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Astronics Corporation (ATRO) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$59.95 +0.94% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $59.94

Astronics Corporation (ATRO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.55B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ATRO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Astronics Corporation (NASDAQ: ATRO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $59.95 (+0.94% 1D, market cap $2.55B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, ATRO ranks #235 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ATRO compare to DCO and FLY in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), ATRO carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 92.1x, gross margin of 29.9%, and ROIC of 13.2%. By comparison, DCO (Ducommun Incorporated) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.1%, cap $2.42B) and FLY (Firefly Aerospace Inc.) posts a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.00B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATRO leads on earnings multiple (92.1x) while ATRO leads on capital efficiency (13.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ATRO?
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Per ATRO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000008063), Astronics Corporation generated $862.1M in revenue (+8.4% YoY), $29.4M in net income, and $74.8M in free cash flow against $706.7M in total assets and $334.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (29.9% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $59.94 (-0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 8.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510049
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (15)Whales (5)SEC (15)Macro (3)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.1% Base Target
$99 Bull$58 Base$45 Bear
📬 FREE ATRO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ATRO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ATRO SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.7% FCF Margin ($74.8M FCF) & 29.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.37 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (41.4) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$63.11-5.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
54
Grade C-$59.85+1.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
52
Grade C-$60.77-1.3% Next Q
Current
49
Grade D$59.95-5.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (57) → D (49)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ATRO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ATRO currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Strong cash generator (29.9% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ATRO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ATRO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How ATRO Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$74.8M (8.7% FCF Margin)
Revenue$862.1MGross Profit $258.2M (29.9%)Cost of Sales $604.0MOp Profit $76.4M (8.9%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $181.7MNet Profit$29.4M (3.4%)Tax/Other $47.1M

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $689.2M
FY24
Rev $795.4M
FY25
Rev $862.1M
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$862.1M29.9%8.9%$29.4M$74.8M13.2%
FY 2024$795.4M27.7%3.3%-$16.2M$30.6M5%
FY 2023$689.2M29.9%-1%-$26.4M-$23.9M13.2%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ATRO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ATRO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ATRO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.19%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $62.88H $62.88L $59.39C $59.95VOL 520.3K
RES: $104.1SUP: $55.39SMA50: $67.29SMA200: $66.22
$97.93$83.56$69.19$54.83$40.46RES $104.1SUP $55.39$59.952026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ATRO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ATRO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ATRO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ATRO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ATRO)

Industrials Rank #235 of 486 ⚔️ DCO vs ATRO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ATRO vs. DCO, FLY, RDW, AADX)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Astronics Corporation (ATRO) ranks #235 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #193 by equity capitalization ($2.55B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ATRO leads on earnings valuation at 92.1x trailing P/E, while ATRO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.2% ROIC and 29.9% gross margin. ATRO currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ATRO ACTIVE
Astronics Corporation
D 49/100 92.1x 29.9% 13.2% +0.94% $2.55B Benchmark Subject
DCO
Ducommun Incorporated
D- 37/100 — 26.9% -3.1% +2.10% $2.42B /dco-vs-atro →
FLY
Firefly Aerospace Inc.
E 20/100 — 19.2% -35.0% -9.17% $3.00B /fly-vs-atro →
RDW
Redwire Corporation
E 31/100 — 5.2% -17.4% -6.67% $2.10B /rdw-vs-atro →
AADX
Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc.
D- 42/100 — — — -0.18% $1.92B /aadx-vs-atro →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000008063 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Astronics Corporation (ATRO) reported GAAP revenue of $862.1M (+8.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $795.4M , and +25.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $29.4M, operating cash flow of $74.8M, and free cash flow of $74.8M (+144.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, ATRO closed FY2025 with $706.7M in total assets against $334.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.37, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $862.1M $29.4M $74.8M $74.8M $706.7M $334.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $795.4M -$16.2M $30.6M $30.6M $648.8M $168.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $689.2M -$26.4M -$23.9M -$23.9M — —

3. ATRO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ATRO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Astronics Corporation (NASDAQ: ATRO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $59.95 (+0.94% 1D, market cap $2.55B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, ATRO ranks #235 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ATRO compare to DCO and FLY in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), ATRO carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 92.1x, gross margin of 29.9%, and ROIC of 13.2%. By comparison, DCO (Ducommun Incorporated) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.1%, cap $2.42B) and FLY (Firefly Aerospace Inc.) posts a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.00B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATRO leads on earnings multiple (92.1x) while ATRO leads on capital efficiency (13.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ATRO?

Per ATRO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000008063), Astronics Corporation generated $862.1M in revenue (+8.4% YoY), $29.4M in net income, and $74.8M in free cash flow against $706.7M in total assets and $334.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (29.9% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ATRO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ATRO last traded at $59.95 (+0.94% on volume of 387,388 shares), positioning the stock -10.91% below its 50-day simple moving average ($67.29) and -9.47% below its 200-day simple moving average ($66.22). Across its 52-week range of $33.12 to $94.46, ATRO sits at the 43.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.8% ($54.07 to $65.83).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 49/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ATRO — Astronics Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Astronics Corporation (ATRO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 49/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $59.95 (+0.94% 1D, market capitalization $2.55B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 13.2%, gross margin of 29.9%, operating margin of 8.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.77%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 5.37, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 2.39x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Astronics Corporation is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector, within the Military/Government/Technical industry. Per the market data, its gross margin is 29.9% and its operating margin is 8.9%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Astronics Corporation (ATRO) reported $862.1M in annual revenue (up from $795.4M in FY2024, +8.4% YoY) and $29.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($689.2M revenue, -$26.4M net income) through FY2025, ATRO scaled operating cash flow to $74.8M and free cash flow to $74.8M, backed by $706.7M in total assets against $334.5M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 49/100): Strong cash generator (29.9% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $33.12 – $94.46 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 92.1x trailing P/E and 39.5x EV/EBITDA against 8.9% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore does not establish upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations.

  • Key Question #1: Can ATRO sustain or expand its 8.9% operating margin and 13.2% ROIC against Military/Government/Technical peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $862.1M and free cash flow of $74.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $334.5M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ATRO's 85.7x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ATRO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Astronics Corporation (ATRO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ATRO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ATRO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $59.95?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ATRO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ATRO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $69.49 (+17.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose to $862.1M in FY 2025 with FCF of $74.8M, supported by a 13.2% ROIC and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

The street is overcomplicating Astronics Corporation (ATRO). Per the SEC financials, revenue rose to $862.1M in FY 2025 with FCF of $74.8M, supported by a 13.2% ROIC and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.. With an RQD score of 49/100 (D) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 15/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $64.14.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on 92.1x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Military/Government/Technical. If gross margin (29.9%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $48.70 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $59.39

Per the market data, the trailing P/E of 92.1 and EV/EBITDA of 39.5 sit against a 2.77% FCF yield, with Macro Regime Fit scoring only 4

Per the market data, the trailing P/E of 92.1 and EV/EBITDA of 39.5 sit against a 2.77% FCF yield, with Macro Regime Fit scoring only 4/20.. Look at the math on ATRO: paying 92.1x trailing P/E for 13.2% ROIC and 8.9% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Military/Government/Technical demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $52.26 before getting long.

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