CATALYSTYahoo Finance • 12h ago
Almonty Industries (ALM) Stock May Be A Bargain After Sangdong CertificationYahoo Finance report covering Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why ALM Stock dropped -6.45% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$8.70 -6.45% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.58
Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $2.68B
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Is ALM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Almonty Industries Inc. (NASDAQ: ALM) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $8.70 (-6.45% 1D, market cap $2.68B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ALM ranks #134 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does ALM compare to DNN and UEC in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Other Metals and Minerals), ALM carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, DNN (Denison Mines Corp (Canada)) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.15B) and UEC (Uranium Energy Corp.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.9%, cap $4.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NXE leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while NXE leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALM?
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For Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #134 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.58 (-1.35%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 1.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ALM SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)
SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 1.9% FCF Margin ($75.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$11.08-20.3% Next Q
54
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$8.83+4.2% Next Q
51
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$9.20-5.4% Next Q
49
CurrentGrade D$8.70-6.1% Hist 90D α
46
Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ALM Turnaround Squeeze
While ALM currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.40) and Max Pain ($9.14) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.63.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ALM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ALM Stock dropped -6.45% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) dropped -6.45% to $8.70, trading at 17% of its 52-week range ($5.43 – $24.41). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 17% of its 52-week range ($5.43 – $24.41) with RSI-14 at 37.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $8.70 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $75.1M annual free cash flow.
Live ALM Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTInvesting.com • 15h ago
Oppenheimer reiterates Almonty Industries stock rating at OutperformInvesting.com report covering Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRESeeking Alpha • 18h ago
Almonty: The Market Is Pricing A Tungsten Crash That Hasn't ComeSeeking Alpha report covering Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 21h ago
Down 24.4% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) Looks Ripe for a TurnaroundYahoo Finance report covering Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREMarketBeat • 1d ago
Almonty Industries (NASDAQ:ALM) Shares Gap Down - Should You Sell?MarketBeat report covering Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RISK WATCHGuruFocus • 1d ago
Almonty Industries Inc (ALM) Shares Fall 3.5% -- GF Value Says SGuruFocus report covering Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RISK WATCHInvesting.com • 1d ago
Stifel cuts Almonty Industries stock price target on shipment delaysInvesting.com report covering Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTStartup Fortune • 1d ago
Almonty Industries stock slides despite a 498% revenue jump and Pentagon tailwindStartup Fortune report covering Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTSeekingAlpha • 2d ago
Buy Almonty: This Tungsten Champion Is A Potential WinnerAlmonty Industries is positioned to become the largest Western-aligned tungsten producer as China tightens export controls. Read why ALM stock is a strong buy
CATALYSTYahoo • 5d ago
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. (IVPAF) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Q3 ReleaseIvanhoe Mines Ltd. (IVPAF) possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALM)
- ✓Walkthrough of ALM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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ALM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -55.48%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $9.39H $9.39L $8.70C $8.70VOL 4.16M
RES: $18.06SUP: $8.16SMA50: $13.40SMA200: $15.83
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ALM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALM today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALM)
Materials Rank #134 of 270
⚔️ DNN vs ALM Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ALM vs. DNN, UEC, NXE, IPX)
Industry: Other Metals and Minerals (11 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) ranks #134 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #100 by equity capitalization ($2.68B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NXE leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while NXE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. NXE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with ALM at 46/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALM
ACTIVE
Almonty Industries Inc. | D | 46/100 | — | — | — | -6.45% | $2.68B | Benchmark Subject |
| DNN Denison Mines Corp (Canada) | D | 47/100 | — | — | — | -6.75% | $2.15B | /dnn-vs-alm → |
| UEC Uranium Energy Corp. | D- | 40/100 | — | 36.6% | -5.9% | -5.40% | $4.04B | /uec-vs-alm → |
| NXE Nexgen Energy Ltd. | D+ | 53/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -4.39% | $5.80B | /nxe-vs-alm → |
| IPX IperionX Limited | D | 48/100 | — | — | — | -11.91% | $578.3M | /ipx-vs-alm → |
2. ALM Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTAlmonty Industries Inc. (ALM) operates in Other Metals and Minerals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $2.68B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. ALM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ALM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Almonty Industries Inc. (NASDAQ: ALM) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $8.70 (-6.45% 1D, market cap $2.68B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ALM ranks #134 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ALM compare to DNN and UEC in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Other Metals and Minerals), ALM carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, DNN (Denison Mines Corp (Canada)) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.15B) and UEC (Uranium Energy Corp.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.9%, cap $4.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NXE leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while NXE leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALM?
For Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #134 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ALM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ALM last traded at $8.70 (-6.45% on volume of 5,573,957 shares), positioning the stock -35.07% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.40) and -45.04% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.83). Across its 52-week range of $5.43 to $24.41, ALM sits at the 17.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($7.61 to $9.79).
ALM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ALM stock moving today?
Why ALM Stock dropped -6.45% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D)
✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED
ALM — Almonty Industries Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:12:18Z
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, ALM scores 46 out of 100 with a letter grade of D and a verdict label of "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12 / 20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%); Whale 13F Flow at 4 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 9 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 8 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).
For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are institutional flow and insider conviction, which together indicate limited evidence of sustained professional or insider accumulation in the source data. The Cash Engine pillar reflects a reported 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, meaning the source data shows no measured return on invested capital or free-cash-flow yield to anchor valuation. The forensic pillar is the relative strength: the Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5 point to a balance sheet that is not flagged as distressed. Macro fit is modest, with a Beta of 1.0 indicating market-level sensitivity. Upside drivers would need to come from improved cash generation and flow evidence, while valuation tradeoffs remain unresolved given that no earnings-based multiples are available. This is an analytical summary, not personalized advice.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
- Green / CATALYST: A Yahoo Finance headline references Sangdong certification and a possible valuation view; a Investing.com headline reports Oppenheimer reiterating an Outperform rating.
- Yellow / MARKET WIRE: Seeking Alpha frames a tungsten-price argument; Yahoo Finance notes a 24.4% four-week decline; MarketBeat reports a gap-down session.
- Red / RISK WATCH: GuruFocus reports shares falling 3.5% alongside a GF Value reference.
The butterfly supply-chain graph reports sector "Materials," industry "Other Metals and Minerals," supply chain "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.
Open Questions
- What are the reported revenue, operating income, net income, EPS, FCF, cash, and debt figures by period?
- What are the trailing and forward earnings multiples, given that P/E, EPS, and EV/EBITDA are all unavailable?
- What is the consensus analyst rating and price target range?
- Who are the 13F institutional holders and what is their recent position change?
- What is the tungsten price exposure and how much revenue is tied to it?
ALM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 12h ago
Almonty Industries (ALM) Stock May Be A Bargain After Sangdong Certification Yahoo Finance report covering Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Investing.com • 15h ago
Oppenheimer reiterates Almonty Industries stock rating at Outperform Investing.com report covering Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 18h ago
Almonty: The Market Is Pricing A Tungsten Crash That Hasn't Come Seeking Alpha report covering Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 21h ago
Down 24.4% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) Looks Ripe for a Turnaround Yahoo Finance report covering Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago
Almonty Industries (NASDAQ:ALM) Shares Gap Down - Should You Sell? MarketBeat report covering Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔴 RISK WATCH GuruFocus • 1d ago
Almonty Industries Inc (ALM) Shares Fall 3.5% -- GF Value Says S GuruFocus report covering Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔴 RISK WATCH Investing.com • 1d ago
Stifel cuts Almonty Industries stock price target on shipment delays Investing.com report covering Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Startup Fortune • 1d ago
Almonty Industries stock slides despite a 498% revenue jump and Pentagon tailwind Startup Fortune report covering Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
ALM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $8.70?
🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ALM 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST
🎯 Target: $10.04 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate 🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ALM (D • RQD 46/100) a Buy at $9.30?
Welcome to the ALM (Almonty Industries Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 46/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Other Metals and Minerals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $7.63 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $9.30 Pump the brakes on ALM — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ALM, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Almonty Industries Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $11.25 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $9.30 ALM cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ALM, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Other Metals and Minerals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $9.30 (52-wk range $5.43 - $24.41), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.