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Stock Ratings / Financials / EXOD
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Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$5.00 -2.91% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.96

Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 17/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $155.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on EXOD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is EXOD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: EXOD) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 17/100 at a spot price of $5.00 (-2.91% 1D, market cap $155.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, EXOD ranks #1097 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does EXOD compare to NSLR and USBC in the Financials sector?
▼

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), EXOD carries a Roarable E (17/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -4.6%. By comparison, NSLR (Neostellar Capital Corp.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 23.8%, cap $157.0M) and USBC (USBC Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.4%, cap $159.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXOD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NSLR leads on capital efficiency (23.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EXOD?
▼

Per EXOD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001821534), Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) generated $121.6M in revenue (+4.5% YoY), -$11.4M in net income, and -$25.8M in free cash flow against $266.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.96 (-0.71%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (17/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510017
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (3)SEC (5)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-18.4% Base Target
$27 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE EXOD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EXOD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (17/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EXOD SCORES 17/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+5/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
25
Grade E$6.06-15.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
22
Grade E$5.11+2.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
20
Grade E$5.22-4.2% Next Q
Current
17
Grade E$5.00-12.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (25) → E (17)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a EXOD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While EXOD currently carries a cautious 17/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.70) and Max Pain ($5.25) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $26.75.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EXOD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EXOD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 18%NO 82%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
38.230 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
2 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE
L: $5$5.00H: $25
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 3 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 8 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning on EXOD

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (15)

-4.6% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -15.16% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (25)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (18)

6/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 3/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like EXOD
  • ✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring EXOD)

  • ✓Walkthrough of EXOD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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EXOD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -36.87%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $5.64H $5.64L $5.00C $5.00VOL 47.6K
RES: $11.26SUP: $5.06SMA50: $6.70SMA200: $7.57
$19.39$15.37$11.36$7.34$3.32RES $11.26SUP $5.06$5.002026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EXOD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 EXOD Butterfly Map → + Track EXOD →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EXOD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EXOD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EXOD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EXOD)

Financials Rank #1097 of 1097 ⚔️ NSLR vs EXOD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (EXOD vs. NSLR, USBC, AMBR, TONX)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) ranks #1097 by composite RQD confidence (17/100, grade E) and #922 by equity capitalization ($155.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EXOD leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NSLR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.8% ROIC and — gross margin. NSLR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with EXOD at 17/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
EXOD ACTIVE
Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A)
E 17/100 — — -4.6% -2.91% $155.5M Benchmark Subject
NSLR
Neostellar Capital Corp.
D+ 52/100 — — 23.8% +1.26% $157.0M /nslr-vs-exod →
USBC
USBC Inc.
D- 39/100 — — -18.4% +1.78% $159.0M /usbc-vs-exod →
AMBR
Amber International Holding Limited
E 28/100 — — -35.0% +7.35% $166.9M /ambr-vs-exod →
TONX
TON Strategy Company
E 32/100 — — -7.8% -4.90% $168.5M /tonx-vs-exod →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001821534 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) reported GAAP revenue of $121.6M (+4.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $116.3M , and +116.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$11.4M, operating cash flow of -$25.6M, and free cash flow of -$25.8M (-109.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, EXOD closed FY2025 with $266.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $121.6M -$11.4M -$25.6M -$25.8M $266.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $116.3M $113.0M -$12.0M -$12.3M $288.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $56.2M $12.8M $692.0K $692.0K — —

3. EXOD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EXOD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: EXOD) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 17/100 at a spot price of $5.00 (-2.91% 1D, market cap $155.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, EXOD ranks #1097 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EXOD compare to NSLR and USBC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), EXOD carries a Roarable E (17/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -4.6%. By comparison, NSLR (Neostellar Capital Corp.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 23.8%, cap $157.0M) and USBC (USBC Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.4%, cap $159.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXOD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NSLR leads on capital efficiency (23.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EXOD?

Per EXOD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001821534), Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) generated $121.6M in revenue (+4.5% YoY), -$11.4M in net income, and -$25.8M in free cash flow against $266.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EXOD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EXOD last traded at $5.00 (-2.91% on volume of 15,071 shares), positioning the stock -25.37% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.70) and -33.95% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.57). Across its 52-week range of $4.57 to $25.48, EXOD sits at the 2.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($4.37 to $5.63).

Direct Sub-Reports: EXOD RQD Cockpit EXOD 12M Forecast EXOD Earnings & Move EXOD Dividends & DRIP EXOD Insiders & 13F EXOD Whale Options EXOD Profit Sankey EXOD News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 17/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

EXOD — Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 17/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $5.00 (-2.91% 1D, market capitalization $155.5M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -4.6%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of -15.16%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating in the Finance: Consumer Services industry..2B. — for additional detail on how the company makes money.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) reported $121.6M in annual revenue (up from $116.3M in FY2024, +4.5% YoY) and -$11.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($56.2M revenue, $12.8M net income) through FY2025, EXOD scaled operating cash flow to -$25.6M and free cash flow to -$25.8M, backed by $266.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 17/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -15.16% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.57 – $25.48 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— for upstream or downstream dependencies.

  • Key Question #1: Can EXOD sustain or expand its — operating margin and -4.6% ROIC against Finance: Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $121.6M and free cash flow of -$25.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is EXOD's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

EXOD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to EXOD Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

EXOD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $5.00?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON EXOD 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on EXOD:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $6.13 (+19.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $56.2M in FY 2023 to $121.6M in FY 2025, showing top-line expansion.

Don't sleep on EXOD's setup in Financials. Revenue grew from $56.2M in FY 2023 to $121.6M in FY 2025, showing top-line expansion.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (17/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Finance: Consumer Services. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.02 (-21.9%)
Spot @ $5.15

Free cash flow was negative in FY 2024 and FY 2025, and the RQD fundamental pillar scored only 3 of 20.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short EXOD above $5.15. Free cash flow was negative in FY 2024 and FY 2025, and the RQD fundamental pillar scored only 3 of 20.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20) and FCF yield (-15.16%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $25.48.

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