CATALYSTYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Alarm.com (ALRM) Stock May Be 36% Undervalued Despite Raised 2026 OutlookYahoo Finance report covering Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (ALRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why ALRM Stock advanced +1.80% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$66.03 +1.80% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $66.40
Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (ALRM) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (66.1% gross margin, 65% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B • BUY
Cap $3.18B
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Is ALRM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: ALRM) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $66.03 (+1.80% 1D, market cap $3.18B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, ALRM ranks #53 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does ALRM compare to TDC and INTA in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), ALRM carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.8x, gross margin of 66.1%, and ROIC of 64.6%. By comparison, TDC (Teradata Corporation) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 24.8x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $3.19B) and INTA (Intapp Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.9%, cap $3.24B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALRM leads on earnings multiple (24.8x) while TDC leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALRM?
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Per ALRM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001459200), Alarm.com Holdings Inc. generated $1.01B in revenue (+7.6% YoY), $131.6M in net income, and $137.0M in free cash flow against $2.14B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (66.1% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $66.40 (+0.56%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 13.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw A- · Rk C-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALRM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ALRM SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (23% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.8% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.6% FCF Margin ($137.0M FCF) & 66.1% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (68.2) create a -9 pt regime headwind
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C+$56.29+4.2% Next Q
65
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$58.68+10.4% Next Q
68
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B$64.81+1.9% Next Q
70
CurrentGrade B$66.03+7.1% Hist 90D α
73
Trajectory: C+ (65) → B (73)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ALRM Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 73/100 (B) score, ALRM faces multiple-compression risk if 24.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 63.6% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($57.33) or 200D SMA ($50.21) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($70.49) toward Bear Floor ($54.14).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALRM• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ALRM Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ALRM Stock advanced +1.80% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (ALRM) advanced +1.80% to $66.03, trading at 95% of its 52-week range ($41.49 – $67.41). High-quality cash engine (66.1% gross margin, 65% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 95% of its 52-week range ($41.49 – $67.41) with RSI-14 at 68.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.8% around $66.03 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 66.1% gross margin and $137.0M annual free cash flow.
Live ALRM Headlines & Catalysts
RISK WATCHTrefis • 1d ago
What Does Alarm.com’s Falling Multiple Really Say?Trefis report covering Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (ALRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Alarm.com to Announce 2026 Third Quarter Results on November 5, 2026Yahoo Finance report covering Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (ALRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREGuruFocus • 1d ago
Alarm.com Holdings (ALRM) Shows Strong Momentum with RSI at 85 aGuruFocus report covering Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (ALRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREMarketBeat • 2d ago
Alarm.com (NASDAQ:ALRM) Shares Break Below 50-Day Moving Average - Here's WhyMarketBeat report covering Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (ALRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRETradingView • 2d ago
ALRM Q2 Deep Dive: Commercial, Energy, and International Segments Drive Upward GuidanceTradingView report covering Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (ALRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRESimply Wall St • 2d ago
Alarm.com Holdings (ALRM) Lifts 2026 Outlook As Fair Value Debate Gets Harder To IgnoreSimply Wall St report covering Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (ALRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREBusiness Wire • 2d ago
Alarm.com Extends Intelligent Video Protection to More Entryways with New Battery-Powered 781BBusiness Wire report covering Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (ALRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 4d ago
Was There Any Sign ADT Stock Would Run?For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
CATALYSTBenzinga • 4d ago
JP Morgan Maintains Underweight on Alarm.com Holdings, Raises Price Target to $50JP Morgan analyst Ella Smith maintains Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) with a Underweight and raises the price target from $40 to $50.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ALRM Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ALRM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +39.81%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $66.54H $66.54L $64.86C $66.03VOL 721.7K
RES: $67.72SUP: $53.67SMA50: $57.33SMA200: $50.21
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ALRM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
18.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +7.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALRM today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALRM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALRM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALRM)
Technology Rank #53 of 715
⚔️ TDC vs ALRM Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ALRM vs. TDC, INTA, CLBT, VIA)
Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (ALRM) ranks #53 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #245 by equity capitalization ($3.18B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALRM leads on earnings valuation at 24.8x trailing P/E, while TDC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 59.4% gross margin. ALRM currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 73/100 (B).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALRM
ACTIVE
Alarm.com Holdings Inc. | B | 73/100 | 24.8x | 66.1% | 64.6% | +1.80% | $3.18B | Benchmark Subject |
| TDC Teradata Corporation | C+ | 66/100 | 24.8x | 59.4% | 85.0% | -1.87% | $3.19B | /tdc-vs-alrm → |
| INTA Intapp Inc. | D+ | 58/100 | — | 74.0% | -9.9% | +6.68% | $3.24B | /inta-vs-alrm → |
| CLBT Cellebrite DI Ltd. | C+ | 69/100 | 39.4x | 84.2% | 14.6% | -0.16% | $3.05B | /clbt-vs-alrm → |
| VIA Via Transportation Inc. (Class A) | D | 50/100 | — | 39.6% | -23.6% | +0.03% | $2.97B | /via-vs-alrm → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001459200 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (ALRM) reported GAAP revenue of $1.01B (+7.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $939.8M , and +14.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $131.6M, operating cash flow of $153.3M, and free cash flow of $137.0M (-30.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALRM closed FY2025 with $2.14B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.94, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.01B | $131.6M | $153.3M | $137.0M | $2.14B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $939.8M | $122.5M | $206.4M | $196.3M | $2.04B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $881.7M | $80.3M | $136.0M | $136.0M | — | — |
3. ALRM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ALRM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: ALRM) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $66.03 (+1.80% 1D, market cap $3.18B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, ALRM ranks #53 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ALRM compare to TDC and INTA in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), ALRM carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.8x, gross margin of 66.1%, and ROIC of 64.6%. By comparison, TDC (Teradata Corporation) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 24.8x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $3.19B) and INTA (Intapp Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.9%, cap $3.24B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALRM leads on earnings multiple (24.8x) while TDC leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALRM?
Per ALRM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001459200), Alarm.com Holdings Inc. generated $1.01B in revenue (+7.6% YoY), $131.6M in net income, and $137.0M in free cash flow against $2.14B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (66.1% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ALRM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ALRM last traded at $66.03 (+1.80% on volume of 551,828 shares), positioning the stock +15.18% above its 50-day simple moving average ($57.33) and +31.51% above its 200-day simple moving average ($50.21). Across its 52-week range of $41.49 to $67.41, ALRM sits at the 94.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 68.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.8% ($62.20 to $69.86).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 73/100 (B)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
ALRM — Alarm.com Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (ALRM) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 73/100, corresponding to a B letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $66.03 (+1.80% 1D, market capitalization $3.18B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (16/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 64.6%, gross margin of 66.1%, operating margin of 13.2%, and free cash flow yield of 4.20%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (17/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.94, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (ALRM) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector, within the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry..3B.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (ALRM) reported $1.01B in annual revenue (up from $939.8M in FY2024, +7.6% YoY) and $131.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($881.7M revenue, $80.3M net income) through FY2025, ALRM scaled operating cash flow to $153.3M and free cash flow to $137.0M, backed by $2.14B in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B • RQD 73/100): Strong cash generator (66.1% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $41.49 – $67.41 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 24.8x trailing P/E and 15.6x EV/EBITDA against 13.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore — Investors should note that the RSI reading of 85 and the break below the 50-day moving average, both cited in the news wire, point to near-term price volatility; the third-quarter results on November 5, 2026 are a scheduled event that could alter the current setup.
- Key Question #1: Can ALRM sustain or expand its 13.2% operating margin and 64.6% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.01B and free cash flow of $137.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is ALRM's 23.1x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
ALRM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (ALRM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
Alarm.com (ALRM) Stock May Be 36% Undervalued Despite Raised 2026 Outlook Yahoo Finance report covering Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (ALRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔴 RISK WATCH Trefis • 1d ago
What Does Alarm.com’s Falling Multiple Really Say? Trefis report covering Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (ALRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
Alarm.com to Announce 2026 Third Quarter Results on November 5, 2026 Yahoo Finance report covering Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (ALRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE GuruFocus • 1d ago
Alarm.com Holdings (ALRM) Shows Strong Momentum with RSI at 85 a GuruFocus report covering Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (ALRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 2d ago
Alarm.com (NASDAQ:ALRM) Shares Break Below 50-Day Moving Average - Here's Why MarketBeat report covering Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (ALRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 2d ago
ALRM Q2 Deep Dive: Commercial, Energy, and International Segments Drive Upward Guidance TradingView report covering Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (ALRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 2d ago
Alarm.com Holdings (ALRM) Lifts 2026 Outlook As Fair Value Debate Gets Harder To Ignore Simply Wall St report covering Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (ALRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Business Wire • 2d ago
Alarm.com Extends Intelligent Video Protection to More Entryways with New Battery-Powered 781B Business Wire report covering Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (ALRM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
ALRM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $66.03?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ALRM 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $78.48 (+21.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate Per the RQD rating, ROIC of 64.6% and Piotroski F of 8/9 indicate strong capital efficiency and balance-sheet quality.
Per the RQD rating, ROIC of 64.6% and Piotroski F of 8/9 indicate strong capital efficiency and balance-sheet quality.. When you look under the hood at ALRM, Fundamental Cash Engine is 16/20 with 66.1% gross margins and 64.6% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (17/20) has been quietly accumulating below $67.41. My 12M target is $78.48.
RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL
Both sides have a point here — ALRM's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $55.13 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $64.86 Per the RQD rating, macro regime fit scores only 11 of 20, and P/E (TTM) of 24.8 leaves limited valuation cushion.
Fading this rally in ALRM at $64.86. Per the RQD rating, macro regime fit scores only 11 of 20, and P/E (TTM) of 24.8 leaves limited valuation cushion.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $64.86 (52-wk range $41.49–$67.41), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.