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Alkermes plc (ALKS) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$44.89 -0.99% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $44.92

Alkermes plc (ALKS) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 78/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (86.7% gross margin, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ β€’ BUY Cap $7.61B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ALKS Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ALKS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Alkermes plc (NASDAQ: ALKS) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 78/100 at a spot price of $44.89 (-0.99% 1D, market cap $7.61B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, ALKS ranks #22 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ALKS compare to AXSM and ABVX in the Health Care sector?
β–Ό

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ALKS carries a Roarable B+ (78/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.5x, gross margin of 86.7%, and ROIC of 14.0%. By comparison, AXSM (Axsome Therapeutics Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -21.9%, cap $7.57B) and ABVX (Abivax SA) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $7.56B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALKS leads on earnings multiple (31.5x) while AMRX leads on capital efficiency (14.1% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALKS?
β–Ό

Per ALKS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001520262), Alkermes plc generated $1.48B in revenue (-5.2% YoY), $241.7M in net income, and $480.3M in free cash flow against $2.49B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (86.7% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $44.92 (+0.06%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) β€’ 32.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 78/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 70.6% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B+
025507510078
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw B+ Β· Rk B+
Cash (17)Whales (14)SEC (15)Macro (16)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9% Base Target
$58 Bull$49 Base$37 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ALKS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALKS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (78/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ALKS SCORES 78/100 (B+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 32.5% FCF Margin ($480.3M FCF) & 86.7% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 62% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 61 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning14/20 pts (-6 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-6 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
70
Grade B$39.08+11.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
73
Grade B$43.48+4.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
75
Grade B+$45.25-0.8% Next Q
Current
78
Grade B+$44.89+7.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B (70) β†’ B+ (78)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ALKS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 78/100 (B+) score, ALKS faces multiple-compression risk if 31.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 84.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($43.85) or 200D SMA ($40.68) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($48.93) toward Bear Floor ($36.81).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALKSβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œALKS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL β€’ FY 2025 (10-K)

How ALKS Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$480.3M (32.5% FCF Margin)
Revenue$1.48BGross Profit $1.28B (86.7%)Cost of Sales $196.5MOp Profit $254.0M (17.2%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $1.03BNet Profit$241.7M (16.4%)Tax/Other $12.3M

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

β–  Revenueβ–  Net Profitβ–  Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $1.66B
FY24
Rev $1.56B
FY25
Rev $1.48B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$1.48B86.7%17.2%$241.7M$480.3M14%
FY 2024$1.56B84.2%27%$367.1M$405.6M23.1%
FY 2023$1.66B86.7%24.9%$355.8M$326.5M12.9%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALKS)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of ALKS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ALKS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +31.37%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $45.37H $45.37L $44.89C $44.89VOL 1.11M
RES: $45.92SUP: $35.11SMA50: $43.85SMA200: $40.68
$57.45$50.07$42.69$35.30$27.92RES $45.92SUP $35.11$44.892026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALKS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
24.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALKS today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALKS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALKS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALKS)

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (ALKS vs. AXSM, ABVX, AMRX, KNSA)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1015 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alkermes plc (ALKS) ranks #22 by composite RQD confidence (78/100, grade B+) and #126 by equity capitalization ($7.61B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALKS leads on earnings valuation at 31.5x trailing P/E, while AMRX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.1% ROIC and 36.9% gross margin. ALKS currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 78/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ALKS ACTIVE
Alkermes plc
B+ 78/100 31.5x 86.7% 14.0% -0.99% $7.61B Benchmark Subject
AXSM
Axsome Therapeutics Inc.
D- 35/100 β€” β€” -21.9% -5.83% $7.57B /axsm-vs-alks β†’
ABVX
Abivax SA
D+ 54/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -1.94% $7.56B /abvx-vs-alks β†’
AMRX
Amneal Pharmaceuticals Inc.
B- 71/100 103.2x 36.9% 14.1% -4.97% $7.49B /amrx-vs-alks β†’
KNSA
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International plc (Class A)
B- 71/100 129.9x 88.5% 9.9% -1.56% $7.25B /knsa-vs-alks β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001520262 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alkermes plc (ALKS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.48B (-5.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.56B , and -11.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $241.7M, operating cash flow of $520.8M, and free cash flow of $480.3M (+18.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALKS closed FY2025 with $2.49B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.03, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.48B $241.7M $520.8M $480.3M $2.49B $0
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.56B $367.1M $439.1M $405.6M $2.06B $265.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.66B $355.8M $401.4M $326.5M $4.19B $979.6M

3. ALKS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALKS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Alkermes plc (NASDAQ: ALKS) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 78/100 at a spot price of $44.89 (-0.99% 1D, market cap $7.61B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, ALKS ranks #22 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALKS compare to AXSM and ABVX in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ALKS carries a Roarable B+ (78/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.5x, gross margin of 86.7%, and ROIC of 14.0%. By comparison, AXSM (Axsome Therapeutics Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -21.9%, cap $7.57B) and ABVX (Abivax SA) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $7.56B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALKS leads on earnings multiple (31.5x) while AMRX leads on capital efficiency (14.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALKS?

Per ALKS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001520262), Alkermes plc generated $1.48B in revenue (-5.2% YoY), $241.7M in net income, and $480.3M in free cash flow against $2.49B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (86.7% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALKS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALKS last traded at $44.89 (-0.99% on volume of 2,162,831 shares), positioning the stock +2.37% above its 50-day simple moving average ($43.85) and +10.35% above its 200-day simple moving average ($40.68). Across its 52-week range of $27.00 to $55.67, ALKS sits at the 62.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.4% ($42.02 to $47.76).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 78/100 (B+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ALKS β€” Alkermes plc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Alkermes plc (ALKS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 78/100, corresponding to a B+ letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $44.89 (-0.99% 1D, market capitalization $7.61B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 14.0%, gross margin of 86.7%, operating margin of 17.2%, and free cash flow yield of 6.31%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (16/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.05x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 8.03, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.00x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Alkermes plc (ALKS) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry. Its market capitalization is $7.6B, per the market data. Gross margin of 86.7% per the market data indicates a high-margin revenue base.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Alkermes plc (ALKS) reported $1.48B in annual revenue (up from $1.56B in FY2024, -5.2% YoY) and $241.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.66B revenue, $355.8M net income) through FY2025, ALKS scaled operating cash flow to $520.8M and free cash flow to $480.3M, backed by $2.49B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (B+ β€’ RQD 78/100): Strong cash generator (86.7% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $27.00 – $55.67 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 31.5x trailing P/E and 25.1x EV/EBITDA against 17.2% operating margins and a 1.05x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (Health Care), ALKS carries a macro regime beta of 1.05 and gross margin of 86.7%.

  • Key Question #1: Can ALKS sustain or expand its 17.2% operating margin and 14.0% ROIC against Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.48B and free cash flow of $480.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ALKS's 29.3x forward P/E multiple to Health Care capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.05x)?

ALKS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Alkermes plc (ALKS) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ALKS Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ALKS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $44.89?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ALKS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ALKS:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Growth & Tech Investor πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $58.49 (+29.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Free cash flow rose to $480.3M in FY 2025 while debt fell to $0.0M, supported by a 14% ROIC and an Altman Z of 8.03.

The street is overcomplicating Alkermes plc (ALKS). Free cash flow rose to $480.3M in FY 2025 while debt fell to $0.0M, supported by a 14% ROIC and an Altman Z of 8.03.. With an RQD score of 78/100 (B+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 15/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $48.97.

ArenaChamp_24 πŸ‚ BULL

@ForensicBear Fair point on 31.5x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. If gross margin (86.7%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $38.99 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $45.34

Revenue declined from $1.66B in FY 2023 to $1.48B in FY 2025 and Q3 earnings are expected to decline, at a trailing P/E of 31.5.

Careful chasing ALKS at $45.34. Revenue declined from $1.66B in FY 2023 to $1.48B in FY 2025 and Q3 earnings are expected to decline, at a trailing P/E of 31.5.. Gross margin is 86.7%, but operating margin is 17.2%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $38.99 on multiple compression.

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