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Why LEDS Stock surged +8.67% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$2.13 +8.67% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.16

SemiLEDS Corporation (LEDS) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $16.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LEDS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LEDS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, SemiLEDS Corporation (NASDAQ: LEDS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $2.13 (+8.67% 1D, market cap $16.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, LEDS ranks #336 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LEDS compare to MOBX and ASTI in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), LEDS carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 5.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, MOBX (Mobix Labs Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $14.8M) and ASTI (Ascent Solar Technologies Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LEDS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LEDS leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LEDS?
▼

Per LEDS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0001333822), SemiLEDS Corporation generated $43.0M in revenue (+729.8% YoY), -$1.1M in net income, and $1.6M in free cash flow against $14.2M in total assets and $308.0K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.16 (+1.37%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 3.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510051
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- · Rk C
Cash (9)Whales (8)SEC (11)Macro (14)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.3% Base Target
$4 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE LEDS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LEDS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LEDS SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 43% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 40.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
43
Grade D$2.05-3.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
46
Grade D$1.98+6.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$2.10+1.4% Next Q
Current
51
Grade D$2.13-1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (43) → D (51)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LEDS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LEDS currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.12) and Max Pain ($2.24) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.80.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LEDS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LEDS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why LEDS Stock surged +8.67% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

SemiLEDS Corporation (LEDS) surged +8.67% to $2.13, trading at 43% of its 52-week range ($1.01 – $3.62). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 43% of its 52-week range ($1.01 – $3.62) with RSI-14 at 40.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.3% around $2.13 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 5.6% gross margin and $1.6M annual free cash flow.
Live LEDS Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 330d ago
Is SemiLEDs the Fastest-Growing Semiconductor Stock?

SemiLEDs Corporation (NASDAQ:LEDS) is one of the fastest-growing semiconductor stocks to buy. The company grew its year-over-year revenue by a whopping 729.8%, making it the fastest-growing semiconductor stock in our lis

MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 7d ago
Seoul Semiconductor Ends Need for Rare Earths in White LEDs

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMingFBVV95cUxPZnZ2TVV2Mjhyc2QzQTYzRkR4Yl95TmhBRkhDLWxVN3BPbkVZT3RMbFl1dmVLUHdLcGN2QlNVS1k3VENWSW1wODdoNi1maWpheUh4aXViNmlUaDh5d0UtSVFXMXJpbnNaMzlVdGpSVm9kMkh6b01ydUFHQUF

CATALYSTAdafruit • 26d ago
key-right: an upgrade for the Elgato Key Light

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiwFBVV95cUxQdnRzaGdQMW5HV0Y1a0MxeHdNSEpGQ19SOENsZGxxalRBS213Q2hjcHhDMXpJR3lRbjY2V0ZTNUtMbFJxVzgtSXRhTkJVbHcxcmVUVjRybG0tRDRlb1o1amk2SjJQdWRuc2hTQXZCVUVnQjFvSG5MeHFkSzR

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LEDS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LEDS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
LEDS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +17.03%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-04O $2.05H $2.13L $1.96C $2.13VOL 19.4K
RES: $2.42SUP: $1.89SMA50: $2.12SMA200: $1.86
$3.78$3.13$2.49$1.84$1.20RES $2.42SUP $1.89$2.132026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LEDS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +729.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LEDS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LEDS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LEDS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LEDS)

Technology Rank #336 of 715 ⚔️ MOBX vs LEDS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (LEDS vs. MOBX, ASTI, FTCI, SNSC)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SemiLEDS Corporation (LEDS) ranks #336 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #617 by equity capitalization ($16.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LEDS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LEDS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 5.6% gross margin. LEDS currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LEDS ACTIVE
SemiLEDS Corporation
D 51/100 — 5.6% -35.0% +8.67% $16.2M Benchmark Subject
MOBX
Mobix Labs Inc. (Class A)
D- 39/100 — 50.5% -35.0% -4.78% $14.8M /mobx-vs-leds →
ASTI
Ascent Solar Technologies Inc.
E 33/100 — — -35.0% +6.43% $13.7M /asti-vs-leds →
FTCI
FTC Solar Inc.
E 27/100 — -0.9% -35.0% -3.33% $27.4M /ftci-vs-leds →
SNSC
SunScout Holding Limited (Class A)
D 47/100 — — — +8.09% $28.2M /snsc-vs-leds →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-08-31 • CIK 0001333822 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31), SemiLEDS Corporation (LEDS) reported GAAP revenue of $43.0M (+729.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.2M , and +619.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.1M, operating cash flow of $2.2M, and free cash flow of $1.6M (+437.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, LEDS closed FY2025 with $14.2M in total assets against $308.0K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-08-31 $43.0M -$1.1M $2.2M $1.6M $14.2M $308.0K
FY2024 (FY) 2024-08-31 $5.2M -$2.0M -$361.0K -$484.0K $10.4M $744.0K
FY2023 (FY) 2023-08-31 $6.0M -$2.7M -$984.0K -$984.0K — —

3. LEDS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LEDS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, SemiLEDS Corporation (NASDAQ: LEDS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $2.13 (+8.67% 1D, market cap $16.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, LEDS ranks #336 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LEDS compare to MOBX and ASTI in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), LEDS carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 5.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, MOBX (Mobix Labs Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $14.8M) and ASTI (Ascent Solar Technologies Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LEDS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LEDS leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LEDS?

Per LEDS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0001333822), SemiLEDS Corporation generated $43.0M in revenue (+729.8% YoY), -$1.1M in net income, and $1.6M in free cash flow against $14.2M in total assets and $308.0K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LEDS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LEDS last traded at $2.13 (+8.67% on volume of 27,325 shares), positioning the stock +0.47% above its 50-day simple moving average ($2.12) and +14.52% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.86). Across its 52-week range of $1.01 to $3.62, LEDS sits at the 42.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.3% ($1.91 to $2.35).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 51/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

LEDS — SemiLEDS Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-08-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

SemiLEDS Corporation (LEDS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 51/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $2.13 (+8.67% 1D, market capitalization $16.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 5.6%, operating margin of -3.7%, and free cash flow yield of 9.43%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.15x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

SemiLEDS Corporation (LEDS) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector and Semiconductors industry. The profile does not describe its specific products, customer base, or revenue model.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-08-31), SemiLEDS Corporation (LEDS) reported $43.0M in annual revenue (up from $5.2M in FY2024, +729.8% YoY) and -$1.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($6.0M revenue, -$2.7M net income) through FY2025, LEDS scaled operating cash flow to $2.2M and free cash flow to $1.6M, backed by $14.2M in total assets against $308.0K in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 51/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 9.43% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.01 – $3.62 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -3.7% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The news wire references SIMO and HIMX seasonal charts, which indicates the data source associates LEDS with peer semiconductor names, but the graph itself does not establish any dependency or correlation. Sector correlation beyond the Beta of 1.

  • Key Question #1: Can LEDS sustain or expand its -3.7% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $43.0M and free cash flow of $1.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $308.0K in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is LEDS's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

LEDS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for SemiLEDS Corporation (LEDS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LEDS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LEDS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.13?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LEDS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LEDS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.62 (+27.8%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Low leverage (Debt/Equity 0.15) and a 9.43% FCF yield offer a partial cash-generation offset to weak returns.

Picked up a starter position in LEDS in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $2.05. Low leverage (Debt/Equity 0.15) and a 9.43% FCF yield offer a partial cash-generation offset to weak returns.. Trading inside a $1.01–$3.62 52-week range with 9.43% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Semiconductors multiples expand this quarter.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@RedlineAuditor Shorting a 8/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $2.05 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.62 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $2.05

A -35% ROIC with 9 / 20 scores on both Whale 13F Flow and Insider Conviction signals weak returns and limited ownership endorsement.

Fading this rally in LEDS at $2.05. A -35% ROIC with 9 / 20 scores on both Whale 13F Flow and Insider Conviction signals weak returns and limited ownership endorsement.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $2.05 (52-wk range $1.01–$3.62), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

LIVE TAPE