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Why ASTI Stock surged +6.43% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$1.49 +6.43% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.50

Ascent Solar Technologies Inc. (ASTI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $13.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ASTI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Ascent Solar Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: ASTI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $1.49 (+6.43% 1D, market cap $13.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, ASTI ranks #552 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ASTI compare to MOBX and LEDS in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), ASTI carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, MOBX (Mobix Labs Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $14.8M) and LEDS (SemiLEDS Corporation) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $16.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASTI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ASTI leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASTI?
▼

Per ASTI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001350102), Ascent Solar Technologies Inc. generated $76.8K in revenue (+83.3% YoY), -$7.9M in net income, and -$6.9M in free cash flow against $6.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.50 (+0.97%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510033
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (3)SEC (11)Macro (6)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.4% Base Target
$10 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE ASTI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ASTI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ASTI SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$1.81+2.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
38
Grade E$1.85-5.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$1.74-14.4% Next Q
Current
33
Grade E$1.49-8.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (41) → E (33)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ASTI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ASTI currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.40) and Max Pain ($1.56) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.36.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ASTI• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ASTI Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 33%NO 67%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why ASTI Stock surged +6.43% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Ascent Solar Technologies Inc. (ASTI) surged +6.43% to $1.49, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.4 – $9.87). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.4 – $9.87) with RSI-14 at 26.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.49 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live ASTI Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ASTI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ASTI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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ASTI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -64.35%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-04O $1.57H $1.57L $1.40C $1.49VOL 252.9K
RES: $2.67SUP: $1.30SMA50: $2.40SMA200: $4.35
$10.39$7.95$5.52$3.08$0.64RES $2.67SUP $1.30$1.492026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ASTI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ASTI Butterfly Map → + Track ASTI →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +83.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASTI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASTI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASTI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASTI)

Technology Rank #552 of 715 ⚔️ MOBX vs ASTI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ASTI vs. MOBX, LEDS, FTCI, SNSC)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ascent Solar Technologies Inc. (ASTI) ranks #552 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #629 by equity capitalization ($13.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ASTI leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ASTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. LEDS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 51/100 (D) compared with ASTI at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ASTI ACTIVE
Ascent Solar Technologies Inc.
E 33/100 — — -35.0% +6.43% $13.7M Benchmark Subject
MOBX
Mobix Labs Inc. (Class A)
D- 39/100 — 50.5% -35.0% -4.78% $14.8M /mobx-vs-asti →
LEDS
SemiLEDS Corporation
D 51/100 — 5.6% -35.0% +8.67% $16.2M /leds-vs-asti →
FTCI
FTC Solar Inc.
E 27/100 — -0.9% -35.0% -3.33% $27.4M /ftci-vs-asti →
SNSC
SunScout Holding Limited (Class A)
D 47/100 — — — +8.09% $28.2M /snsc-vs-asti →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001350102 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ascent Solar Technologies Inc. (ASTI) reported GAAP revenue of $76.8K (+83.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $41.9K , and -83.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$7.9M, operating cash flow of -$6.9M, and free cash flow of -$6.9M (+17.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, ASTI closed FY2025 with $6.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $76.8K -$7.9M -$6.9M -$6.9M $6.3M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $41.9K -$9.2M -$8.4M -$8.4M $7.1M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $458.3K -$17.1M -$9.5M -$9.5M — —

3. ASTI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ASTI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Ascent Solar Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: ASTI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $1.49 (+6.43% 1D, market cap $13.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, ASTI ranks #552 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ASTI compare to MOBX and LEDS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), ASTI carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, MOBX (Mobix Labs Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $14.8M) and LEDS (SemiLEDS Corporation) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $16.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASTI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ASTI leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASTI?

Per ASTI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001350102), Ascent Solar Technologies Inc. generated $76.8K in revenue (+83.3% YoY), -$7.9M in net income, and -$6.9M in free cash flow against $6.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ASTI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ASTI last traded at $1.49 (+6.43% on volume of 136,142 shares), positioning the stock -37.92% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.40) and -65.75% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.35). Across its 52-week range of $1.40 to $9.87, ASTI sits at the 1.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 26.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.30 to $1.68).

Direct Sub-Reports: ASTI RQD Cockpit ASTI 12M Forecast ASTI Earnings & Move ASTI Dividends & DRIP ASTI Insiders & 13F ASTI Whale Options ASTI Profit Sankey ASTI News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 33/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ASTI — Ascent Solar Technologies Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Ascent Solar Technologies Inc. (ASTI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 33/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.49 (+6.43% 1D, market capitalization $13.7M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Ascent Solar Technologies Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, within the Semiconductors industry..0B. Per the recent news wire, the company announced a partnership with Darley Defense to expand thin-film solar product access across defense and government markets.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Ascent Solar Technologies Inc. (ASTI) reported $76.8K in annual revenue (up from $41.9K in FY2024, +83.3% YoY) and -$7.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($458.3K revenue, -$17.1M net income) through FY2025, ASTI scaled operating cash flow to -$6.9M and free cash flow to -$6.9M, backed by $6.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 33/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.40 – $9.87 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Semiconductors (Technology), ASTI carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can ASTI sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $76.8K and free cash flow of -$6.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ASTI's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ASTI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ascent Solar Technologies Inc. (ASTI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ASTI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ASTI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.49?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ASTI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ASTI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.96 (+24.8%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The Darley Defense partnership and reported space-sector talks offer a potential revenue catalyst while the balance sheet still earns a

Don't sleep on ASTI's setup in Technology. The Darley Defense partnership and reported space-sector talks offer a potential revenue catalyst while the balance sheet still earns a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and Altman Z of 2.5.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (33/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@MidwestValue Agree on the RQD 33/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $1.57 and keeping dry powder in case we test $1.46.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.32 (-15.9%)
Spot @ $1.57

Operating and net margins of -60%, ROIC of -35%, and a 0% FCF yield show the business is not generating cash, with the RQD rating at 33

I respect the product at Ascent Solar Technologies Inc., but the stock at $1.57 is a different story. Operating and net margins of -60%, ROIC of -35%, and a 0% FCF yield show the business is not generating cash, with the RQD rating at 33 / E.. FCF yield is 0.0% and RQD sits at 33/100 (E) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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