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Aeluma Inc. (ALMU) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$7.52 -0.26% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.50

Aeluma Inc. (ALMU) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $145.2M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ALMU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Aeluma Inc. (NASDAQ: ALMU) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $7.52 (-0.26% 1D, market cap $145.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, ALMU ranks #593 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ALMU compare to GSIT and QUIK in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), ALMU carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 59.6%, and ROIC of -21.8%. By comparison, GSIT (GSI Technology) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $147.4M) and QUIK (QuickLogic Corporation) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $152.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALMU leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ALMU leads on capital efficiency (-21.8% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALMU?
β–Ό

Per ALMU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001828805), Aeluma Inc. generated $4.7M in revenue (+407.6% YoY), -$3.0M in net income, and -$1.3M in free cash flow against $42.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.50 (-0.24%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510030
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (9)Whales (3)SEC (11)Macro (4)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.6% Base Target
$33 Bull$7 Base$5 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ALMU RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALMU)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ALMU SCORES 30/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (37% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 5/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 59.6% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$9.12-15.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
35
Grade E$7.71+2.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
33
Grade E$7.87-4.4% Next Q
Current
30
Grade E$7.52-9.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (38) β†’ E (30)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ALMU Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While ALMU currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.19) and Max Pain ($7.90) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $33.38.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALMUβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œALMU Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 30%NO 70%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ALMU)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ALMU.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALMU)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of ALMU's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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ALMU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -72.53%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-04O $7.54H $7.54L $7.52C $7.52VOL 791.9K
RES: $7.96SUP: $5.51SMA50: $11.19SMA200: $16.45
$33.55$26.25$18.94$11.63$4.32RES $7.96SUP $5.51$7.522026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALMU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ ALMU Butterfly Map β†’ + Track ALMU β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +407.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALMU today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALMU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALMU today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALMU)

Technology Rank #593 of 715 βš”οΈ GSIT vs ALMU Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ALMU vs. GSIT, QUIK, VLN, ATOM)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aeluma Inc. (ALMU) ranks #593 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #501 by equity capitalization ($145.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALMU leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ALMU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -21.8% ROIC and 59.6% gross margin. ALMU currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ALMU ACTIVE
Aeluma Inc.
E 30/100 β€” 59.6% -21.8% -0.26% $145.2M Benchmark Subject
GSIT
GSI Technology
E 27/100 β€” 54.5% -35.0% -3.16% $147.4M /gsit-vs-almu β†’
QUIK
QuickLogic Corporation
E 24/100 β€” 22.0% -35.0% -4.80% $152.6M /quik-vs-almu β†’
VLN
Valens Semiconductor Ltd.
E 21/100 β€” 62.4% -34.9% -1.99% $155.8M /vln-vs-almu β†’
ATOM
Atomera Incorporated
E 28/100 β€” -30.0% -35.0% -3.73% $126.0M /atom-vs-almu β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-06-30 β€’ CIK 0001828805 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Aeluma Inc. (ALMU) reported GAAP revenue of $4.7M (+407.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $919.0K , and +2312.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$3.0M, operating cash flow of -$1.1M, and free cash flow of -$1.3M (+65.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALMU closed FY2025 with $42.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $4.7M -$3.0M -$1.1M -$1.3M $42.6M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $919.0K -$4.6M -$3.5M -$3.8M $6.8M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $193.3K -$5.4M -$3.6M -$3.6M β€” β€”

3. ALMU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALMU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Aeluma Inc. (NASDAQ: ALMU) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $7.52 (-0.26% 1D, market cap $145.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, ALMU ranks #593 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALMU compare to GSIT and QUIK in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), ALMU carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 59.6%, and ROIC of -21.8%. By comparison, GSIT (GSI Technology) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $147.4M) and QUIK (QuickLogic Corporation) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $152.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALMU leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ALMU leads on capital efficiency (-21.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALMU?

Per ALMU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001828805), Aeluma Inc. generated $4.7M in revenue (+407.6% YoY), -$3.0M in net income, and -$1.3M in free cash flow against $42.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALMU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALMU last traded at $7.52 (-0.26% on volume of 791,931 shares), positioning the stock -32.80% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.19) and -54.29% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.45). Across its 52-week range of $6.59 to $31.79, ALMU sits at the 3.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($6.58 to $8.46).

Direct Sub-Reports: ALMU RQD Cockpit ALMU 12M Forecast ALMU Earnings & Move ALMU Dividends & DRIP ALMU Insiders & 13F ALMU Whale Options ALMU Profit Sankey ALMU News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 30/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ALMU β€” Aeluma Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-06-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Aeluma Inc. (ALMU) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 30/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $7.52 (-0.26% 1D, market capitalization $145.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -21.8%, gross margin of 59.6%, operating margin of -45.9%, and free cash flow yield of -0.84%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Aeluma Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector and Semiconductors industry.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), Aeluma Inc. (ALMU) reported $4.7M in annual revenue (up from $919.0K in FY2024, +407.6% YoY) and -$3.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($193.3K revenue, -$5.4M net income) through FY2025, ALMU scaled operating cash flow to -$1.1M and free cash flow to -$1.3M, backed by $42.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 30/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -0.84% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $6.59 – $31.79 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -45.9% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

There are no upstream or downstream dependencies, no sector correlation links, and no proprietary signals recorded. Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and 2nd-order bottlenecks are β€” The sector assignment (Technology / Semiconductors) is the only contextual link available.

  • Key Question #1: Can ALMU sustain or expand its -45.9% operating margin and -21.8% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $4.7M and free cash flow of -$1.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ALMU's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ALMU Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Aeluma Inc. (ALMU) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ALMU Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ALMU Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $7.52?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ALMU 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ALMU:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Systematic Momentum Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.65 (+28.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Balance sheet pillar scores 11/20 with reported FY 2025 cash of $38.6M against revenue growth from $0.2M to $4.7M over two years.

Picked up a starter position in ALMU in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $7.54. Balance sheet pillar scores 11/20 with reported FY 2025 cash of $38.6M against revenue growth from $0.2M to $4.7M over two years.. Trading inside a $6.59–$31.79 52-week range with -0.84% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Semiconductors multiples expand this quarter.

ArenaChamp_24 πŸ‚ BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Semiconductors. If gross margin (59.6%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.48 (-14.1%)
Spot @ $7.54

RQD rating of 30 (grade E) with ROIC of -21.8%, FCF yield of -0.84%, and a Risk Watch insider sale of $1.14M.

RQD rating of 30 (grade E) with ROIC of -21.8%, FCF yield of -0.84%, and a Risk Watch insider sale of $1.14M.. Look at the math on ALMU: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -21.8% ROIC and -45.9% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Semiconductors demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $6.64 before getting long.

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