Investing.com report covering Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why EXOD Stock dropped -2.91% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 17/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is EXOD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: EXOD) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 17/100 at a spot price of $5.00 (-2.91% 1D, market cap $155.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, EXOD ranks #1097 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does EXOD compare to NSLR and USBC in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), EXOD carries a Roarable E (17/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -4.6%. By comparison, NSLR (Neostellar Capital Corp.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 23.8%, cap $157.0M) and USBC (USBC Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.4%, cap $159.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXOD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NSLR leads on capital efficiency (23.8% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EXOD?
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Per EXOD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001821534), Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) generated $121.6M in revenue (+4.5% YoY), -$11.4M in net income, and -$25.8M in free cash flow against $266.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a EXOD Turnaround Squeeze
While EXOD currently carries a cautious 17/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.70) and Max Pain ($5.25) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $26.75.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why EXOD Stock dropped -2.91% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) dropped -2.91% to $5.00, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($4.57 – $25.48). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($4.57 – $25.48) with RSI-14 at 38.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $5.00 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
MarketBeat report covering Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com Nigeria report covering Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Securitize (NYSE: SECZ) is gaining tokenization partnerships and regulatory support, but revenue declined, losses widened, and the company cut its 2026 guidance.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring EXOD)
- ✓Walkthrough of EXOD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
EXOD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +4.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EXOD today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EXOD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EXOD)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (EXOD vs. NSLR, USBC, AMBR, TONX)
Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) ranks #1097 by composite RQD confidence (17/100, grade E) and #922 by equity capitalization ($155.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EXOD leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NSLR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.8% ROIC and — gross margin. NSLR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with EXOD at 17/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXOD
ACTIVE
Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) | E | 17/100 | — | — | -4.6% | -2.91% | $155.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| NSLR Neostellar Capital Corp. | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | 23.8% | +1.26% | $157.0M | /nslr-vs-exod → |
| USBC USBC Inc. | D- | 39/100 | — | — | -18.4% | +1.78% | $159.0M | /usbc-vs-exod → |
| AMBR Amber International Holding Limited | E | 28/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +7.35% | $166.9M | /ambr-vs-exod → |
| TONX TON Strategy Company | E | 32/100 | — | — | -7.8% | -4.90% | $168.5M | /tonx-vs-exod → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001821534 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) reported GAAP revenue of $121.6M (+4.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $116.3M , and +116.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$11.4M, operating cash flow of -$25.6M, and free cash flow of -$25.8M (-109.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, EXOD closed FY2025 with $266.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $121.6M | -$11.4M | -$25.6M | -$25.8M | $266.8M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $116.3M | $113.0M | -$12.0M | -$12.3M | $288.0M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $56.2M | $12.8M | $692.0K | $692.0K | — | — |
3. EXOD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs EXOD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: EXOD) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 17/100 at a spot price of $5.00 (-2.91% 1D, market cap $155.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, EXOD ranks #1097 in composite RQD confidence.
How does EXOD compare to NSLR and USBC in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), EXOD carries a Roarable E (17/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -4.6%. By comparison, NSLR (Neostellar Capital Corp.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 23.8%, cap $157.0M) and USBC (USBC Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.4%, cap $159.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXOD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NSLR leads on capital efficiency (23.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EXOD?
Per EXOD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001821534), Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) generated $121.6M in revenue (+4.5% YoY), -$11.4M in net income, and -$25.8M in free cash flow against $266.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is EXOD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
EXOD last traded at $5.00 (-2.91% on volume of 15,071 shares), positioning the stock -25.37% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.70) and -33.95% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.57). Across its 52-week range of $4.57 to $25.48, EXOD sits at the 2.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($4.37 to $5.63).
EXOD — Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 17/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $5.00 (-2.91% 1D, market capitalization $155.5M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -4.6%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of -15.16%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating in the Finance: Consumer Services industry..2B. — for additional detail on how the company makes money.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) reported $121.6M in annual revenue (up from $116.3M in FY2024, +4.5% YoY) and -$11.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($56.2M revenue, $12.8M net income) through FY2025, EXOD scaled operating cash flow to -$25.6M and free cash flow to -$25.8M, backed by $266.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 17/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -15.16% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.57 – $25.48 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
— for upstream or downstream dependencies.
- Key Question #1: Can EXOD sustain or expand its — operating margin and -4.6% ROIC against Finance: Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $121.6M and free cash flow of -$25.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is EXOD's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
EXOD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Investing.com report covering Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com Nigeria report covering Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Securitize (NYSE: SECZ) is gaining tokenization partnerships and regulatory support, but revenue declined, losses widened, and the company cut its 2026 guidance.
EXOD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $5.00?
Revenue grew from $56.2M in FY 2023 to $121.6M in FY 2025, showing top-line expansion.
Don't sleep on EXOD's setup in Financials. Revenue grew from $56.2M in FY 2023 to $121.6M in FY 2025, showing top-line expansion.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (17/100) backs up the fundamental quality.
@MeanReversion_88 Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Finance: Consumer Services. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
Free cash flow was negative in FY 2024 and FY 2025, and the RQD fundamental pillar scored only 3 of 20.
Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short EXOD above $5.15. Free cash flow was negative in FY 2024 and FY 2025, and the RQD fundamental pillar scored only 3 of 20.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20) and FCF yield (-15.16%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $25.48.