Simply Wall St report covering ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why ASPI Stock dropped -3.96% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 21/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is ASPI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, ASP Isotopes Inc. (NASDAQ: ASPI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 21/100 at a spot price of $1.94 (-3.96% 1D, market cap $309.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ASPI ranks #261 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does ASPI compare to GEVO and OEC in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), ASPI carries a Roarable E (21/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 14.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GEVO (Gevo Inc.) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.9%, cap $309.0M) and OEC (Orion S.A.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.2%, cap $316.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASPI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NL leads on capital efficiency (3.4% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASPI?
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Per ASPI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001921865), ASP Isotopes Inc. generated $23.8M in revenue (+475.5% YoY), -$159.8M in net income, and -$47.4M in free cash flow against $498.0M in total assets and $1.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 14.3% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 0.72 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ASPI Turnaround Squeeze
While ASPI currently carries a cautious 21/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.90) and Max Pain ($2.04) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.65.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why ASPI Stock dropped -3.96% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) dropped -3.96% to $1.94, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.89 – $10.14). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.89 – $10.14) with RSI-14 at 36.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.94 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 14.3% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Stock Titan report covering ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Kalkine Media report covering ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ASP Isotopes (NASDAQ:ASPI) CEO Paul Mann outlined the company’s plans to expand its isotope-enrichment, radiopharmacy and helium businesses, while targeting more than $300 million in EBITDA by 2031. Speaking at the Emerg
MIAMI, Oct. 27, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- EmergingGrowth.com a leading independent small cap media portal announces the schedule of the 97th Emerging Growth Conference on October 28 & 29, 2026. The Emerging Growth Confere
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ASPI)
- ✓Walkthrough of ASPI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
ASPI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +475.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASPI today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASPI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASPI)
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ASPI vs. GEVO, OEC, ALTO, NL)
Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) ranks #261 by composite RQD confidence (21/100, grade E) and #197 by equity capitalization ($309.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ASPI leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.4% ROIC and 30.4% gross margin. ALTO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with ASPI at 21/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASPI
ACTIVE
ASP Isotopes Inc. | E | 21/100 | — | 14.3% | -35.0% | -3.96% | $309.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| GEVO Gevo Inc. | E | 26/100 | — | — | -2.9% | -6.40% | $309.0M | /gevo-vs-aspi → |
| OEC Orion S.A. | D- | 39/100 | — | 19.9% | 2.2% | +0.71% | $316.5M | /oec-vs-aspi → |
| ALTO Alto Ingredients Inc. | D | 46/100 | — | 3.8% | 2.0% | -4.11% | $283.1M | /alto-vs-aspi → |
| NL NLI Holdings Inc. | D | 46/100 | — | 30.4% | 3.4% | -2.53% | $347.7M | /nl-vs-aspi → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001921865 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) reported GAAP revenue of $23.8M (+475.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.1M , and +5407.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$159.8M, operating cash flow of -$37.8M, and free cash flow of -$47.4M (-79.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, ASPI closed FY2025 with $498.0M in total assets against $1.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.72, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $23.8M | -$159.8M | -$37.8M | -$47.4M | $498.0M | $1.5M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $4.1M | -$32.4M | -$16.7M | -$26.4M | $94.3M | $1.4M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $433.0K | -$16.3M | -$5.4M | -$5.4M | — | — |
3. ASPI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ASPI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, ASP Isotopes Inc. (NASDAQ: ASPI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 21/100 at a spot price of $1.94 (-3.96% 1D, market cap $309.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ASPI ranks #261 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ASPI compare to GEVO and OEC in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), ASPI carries a Roarable E (21/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 14.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GEVO (Gevo Inc.) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.9%, cap $309.0M) and OEC (Orion S.A.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.2%, cap $316.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASPI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NL leads on capital efficiency (3.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASPI?
Per ASPI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001921865), ASP Isotopes Inc. generated $23.8M in revenue (+475.5% YoY), -$159.8M in net income, and -$47.4M in free cash flow against $498.0M in total assets and $1.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ASPI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ASPI last traded at $1.94 (-3.96% on volume of 3,088,599 shares), positioning the stock -33.10% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.90) and -59.58% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.80). Across its 52-week range of $1.89 to $10.14, ASPI sits at the 0.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.70 to $2.18).
ASPI — ASP Isotopes Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 21/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.94 (-3.96% 1D, market capitalization $309.7M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 14.3%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -14.53%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.72, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.01x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Materials sector and the Major Chemicals industry, with a market capitalization of $0.3B. FY 2025 revenue was $23.8M, with reported gross margin of 14.3% per the market data.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) reported $23.8M in annual revenue (up from $4.1M in FY2024, +475.5% YoY) and -$159.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($433.0K revenue, -$16.3M net income) through FY2025, ASPI scaled operating cash flow to -$37.8M and free cash flow to -$47.4M, backed by $498.0M in total assets against $1.5M in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 21/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -14.53% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.89 – $10.14 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Operating in Major Chemicals (Materials), ASPI carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 14.3%.
- Key Question #1: Can ASPI sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Major Chemicals peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $23.8M and free cash flow of -$47.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.5M in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is ASPI's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
ASPI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Simply Wall St report covering ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Kalkine Media report covering ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ASPI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.94?
The company held $279.6M in cash against only $1.5M of debt at FY 2025, giving it substantial liquidity relative to its balance sheet o
Here is why I am bullish on ASPI here at $2.02: The company held $279.6M in cash against only $1.5M of debt at FY 2025, giving it substantial liquidity relative to its balance sheet obligations.. Compare ASPI's -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against the rest of Major Chemicals. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $1.92 are getting bought.
@BreakoutHunter Agree on the RQD 21/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $2.02 and keeping dry powder in case we test $1.88.
The company posted a FY 2025 net loss of -$159.8M with ROIC of -35% and FCF of -$47.4M, and the RQD rating scores it 21 with an Altman
Careful chasing ASPI at $2.02. The company posted a FY 2025 net loss of -$159.8M with ROIC of -35% and FCF of -$47.4M, and the RQD rating scores it 21 with an Altman Z-Score of 0.72.. Gross margin is 14.3%, but operating margin is -60.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $1.52 on multiple compression.