Apnimed Inc. (APMD) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$15.40 -6.10% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.20

Apnimed Inc. (APMD) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $682.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is APMD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Apnimed Inc. (NASDAQ: APMD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $15.40 (-6.10% 1D, market cap $682.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, APMD ranks #403 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does APMD compare to DSGN and SGMT in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), APMD carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, DSGN (Design Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.1%, cap $668.4M) and SGMT (Sagimet Biosciences Inc. (Series A)) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $699.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, APMD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DSGN leads on capital efficiency (-32.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APMD?
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Per APMD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001745648), Apnimed Inc. generated $30.6M in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $72.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.20 (-1.29%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 62.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510043
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.8% Base Target
$37 Bull$14 Base$11 Bear
📬 FREE APMD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for APMD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY APMD SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 62.5% FCF Margin ($19.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$17.83+3.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$18.51+5.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$19.49-21% Next Q
Current
43
Grade D-$15.40-6.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (51) → D- (43)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a APMD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While APMD currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($22.53) and Max Pain ($16.17) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $37.05.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $APMD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “APMD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (APMD)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for APMD.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring APMD)

  • ✓Walkthrough of APMD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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APMD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.40%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $17.34H $17.34L $15.40C $15.40VOL 466.5K
RES: $18.53SUP: $15.14SMA50: $22.53SMA200: $23.92
$36.68$30.91$25.15$19.38$13.61RES $18.53SUP $15.14$15.402026-07-312026-08-242026-09-172026-10-092026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

APMD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on APMD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for APMD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for APMD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (APMD)

Health Care Rank #403 of 1016 ⚔️ DSGN vs APMD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (APMD vs. DSGN, SGMT, WVE, ABUS)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Apnimed Inc. (APMD) ranks #403 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #398 by equity capitalization ($682.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, APMD leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while DSGN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -32.1% ROIC and — gross margin. APMD currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
APMD ACTIVE
Apnimed Inc.
D- 43/100 — — — -6.10% $682.7M Benchmark Subject
DSGN
Design Therapeutics Inc.
E 33/100 — — -32.1% -4.96% $668.4M /dsgn-vs-apmd →
SGMT
Sagimet Biosciences Inc. (Series A)
D- 41/100 — — -35.0% -2.32% $699.7M /sgmt-vs-apmd →
WVE
Wave Life Sciences Inc.
E 22/100 — — -35.0% -1.95% $708.1M /wve-vs-apmd →
ABUS
Arbutus Biopharma Corporation
E 18/100 — — -35.0% -4.99% $645.3M /abus-vs-apmd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001745648

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Apnimed Inc. (APMD) reported GAAP revenue of $30.6M , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, APMD closed FY2025 with $72.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $30.6M $0 — — $72.9M $0

3. APMD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is APMD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Apnimed Inc. (NASDAQ: APMD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $15.40 (-6.10% 1D, market cap $682.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, APMD ranks #403 in composite RQD confidence.

How does APMD compare to DSGN and SGMT in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), APMD carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, DSGN (Design Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.1%, cap $668.4M) and SGMT (Sagimet Biosciences Inc. (Series A)) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $699.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, APMD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DSGN leads on capital efficiency (-32.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APMD?

Per APMD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001745648), Apnimed Inc. generated $30.6M in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $72.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is APMD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

APMD last traded at $15.40 (-6.10% on volume of 530,968 shares), positioning the stock -31.65% below its 50-day simple moving average ($22.53) and -35.62% below its 200-day simple moving average ($23.92). Across its 52-week range of $16.12 to $35.29, APMD sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($13.47 to $17.33).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 43/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

APMD — Apnimed Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:15:02Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

APMD scores 44 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars break down as follows: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow 4/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction 9/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit 8/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet 13/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are the ones tied to cash generation and institutional demand. A 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield mean the cash-engine pillar gives little support to valuation on current source figures, and the whale-flow score of 4/20 indicates limited institutional accumulation in the source data. The insider-conviction pillar (9/20) is also below midpoint. The forensic balance-sheet pillar is the relative strength, with a Piotroski F of 6/9 and Debt/Equity of 0.5, though these readings do not offset weak cash returns. Upside drivers would need to come from outside the current cash profile, while the valuation tradeoff is that the source data provides no earnings multiples to anchor a price against earnings. The verdict label reflects these combined signals rather than any single metric.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Apnimed Inc. (APMD) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry. The market capitalization is $0.7B. Per the recent news wire, the company's late-breaking sleep apnea presentations and Phase 3 AD109 data in obstructive sleep apnea are slated for CHEST 2026. — for product sales, customer base, or revenue model details.

FY 2025 reported zero revenue, zero operating income, and zero net income, with cash of $41.9M and debt of —. Gross, operating, and net margins are each 0% per the market data, and ROIC is 0%. The Roarable RQD rating reports an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. The balance sheet posture, per these figures, shows no reported debt against $41.9M in cash, while the income statement shows no reported revenue or profit in the period.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: The forensic balance sheet scores 13/20 with a Piotroski F of 6/9, Debt/Equity of 0.5, and $41.9M in cash against $0.0M debt. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 (ROIC —, FCF yield —) and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $16.12 – $35.29 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: The RQD cash engine scores 10/20 with 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, while whale flow scores only 4/20. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means this dossier cannot identify supplier, customer, or partner exposure from the source data.

  • Key Question #1: What is the timeline and cash runway implied by $41.9M in cash against the reported operating results?
  • Key Question #2: What is the status of the Phase 3 AD109 program and its regulatory path, beyond the CHEST presentation headlines?
  • Key Question #3: Who are the institutional and insider holders, and what is the direction of their recent activity?

APMD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Apnimed Inc. (APMD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to APMD Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

APMD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $15.40?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON APMD 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on APMD:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $21.65 (+32.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The forensic balance sheet scores 13/20 with a Piotroski F of 6/9, Debt/Equity of 0.5, and $41.9M in cash against $0.0M debt.

Long APMD at $16.40 targeting $21.65. The forensic balance sheet scores 13/20 with a Piotroski F of 6/9, Debt/Equity of 0.5, and $41.9M in cash against $0.0M debt.. Institutional whale score is 3/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $16.12 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $16.40 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Health Care.

FO ForensicBear 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $13.78 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $16.40

The RQD cash engine scores 10/20 with 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, while whale flow scores only 4/20.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on APMD: The RQD cash engine scores 10/20 with 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, while whale flow scores only 4/20.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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