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Stock Ratings / Technology / LEDS
MOBX (39) ASTI (33) FTCI (27) SNSC (47) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

SemiLEDS Corporation (LEDS) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$2.13 +8.67% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.16

SemiLEDS Corporation (LEDS) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $16.2M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LEDS Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LEDS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, SemiLEDS Corporation (NASDAQ: LEDS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $2.13 (+8.67% 1D, market cap $16.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, LEDS ranks #336 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LEDS compare to MOBX and ASTI in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), LEDS carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 5.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, MOBX (Mobix Labs Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $14.8M) and ASTI (Ascent Solar Technologies Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LEDS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LEDS leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LEDS?
β–Ό

Per LEDS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0001333822), SemiLEDS Corporation generated $43.0M in revenue (+729.8% YoY), -$1.1M in net income, and $1.6M in free cash flow against $14.2M in total assets and $308.0K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.16 (+1.37%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) β€’ 3.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 49.7% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510051
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- Β· Rk C
Cash (9)Whales (8)SEC (11)Macro (14)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.3% Base Target
$4 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE LEDS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LEDS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±10.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY LEDS SCORES 51/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 43% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 40.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 6/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
43
Grade D$2.05-3.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
46
Grade D$1.98+6.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$2.10+1.4% Next Q
Current
51
Grade D$2.13-1.3% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (43) β†’ D (51)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LEDS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While LEDS currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.12) and Max Pain ($2.24) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.80.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LEDSβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œLEDS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
40.430 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE43% OF RANGE
L: $1$2.13H: $4
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 9 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground) on LEDS

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (45)

-35.0% ROIC with 5.6% gross margin and 9.43% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (55)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (52)

17/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 14/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like LEDS
  • βœ“Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LEDS)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of LEDS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) β†’$100K Arena
LEDS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +17.03%πŸ“ WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-04O $2.05H $2.13L $1.96C $2.13VOL 19.4K
RES: $2.42SUP: $1.89SMA50: $2.12SMA200: $1.86
$3.78$3.13$2.49$1.84$1.20RES $2.42SUP $1.89$2.132026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LEDS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ LEDS Butterfly Map β†’ + Track LEDS β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +729.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LEDS today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LEDS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LEDS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LEDS)

Technology Rank #336 of 715 βš”οΈ MOBX vs LEDS Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (LEDS vs. MOBX, ASTI, FTCI, SNSC)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SemiLEDS Corporation (LEDS) ranks #336 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #617 by equity capitalization ($16.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LEDS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LEDS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 5.6% gross margin. LEDS currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LEDS ACTIVE
SemiLEDS Corporation
D 51/100 β€” 5.6% -35.0% +8.67% $16.2M Benchmark Subject
MOBX
Mobix Labs Inc. (Class A)
D- 39/100 β€” 50.5% -35.0% -4.78% $14.8M /mobx-vs-leds β†’
ASTI
Ascent Solar Technologies Inc.
E 33/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +6.43% $13.7M /asti-vs-leds β†’
FTCI
FTC Solar Inc.
E 27/100 β€” -0.9% -35.0% -3.33% $27.4M /ftci-vs-leds β†’
SNSC
SunScout Holding Limited (Class A)
D 47/100 β€” β€” β€” +8.09% $28.2M /snsc-vs-leds β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-08-31 β€’ CIK 0001333822 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31), SemiLEDS Corporation (LEDS) reported GAAP revenue of $43.0M (+729.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.2M , and +619.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.1M, operating cash flow of $2.2M, and free cash flow of $1.6M (+437.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, LEDS closed FY2025 with $14.2M in total assets against $308.0K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-08-31 $43.0M -$1.1M $2.2M $1.6M $14.2M $308.0K
FY2024 (FY) 2024-08-31 $5.2M -$2.0M -$361.0K -$484.0K $10.4M $744.0K
FY2023 (FY) 2023-08-31 $6.0M -$2.7M -$984.0K -$984.0K β€” β€”

3. LEDS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LEDS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, SemiLEDS Corporation (NASDAQ: LEDS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $2.13 (+8.67% 1D, market cap $16.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, LEDS ranks #336 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LEDS compare to MOBX and ASTI in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), LEDS carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 5.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, MOBX (Mobix Labs Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $14.8M) and ASTI (Ascent Solar Technologies Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LEDS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LEDS leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LEDS?

Per LEDS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0001333822), SemiLEDS Corporation generated $43.0M in revenue (+729.8% YoY), -$1.1M in net income, and $1.6M in free cash flow against $14.2M in total assets and $308.0K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LEDS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LEDS last traded at $2.13 (+8.67% on volume of 27,325 shares), positioning the stock +0.47% above its 50-day simple moving average ($2.12) and +14.52% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.86). Across its 52-week range of $1.01 to $3.62, LEDS sits at the 42.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±10.3% ($1.91 to $2.35).

Direct Sub-Reports: LEDS RQD Cockpit LEDS 12M Forecast LEDS Earnings & Move LEDS Dividends & DRIP LEDS Insiders & 13F LEDS Whale Options LEDS Profit Sankey LEDS News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 51/100 (D) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

LEDS β€” SemiLEDS Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-08-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

SemiLEDS Corporation (LEDS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 51/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $2.13 (+8.67% 1D, market capitalization $16.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 5.6%, operating margin of -3.7%, and free cash flow yield of 9.43%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.15x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

SemiLEDS Corporation (LEDS) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector and Semiconductors industry. The profile does not describe its specific products, customer base, or revenue model.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-08-31), SemiLEDS Corporation (LEDS) reported $43.0M in annual revenue (up from $5.2M in FY2024, +729.8% YoY) and -$1.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($6.0M revenue, -$2.7M net income) through FY2025, LEDS scaled operating cash flow to $2.2M and free cash flow to $1.6M, backed by $14.2M in total assets against $308.0K in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D β€’ RQD 51/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 9.43% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.01 – $3.62 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -3.7% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The news wire references SIMO and HIMX seasonal charts, which indicates the data source associates LEDS with peer semiconductor names, but the graph itself does not establish any dependency or correlation. Sector correlation beyond the Beta of 1.

  • Key Question #1: Can LEDS sustain or expand its -3.7% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $43.0M and free cash flow of $1.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $308.0K in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is LEDS's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

LEDS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for SemiLEDS Corporation (LEDS) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to LEDS Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LEDS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $2.13?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LEDS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LEDS:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Systematic Momentum Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.62 (+27.8%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Low leverage (Debt/Equity 0.15) and a 9.43% FCF yield offer a partial cash-generation offset to weak returns.

Picked up a starter position in LEDS in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $2.05. Low leverage (Debt/Equity 0.15) and a 9.43% FCF yield offer a partial cash-generation offset to weak returns.. Trading inside a $1.01–$3.62 52-week range with 9.43% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Semiconductors multiples expand this quarter.

VolSurface_Trader πŸ‚ BULL

@RedlineAuditor Shorting a 8/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $2.05 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.62 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $2.05

A -35% ROIC with 9 / 20 scores on both Whale 13F Flow and Insider Conviction signals weak returns and limited ownership endorsement.

Fading this rally in LEDS at $2.05. A -35% ROIC with 9 / 20 scores on both Whale 13F Flow and Insider Conviction signals weak returns and limited ownership endorsement.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $2.05 (52-wk range $1.01–$3.62), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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