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Amber International Holding Limited (AMBR) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.90 +7.35% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.92

Amber International Holding Limited (AMBR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $166.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AMBR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Amber International Holding Limited (NASDAQ: AMBR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $1.90 (+7.35% 1D, market cap $166.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, AMBR ranks #1038 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AMBR compare to TONX and USBC in the Financials sector?
▼

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), AMBR carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, TONX (TON Strategy Company) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.8%, cap $168.5M) and USBC (USBC Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.4%, cap $159.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMBR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NSLR leads on capital efficiency (23.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMBR?
▼

Per AMBR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2024, filed 2024-12-31, CIK 0001697818), Amber International Holding Limited generated $32.8M in revenue (-9.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$21.8M in free cash flow against $49.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.92 (+1.13%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510028
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (3)Whales (9)SEC (10)Macro (4)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.7% Base Target
$3 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE AMBR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AMBR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (28/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AMBR SCORES 28/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (36% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (32% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
20
Grade E$1.84-1.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
23
Grade E$1.82-18.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
25
Grade E$1.48+28.4% Next Q
Current
28
Grade E$1.90-10% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (20) → E (28)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AMBR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AMBR currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.55) and Max Pain ($1.99) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.32.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AMBR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AMBR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 28%NO 72%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your AMBR Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.90: 5263.2 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $1.28
$6,737
$-3,263 (-32.6%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.64
$8,632
$-1,368 (-13.7%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $3.32
$17,474
+$7,474 (+74.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$274%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$369%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AMBR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AMBR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AMBR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.03%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $1.60H $1.90L $1.60C $1.90VOL 91.3K
RES: $2.55SUP: $0.26SMA50: $1.55SMA200: $1.85
$3.15$2.52$1.89$1.26$0.63RES $2.55SUP $0.26$1.902026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AMBR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AMBR Butterfly Map → + Track AMBR →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -9.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMBR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AMBR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AMBR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AMBR)

Financials Rank #1038 of 1097 ⚔️ TONX vs AMBR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AMBR vs. TONX, USBC, NSLR, EXOD)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Amber International Holding Limited (AMBR) ranks #1038 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #914 by equity capitalization ($166.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AMBR leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NSLR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.8% ROIC and — gross margin. NSLR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with AMBR at 28/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AMBR ACTIVE
Amber International Holding Limited
E 28/100 — — -35.0% +7.35% $166.9M Benchmark Subject
TONX
TON Strategy Company
E 32/100 — — -7.8% -4.90% $168.5M /tonx-vs-ambr →
USBC
USBC Inc.
D- 39/100 — — -18.4% +1.78% $159.0M /usbc-vs-ambr →
NSLR
Neostellar Capital Corp.
D+ 52/100 — — 23.8% +1.26% $157.0M /nslr-vs-ambr →
EXOD
Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A)
E 17/100 — — -4.6% -2.91% $155.5M /exod-vs-ambr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2024)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2024-12-31 • CIK 0001697818 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2024, filed 2024-12-31), Amber International Holding Limited (AMBR) reported GAAP revenue of $32.8M (-9.0% vs. FY2023 revenue of $36.1M ) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of -$21.8M, and free cash flow of -$21.8M (-12.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, AMBR closed FY2024 with $49.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $32.8M $0 -$21.8M -$21.8M $49.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $36.1M -$38.7M -$19.4M -$19.4M — —

3. AMBR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AMBR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Amber International Holding Limited (NASDAQ: AMBR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $1.90 (+7.35% 1D, market cap $166.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, AMBR ranks #1038 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AMBR compare to TONX and USBC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), AMBR carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, TONX (TON Strategy Company) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.8%, cap $168.5M) and USBC (USBC Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.4%, cap $159.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMBR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NSLR leads on capital efficiency (23.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMBR?

Per AMBR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2024, filed 2024-12-31, CIK 0001697818), Amber International Holding Limited generated $32.8M in revenue (-9.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$21.8M in free cash flow against $49.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AMBR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AMBR last traded at $1.90 (+7.35% on volume of 106,951 shares), positioning the stock +22.58% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.55) and +2.70% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.85). Across its 52-week range of $0.83 to $3.16, AMBR sits at the 45.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.66 to $2.14).

Direct Sub-Reports: AMBR RQD Cockpit AMBR 12M Forecast AMBR Earnings & Move AMBR Dividends & DRIP AMBR Insiders & 13F AMBR Whale Options AMBR Profit Sankey AMBR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 28/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AMBR — Amber International Holding Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2024-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Amber International Holding Limited (AMBR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 28/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.90 (+7.35% 1D, market capitalization $166.9M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -52.9%, and free cash flow yield of -14.48%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Amber International Holding Limited is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating in Finance: Consumer Services..2B, which differs in rounding from the $150.8M figure shown in the market data; both are reported as source values.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2024 (filed 2024-12-31), Amber International Holding Limited (AMBR) reported $32.8M in annual revenue (up from $36.1M in FY2023, -9.0% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($36.1M revenue, -$38.7M net income) through FY2024, AMBR scaled operating cash flow to -$21.8M and free cash flow to -$21.8M, backed by $49.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 28/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -14.48% and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.83 – $3.16 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -52.9% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Finance: Consumer Services (Financials), AMBR carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can AMBR sustain or expand its -52.9% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Finance: Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2024 revenue of $32.8M and free cash flow of -$21.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AMBR's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

AMBR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Amber International Holding Limited (AMBR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AMBR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 63d ago
Why Is Amber International Stock Gaining Tuesday?

Amber International Holding Limited (NASDAQ:AMBR) stock is up during Tuesday’s premarket session as the company marks a fundamental shift in strategy toward building specialized AI agents.Shifts Strategy To Build Special

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AMBR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.90?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AMBR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AMBR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.04 (+15.3%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The stock sits near the low end of its 52-week range at $1.77, and its beta of 1.0 and Altman Z of 2.5 give it a macro-neutral profile

The stock sits near the low end of its 52-week range at $1.77, and its beta of 1.0 and Altman Z of 2.5 give it a macro-neutral profile with no distress flag in that metric.. When you look under the hood at AMBR, Fundamental Cash Engine is 2/20 with 0.0% gross margins and -35.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (9/20) has been quietly accumulating below $3.16. My 12M target is $2.04.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Finance: Consumer Services. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.45 (-18.1%)
Spot @ $1.77

Negative ROIC of -35%, FCF yield of -14.48%, and a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 show the business is not generating cash and has weak funda

Negative ROIC of -35%, FCF yield of -14.48%, and a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 show the business is not generating cash and has weak fundamental quality.. Look at the math on AMBR: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -35.0% ROIC and -52.9% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Finance: Consumer Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $1.56 before getting long.

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