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Arq Inc. (ARQ) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$1.81 +2.26% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.81

Arq Inc. (ARQ) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $77.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ARQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Arq Inc. (NASDAQ: ARQ) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $1.81 (+2.26% 1D, market cap $77.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ARQ ranks #229 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ARQ compare to FSI and LNZA in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), ARQ carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -24.6%. By comparison, FSI (Flexible Solutions International Inc. (CDA)) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 101.5x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $78.7M) and LNZA (LanzaTech Global Inc.) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $67.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FSI leads on earnings multiple (101.5x) while FSI leads on capital efficiency (8.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARQ?
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Per ARQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001515156), Arq Inc. generated $148.3M in revenue (+2603.3% YoY), -$52.6M in net income, and -$2.7M in free cash flow against $231.0M in total assets and $8.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.81 (+0.22%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510031
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (7)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (8)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.2% Base Target
$7 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE ARQ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARQ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ARQ SCORES 31/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 5% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$1.97-5.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
36
Grade E$1.86-4.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
34
Grade E$1.78+1.7% Next Q
Current
31
Grade E$1.81-9.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (39) → E (31)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ARQ Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ARQ currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.00) and Max Pain ($1.90) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.07.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ARQ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ARQ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ARQ)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ARQ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ARQ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -26.12%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $1.77H $1.81L $1.77C $1.81VOL 281.3K
RES: $1.93SUP: $1.62SMA50: $2.00SMA200: $2.46
$4.76$3.93$3.09$2.26$1.42RES $1.93SUP $1.62$1.812026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ARQ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2603.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARQ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARQ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARQ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARQ)

Materials Rank #229 of 270 ⚔️ FSI vs ARQ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ARQ vs. FSI, LNZA, AMTX, CITR)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Arq Inc. (ARQ) ranks #229 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #235 by equity capitalization ($77.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FSI leads on earnings valuation at 101.5x trailing P/E, while FSI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.5% ROIC and 32.6% gross margin. FSI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with ARQ at 31/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ARQ ACTIVE
Arq Inc.
E 31/100 — — -24.6% +2.26% $77.3M Benchmark Subject
FSI
Flexible Solutions International Inc. (CDA)
D 47/100 101.5x 32.6% 8.5% +0.16% $78.7M /fsi-vs-arq →
LNZA
LanzaTech Global Inc.
E 26/100 — — -35.0% -3.90% $67.1M /lnza-vs-arq →
AMTX
Aemetis Inc.
E 28/100 — -0.4% -35.0% -8.00% $90.2M /amtx-vs-arq →
CITR
CitroTech Inc.
E 18/100 — 22.3% -35.0% -3.52% $63.9M /citr-vs-arq →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001515156 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Arq Inc. (ARQ) reported GAAP revenue of $148.3M (+2603.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.5M , and +297.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$52.6M, operating cash flow of -$2.7M, and free cash flow of -$2.7M (-126.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ARQ closed FY2025 with $231.0M in total assets against $8.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $148.3M -$52.6M -$2.7M -$2.7M $231.0M $8.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $5.5M -$5.1M $10.5M $10.5M $284.4M $9.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $37.3M -$12.2M -$16.7M -$16.7M — —

3. ARQ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ARQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Arq Inc. (NASDAQ: ARQ) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $1.81 (+2.26% 1D, market cap $77.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ARQ ranks #229 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ARQ compare to FSI and LNZA in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), ARQ carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -24.6%. By comparison, FSI (Flexible Solutions International Inc. (CDA)) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 101.5x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $78.7M) and LNZA (LanzaTech Global Inc.) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $67.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FSI leads on earnings multiple (101.5x) while FSI leads on capital efficiency (8.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARQ?

Per ARQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001515156), Arq Inc. generated $148.3M in revenue (+2603.3% YoY), -$52.6M in net income, and -$2.7M in free cash flow against $231.0M in total assets and $8.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ARQ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ARQ last traded at $1.81 (+2.26% on volume of 196,887 shares), positioning the stock -9.50% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.00) and -26.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.46). Across its 52-week range of $1.54 to $6.73, ARQ sits at the 5.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.0% ($1.61 to $2.01).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 31/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ARQ — Arq Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Arq Inc. (ARQ) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 31/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.81 (+2.26% 1D, market capitalization $77.3M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -24.6%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of -3.53%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.05x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Arq Inc. (ARQ) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Materials sector and Major Chemicals industry,. The profile describes the company as a Materials issuer operating in Major Chemicals with a market capitalization of $0.1B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Arq Inc. (ARQ) reported $148.3M in annual revenue (up from $5.5M in FY2024, +2603.3% YoY) and -$52.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($37.3M revenue, -$12.2M net income) through FY2025, ARQ scaled operating cash flow to -$2.7M and free cash flow to -$2.7M, backed by $231.0M in total assets against $8.5M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 31/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -3.53% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.54 – $6.73 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlation data are therefore — A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped links means second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the provided material. The primary watch item from the sources is the Q3 2026 earnings call and the revenue estimate cited, since these are the only forward-looking datapoints in the feed.

  • Key Question #1: Can ARQ sustain or expand its — operating margin and -24.6% ROIC against Major Chemicals peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $148.3M and free cash flow of -$2.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $8.5M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ARQ's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ARQ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Arq Inc. (ARQ) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ARQ Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ARQ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.81?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ARQ 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ARQ:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.32 (+31.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar (10/20) reflects a Debt/Equity of 0.05 and an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, indicating limited leverage pres

Don't sleep on ARQ's setup in Materials. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar (10/20) reflects a Debt/Equity of 0.05 and an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, indicating limited leverage pressure.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (31/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — ARQ's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.52 (-14.1%)
Spot @ $1.77

Negative ROIC of -24.6%, negative FCF yield of -3.53%, and an FY 2025 operating loss of -$53.0M against $0.0M reported revenue.

Fading this rally in ARQ at $1.77. Negative ROIC of -24.6%, negative FCF yield of -3.53%, and an FY 2025 operating loss of -$53.0M against $0.0M reported revenue.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $1.77 (52-wk range $1.54–$6.73), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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