.9K
Yr 2
$13.0K
Yr 3
$14.2K
Yr 4
$15.5K
Yr 5
$16.9K
Yr 6
$18.4K
Yr 7
$20.1K
Yr 8
$21.9K
Yr 9
$23.9K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in ALH & A-Rated Leaders

  • βœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on ALH and its top sector peer
  • βœ“Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ALH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.04%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $22.36H $22.51L $21.98C $22.51VOL 550.6K
RES: $30.03SUP: $20.07SMA50: $21.77SMA200: $23.51
$28.78$26.51$24.24$21.97$19.70RES $30.03SUP $20.07$22.512026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
33.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALH today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALH)

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ALH vs. ESAB, BMI, MIR, VNT)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH) ranks #105 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #157 by equity capitalization ($4.37B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VNT leads on earnings valuation at 11.9x trailing P/E, while ALH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 37.6% gross margin. BMI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with ALH at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ALH ACTIVE
Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc.
C- 61/100 45.1x 37.6% 85.0% +2.41% $4.37B Benchmark Subject
ESAB
ESAB Corporation
D+ 53/100 20.3x 36.9% 10.1% +9.38% $4.34B /esab-vs-alh β†’
BMI
Badger Meter Inc.
B+ 77/100 30.2x 41.7% 18.3% +6.27% $4.24B /bmi-vs-alh β†’
MIR
Mirion Technologies Inc.
D+ 54/100 159.1x 47.4% 2.1% +1.69% $4.51B /mir-vs-alh β†’
VNT
Vontier Corporation
C+ 67/100 11.9x β€” 18.9% +3.40% $4.82B /vnt-vs-alh β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001317685 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH) reported GAAP revenue of $1.71B (+13.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.51B , and +25.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $98.5M, operating cash flow of $211.7M, and free cash flow of $158.0M (+55.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALH closed FY2025 with $2.89B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.02, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.71B $98.5M $211.7M $158.0M $2.89B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.51B $98.3M $145.5M $102.0M $2.83B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.37B $88.2M $208.7M $208.7M β€” β€”

3. ALH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (NYSE: ALH) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $22.51 (+2.41% 1D, market cap $4.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, ALH ranks #105 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALH compare to ESAB and BMI in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ALH carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 45.1x, gross margin of 37.6%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, ESAB (ESAB Corporation) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 20.3x, ROIC 10.1%, cap $4.34B) and BMI (Badger Meter Inc.) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 30.2x, ROIC 18.3%, cap $4.24B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VNT leads on earnings multiple (11.9x) while ALH leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALH?

Per ALH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001317685), Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. generated $1.71B in revenue (+13.3% YoY), $98.5M in net income, and $158.0M in free cash flow against $2.89B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (37.6% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALH last traded at $22.51 (+2.41% on volume of 1,106,281 shares), positioning the stock +3.40% above its 50-day simple moving average ($21.77) and -4.25% below its 200-day simple moving average ($23.51). Across its 52-week range of $18.64 to $28.23, ALH sits at the 40.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.0% ($21.16 to $23.86).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 61/100 (C-) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ALH β€” Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 61/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $22.51 (+2.41% 1D, market capitalization $4.37B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 85.0%, gross margin of 37.6%, operating margin of 18.6%, and free cash flow yield of 3.55%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.02, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating in the Industrial Machinery/Components industry..4B. Gross margin per the market data is 37.6%, operating margin 18.6%, and net margin 5.8%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH) reported $1.71B in annual revenue (up from $1.51B in FY2024, +13.3% YoY) and $98.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.37B revenue, $88.2M net income) through FY2025, ALH scaled operating cash flow to $211.7M and free cash flow to $158.0M, backed by $2.89B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (C- β€’ RQD 61/100): Strong cash generator (37.6% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $18.64 – $28.23 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 45.1x trailing P/E and 11.9x EV/EBITDA against 18.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are β€” Investors should note that the only sector-level context available is the Industrials / Industrial Machinery/Components classification and the beta of 1.0.

  • Key Question #1: Can ALH sustain or expand its 18.6% operating margin and 85.0% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.71B and free cash flow of $158.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ALH's 37.9x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ALH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ALH Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ALH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $22.51?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ALH 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ALH:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Growth & Tech Investor πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $26.16 (+19.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

ROIC of 85% and an FCF yield of 3.55% anchor the top-scoring Fundamental Cash Engine pillar (17/20).

Don't sleep on ALH's setup in Industrials. ROIC of 85% and an FCF yield of 3.55% anchor the top-scoring Fundamental Cash Engine pillar (17/20).. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (61/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

VolSurface_Trader πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” ALH's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $18.02 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $21.98

A trailing P/E of 45.1 and a TradingView-reported price target cut to $31.12 weigh on valuation and sentiment.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short ALH above $21.98. A trailing P/E of 45.1 and a TradingView-reported price target cut to $31.12 weigh on valuation and sentiment.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20) and FCF yield (3.55%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $28.23.

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