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Stock Ratings / Materials / ARQ / insiders
FSI (47) LNZA (26) AMTX (28) CITR (18) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Arq Inc. (ARQ) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$1.77 0.00% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.77

Arq Inc. (ARQ) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows β†’
ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $77.3M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ARQ Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ARQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Arq Inc. (NASDAQ: ARQ) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $1.77 (0.00% 1D, market cap $77.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ARQ ranks #229 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ARQ compare to FSI and LNZA in the Materials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), ARQ carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -24.6%. By comparison, FSI (Flexible Solutions International Inc. (CDA)) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 101.5x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $78.7M) and LNZA (LanzaTech Global Inc.) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $67.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FSI leads on earnings multiple (101.5x) while FSI leads on capital efficiency (8.5% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARQ?
β–Ό

Per ARQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001515156), Arq Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$52.6M in net income, and -$2.7M in free cash flow against $231.0M in total assets and $8.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.77 (-0.19%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510031
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D
Cash (7)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (8)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.4% Base Target
$7 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ARQ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARQ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±11%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ARQ SCORES 31/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 3/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 4% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$1.97-5.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
36
Grade E$1.86-4.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
34
Grade E$1.78-0.6% Next Q
Current
31
Grade E$1.77-9.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (39) β†’ E (31)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ARQ Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While ARQ currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.00) and Max Pain ($1.86) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.07.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ARQβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œARQ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 31%NO 69%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

ARQ Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (ARQ)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on ARQ. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ARQ)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of ARQ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ARQ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.76%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $1.77H $1.77L $1.77C $1.77VOL 281.3K
RES: $1.93SUP: $1.62SMA50: $2.00SMA200: $2.46
$4.76$3.93$3.09$2.26$1.42RES $1.93SUP $1.62$1.772026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ARQ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ ARQ Butterfly Map β†’ + Track ARQ β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARQ today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARQ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARQ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARQ)

Materials Rank #229 of 270 βš”οΈ FSI vs ARQ Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ARQ vs. FSI, LNZA, AMTX, CITR)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Arq Inc. (ARQ) ranks #229 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #235 by equity capitalization ($77.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FSI leads on earnings valuation at 101.5x trailing P/E, while FSI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.5% ROIC and 32.6% gross margin. FSI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with ARQ at 31/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ARQ ACTIVE
Arq Inc.
E 31/100 β€” β€” -24.6% 0.00% $77.3M Benchmark Subject
FSI
Flexible Solutions International Inc. (CDA)
D 47/100 101.5x 32.6% 8.5% -1.44% $78.7M /fsi-vs-arq β†’
LNZA
LanzaTech Global Inc.
E 26/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -8.06% $67.1M /lnza-vs-arq β†’
AMTX
Aemetis Inc.
E 28/100 β€” -0.4% -35.0% -3.10% $90.2M /amtx-vs-arq β†’
CITR
CitroTech Inc.
E 18/100 β€” 22.3% -35.0% +1.59% $63.9M /citr-vs-arq β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001515156

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Arq Inc. (ARQ) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$52.6M, operating cash flow of -$2.7M, and free cash flow of -$2.7M (-126.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ARQ closed FY2025 with $231.0M in total assets against $8.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$52.6M -$2.7M -$2.7M $231.0M $8.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$5.1M $10.5M $10.5M $284.4M $9.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$12.2M -$16.7M -$16.7M β€” β€”

3. ARQ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ARQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Arq Inc. (NASDAQ: ARQ) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $1.77 (0.00% 1D, market cap $77.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ARQ ranks #229 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ARQ compare to FSI and LNZA in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), ARQ carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -24.6%. By comparison, FSI (Flexible Solutions International Inc. (CDA)) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 101.5x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $78.7M) and LNZA (LanzaTech Global Inc.) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $67.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FSI leads on earnings multiple (101.5x) while FSI leads on capital efficiency (8.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARQ?

Per ARQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001515156), Arq Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$52.6M in net income, and -$2.7M in free cash flow against $231.0M in total assets and $8.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ARQ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ARQ last traded at $1.77 (0.00% on volume of 281,253 shares), positioning the stock -11.50% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.00) and -28.05% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.46). Across its 52-week range of $1.54 to $6.73, ARQ sits at the 4.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±11.0% ($1.58 to $1.96).

ARQ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are ARQ insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies ARQ leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

Direct Sub-Reports: ARQ RQD Cockpit ARQ 12M Forecast ARQ Earnings & Move ARQ Dividends & DRIP ARQ Insiders & 13F ARQ Whale Options ARQ Profit Sankey ARQ News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 31/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ARQ β€” Arq Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:45:14Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ARQ scores 31 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 (ROIC -24.6%; FCF yield -3.53%), Whale 13F Flow at 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 8/20 (beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 3/9; Debt/Equity 0.05). The weakest pillars are Insider Conviction and Whale 13F Flow, each at 3 of 20, which means the rating finds little supportive ownership or insider signal. The strongest pillar, Forensic Balance Sheet, still sits at only half its maximum, and the Cash Engine pillar reflects negative return on invested capital and negative free-cash-flow yield. For a prospective investor, the upside case would have to rest on a turnaround in cash generation that the rating does not currently see, while valuation tradeoffs are difficult to assess because earnings-based multiples are not available in source data. The verdict is a forensic-risk warning rather than a directional price forecast.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$-53.0M$-52.6MN/A$-2.7M$6.6M$8.5M
FY 2024$0.0M$-2.0M$-5.1MN/A$10.5M$13.5M$9.4M
FY 2023$0.0M$-13.3M$-12.2MN/A$-16.7MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported revenue is $0.0M in each listed period, and operating and net losses appear across all three years, with the FY 2025 loss the largest at $-53.0M operating and $-52.6M net. Gross, operating, and net margins are each recorded as 0% in the market data, so margin trend cannot be meaningfully assessed. Per the market data, ROIC is -24.6% and FCF yield is -3.53%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.05. Cash fell from $13.5M in FY 2024 to $6.6M in FY 2025 while debt was $8.5M at FY 2025 versus $9.4M at FY 2024.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Options positioning: a Yahoo Finance headline asks whether options traders are betting on a large move in ARQ stock.
  • Earnings scheduling: a Yahoo Finance item reports that Arq schedules its third quarter 2026 earnings conference call.
  • Revenue estimate: a TradingView item cites a Q3'26 revenue estimate of 35.23M USD.
  • Estimates coverage: a TradingView item titled "Arq, Inc. Estimates" appears in the feed.
  • Aggregator coverage: Stocktwits and Binance items cover ARQ market information without additional fundamental detail.

All six news items are tagged YELLOW with impact label MARKET WIRE. Risk watch items include the -4.32% price change, volume of 221,278, and the FY 2025 operating loss. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists sector Materials, industry Major Chemicals, supply chain "NONE," zero butterfly links, and zero proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What products and customers generate ARQ's revenue, given that reported revenue is $0.0M across the listed periods?
  • What is the reason for the FY 2025 operating loss of $-53.0M, and what drove the shift from positive FY 2024 free cash flow of $10.5M to $-2.7M?
  • What are the forward earnings and EBITDA expectations, given that P/E, EPS, and EV/EBITDA are unavailable?
  • Who are the institutional holders and insiders, and how have their positions changed, given the holders section is empty?
  • What is the company's cash runway, given cash declined to $6.6M while FY 2025 free cash flow was negative?

ARQ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Arq Inc. (ARQ) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ARQ Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ARQ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $1.77?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ARQ 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ARQ:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.56 (-11.9%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ARQ (E β€’ RQD 31/100) a Buy at $1.77?

Welcome to the ARQ (Arq Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 31/100 (Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Major Chemicals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.33 (-24.9%)
Spot @ $1.77

Pump the brakes on ARQ β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ARQ, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Arq Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.09 (+18.1%)
Spot @ $1.77

ARQ cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ARQ, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Chemicals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.77 (52-wk range $1.54 - $6.81), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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