Yahoo Finance report covering Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why ALRS Stock surged +4.40% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is ALRS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Alerus Financial Corporation (NASDAQ: ALRS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $34.63 (+4.40% 1D, market cap $826.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, ALRS ranks #312 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does ALRS compare to SMBK and SPFI in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), ALRS carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 47.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.1%. By comparison, SMBK (SmartFinancial Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 16.7x, ROIC 9.1%, cap $828.8M) and SPFI (South Plains Financial Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 14.2x, ROIC 11.8%, cap $829.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IBCP leads on earnings multiple (12.0x) while IBCP leads on capital efficiency (13.6% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALRS?
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Per ALRS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000903419), Alerus Financial Corporation generated $2.20B in revenue (-0.6% YoY), $17.4M in net income, and $58.8M in free cash flow against $5.23B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 47x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.5% realized swing band)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ALRS Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 63/100 (C) score, ALRS faces multiple-compression risk if 47.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Priced at 47x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($32.38) or 200D SMA ($28.90) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($35.41) toward Bear Floor ($27.62).
Why ALRS Stock surged +4.40% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) surged +4.40% to $34.63, trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($20.75 – $34.63). Solid steady margins (3% return on capital), mixed timing at 47x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($20.75 – $34.63) with RSI-14 at 63.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.5% around $34.63 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $58.8M annual free cash flow.
TradingView report covering Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
www.marketscreener.com report covering Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Quiver Quantitative report covering Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods analyst Damon Delmonte maintains Alerus Financial (NASDAQ:ALRS) with a Market Perform and raises the price target from $32 to $34.
Alerus Financial came into this earnings print with a rich 27.3x P/E and a reputation built on steady fee income and disciplined credit. Q3 2026 results landed with record revenue around the low US$80 million mark and re
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ALRS Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
ALRS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -0.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALRS today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALRS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALRS)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ALRS vs. SMBK, SPFI, RCBC, IBCP)
Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) ranks #312 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #590 by equity capitalization ($826.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IBCP leads on earnings valuation at 12.0x trailing P/E, while IBCP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.6% ROIC and — gross margin. IBCP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with ALRS at 63/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALRS
ACTIVE
Alerus Financial Corporation | C | 63/100 | 47.2x | — | 3.1% | +4.40% | $826.8M | Benchmark Subject |
| SMBK SmartFinancial Inc. | C- | 61/100 | 16.7x | — | 9.1% | +1.77% | $828.8M | /smbk-vs-alrs → |
| SPFI South Plains Financial Inc. | C+ | 69/100 | 14.2x | — | 11.8% | +1.23% | $829.1M | /spfi-vs-alrs → |
| RCBC River City Bank | C- | 61/100 | — | — | — | +0.97% | $823.4M | /rcbc-vs-alrs → |
| IBCP Independent Bank Corporation | B- | 70/100 | 12.0x | — | 13.6% | +2.13% | $807.5M | /ibcp-vs-alrs → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000903419 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) reported GAAP revenue of $2.20B (-0.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.21B , and +1375.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $17.4M, operating cash flow of $67.5M, and free cash flow of $58.8M (+527.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALRS closed FY2025 with $5.23B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.20B | $17.4M | $67.5M | $58.8M | $5.23B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.21B | $17.8M | $21.7M | $9.4M | $5.26B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $148.8M | $11.7M | $26.8M | $26.8M | — | — |
3. ALRS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ALRS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Alerus Financial Corporation (NASDAQ: ALRS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $34.63 (+4.40% 1D, market cap $826.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, ALRS ranks #312 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ALRS compare to SMBK and SPFI in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), ALRS carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 47.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.1%. By comparison, SMBK (SmartFinancial Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 16.7x, ROIC 9.1%, cap $828.8M) and SPFI (South Plains Financial Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 14.2x, ROIC 11.8%, cap $829.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IBCP leads on earnings multiple (12.0x) while IBCP leads on capital efficiency (13.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALRS?
Per ALRS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000903419), Alerus Financial Corporation generated $2.20B in revenue (-0.6% YoY), $17.4M in net income, and $58.8M in free cash flow against $5.23B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 47x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ALRS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ALRS last traded at $34.63 (+4.40% on volume of 177,117 shares), positioning the stock +6.95% above its 50-day simple moving average ($32.38) and +19.83% above its 200-day simple moving average ($28.90). Across its 52-week range of $20.75 to $34.40, ALRS sits at the 100.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.5% ($33.07 to $36.19).
ALRS — Alerus Financial Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 63/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $34.63 (+4.40% 1D, market capitalization $826.8M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 7.15%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) is a NASDAQ-listed operating company in the Major Banks industry (Financials sector) with an equity market capitalization of $826.8M. The business operates with a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of 0%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.1% (free cash flow yield of 7.15%). Within the Major Banks peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) reported $2.20B in annual revenue (up from $2.21B in FY2024, -0.6% YoY) and $17.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($148.8M revenue, $11.7M net income) through FY2025, ALRS scaled operating cash flow to $67.5M and free cash flow to $58.8M, backed by $5.23B in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 63/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 7.15% and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $20.75 – $34.40 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Priced at 47x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Investors must weigh 47.2x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Supply chain: NONE. Butterfly links: none listed. Proprietary signals: none listed. The only sector-level information is the Financials / Major Banks classification and a stated Beta of 1.0.
- Key Question #1: Can ALRS sustain or expand its — operating margin and 3.1% ROIC against Major Banks peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.20B and free cash flow of $58.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is ALRS's 43.9x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
ALRS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
www.marketscreener.com report covering Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Quiver Quantitative report covering Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ALRS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $34.63?
Institutional accumulation and options positioning earn the highest pillar score (14/20) in the RQD rating, and reported Q3 2026 net in
Institutional accumulation and options positioning earn the highest pillar score (14/20) in the RQD rating, and reported Q3 2026 net income of $19.2 Million is cited across multiple news items.. When you look under the hood at ALRS, Fundamental Cash Engine is 12/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 3.1% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (14/20) has been quietly accumulating below $34.40. My 12M target is $38.15.
Both sides have a point here — ALRS's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
A trailing P/E of 47.2 against EPS (TTM) of 0.7, with ROIC of 3.1% and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, leaves the price resting on expectatio
Fading this rally in ALRS at $33.17. A trailing P/E of 47.2 against EPS (TTM) of 0.7, with ROIC of 3.1% and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, leaves the price resting on expectations well beyond current reported earnings power.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $33.17 (52-wk range $20.75–$34.40), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.