Seeking Alpha report covering Astronics Corporation (ATRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why ATRO Stock dropped -5.55% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Astronics Corporation (ATRO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is ATRO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Astronics Corporation (NASDAQ: ATRO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $59.39 (-5.55% 1D, market cap $2.70B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ATRO ranks #212 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does ATRO compare to DCO and RDW in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), ATRO carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 92.1x, gross margin of 29.9%, and ROIC of 13.2%. By comparison, DCO (Ducommun Incorporated) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.1%, cap $2.54B) and RDW (Redwire Corporation) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.4%, cap $2.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATRO leads on earnings multiple (92.1x) while ATRO leads on capital efficiency (13.2% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ATRO?
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Per ATRO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000008063), Astronics Corporation generated $862.1M in revenue (+8.4% YoY), $29.4M in net income, and $74.8M in free cash flow against $706.7M in total assets and $334.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (30% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.7% FCF Margin ($74.8M FCF) & 29.9% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 5.37 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (48.4) create a -16 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ATRO Turnaround Squeeze
While ATRO currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Strong cash generator (30% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why ATRO Stock dropped -5.55% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Astronics Corporation (ATRO) dropped -5.55% to $59.39, trading at 43% of its 52-week range ($33.12 – $94.46). Stretched risk/reward at 92x P/E (13% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 43% of its 52-week range ($33.12 – $94.46) with RSI-14 at 48.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.7% around $59.39 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 29.9% gross margin and $74.8M annual free cash flow.
TradingView report covering Astronics Corporation (ATRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Astronics Corporation (ATRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Astronics Corporation (ATRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Astronics Corporation (ATRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Astronics Corporation (ATRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Astronics Corporation (ATRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Astronics Corporation (ATRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ATRO)
- ✓Walkthrough of ATRO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
ATRO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +8.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ATRO today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ATRO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ATRO)
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ATRO vs. DCO, RDW, FLY, AADX)
Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Astronics Corporation (ATRO) ranks #212 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #190 by equity capitalization ($2.70B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ATRO leads on earnings valuation at 92.1x trailing P/E, while ATRO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.2% ROIC and 29.9% gross margin. ATRO currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 53/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATRO
ACTIVE
Astronics Corporation | D+ | 53/100 | 92.1x | 29.9% | 13.2% | -5.55% | $2.70B | Benchmark Subject |
| DCO Ducommun Incorporated | D- | 40/100 | — | 26.9% | -3.1% | -4.63% | $2.54B | /dco-vs-atro → |
| RDW Redwire Corporation | E | 32/100 | — | 5.2% | -17.4% | -8.41% | $2.29B | /rdw-vs-atro → |
| FLY Firefly Aerospace Inc. | E | 22/100 | — | 19.2% | -35.0% | -9.74% | $3.33B | /fly-vs-atro → |
| AADX Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. | D- | 42/100 | — | — | — | -5.67% | $2.04B | /aadx-vs-atro → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000008063In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Astronics Corporation (ATRO) reported GAAP revenue of $862.1M (+8.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $795.4M , and +25.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $29.4M, operating cash flow of $74.8M, and free cash flow of $74.8M (+144.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, ATRO closed FY2025 with $706.7M in total assets against $334.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.37, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $862.1M | $29.4M | $74.8M | $74.8M | $706.7M | $334.5M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $795.4M | -$16.2M | $30.6M | $30.6M | $648.8M | $168.7M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $689.2M | -$26.4M | -$23.9M | -$23.9M | — | — |
3. ATRO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ATRO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Astronics Corporation (NASDAQ: ATRO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $59.39 (-5.55% 1D, market cap $2.70B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ATRO ranks #212 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ATRO compare to DCO and RDW in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), ATRO carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 92.1x, gross margin of 29.9%, and ROIC of 13.2%. By comparison, DCO (Ducommun Incorporated) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.1%, cap $2.54B) and RDW (Redwire Corporation) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.4%, cap $2.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATRO leads on earnings multiple (92.1x) while ATRO leads on capital efficiency (13.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ATRO?
Per ATRO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000008063), Astronics Corporation generated $862.1M in revenue (+8.4% YoY), $29.4M in net income, and $74.8M in free cash flow against $706.7M in total assets and $334.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (30% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ATRO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ATRO last traded at $59.39 (-5.55% on volume of 520,334 shares), positioning the stock -12.13% below its 50-day simple moving average ($67.59) and -10.31% below its 200-day simple moving average ($66.22). Across its 52-week range of $33.12 to $94.46, ATRO sits at the 42.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.7% ($53.63 to $65.15).
ATRO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ATRO stock moving today?
Why ATRO Stock dropped -5.55% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 92x P/E (13% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
ATRO — Astronics Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, ATRO scores 53 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 (ROIC 13.2%; FCF yield 2.77%); Whale/13F Flow at 8/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 11/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 4/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 15/20 (Altman Z 5.37; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 2.39).
For a prospective investor evaluating the stock at this point, the scoring suggests a mixed profile. The strongest pillars are the cash engine and forensic balance sheet, each at 15/20, supported by a 13.2% ROIC and a Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9. The weakest pillar is Macro Regime Fit at 4/20, which, combined with a Beta of 1.0, indicates the stock's sensitivity to the broader market and sector is a meaningful consideration. Institutional flow (8/20) is also a drag on the composite score. The valuation tradeoff is significant: per the market data, the trailing P/E is 92.1 and EV/EBITDA is 39.5, which leaves limited room for error relative to the cash yield of 2.77%. The upside case rests on sustained margin and cash flow improvement; the downside case centers on valuation compression if growth or cash generation disappoints. This brief is educational and does not constitute personalized financial advice.
Snapshot
Business
Astronics Corporation is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector, within the Military/Government/Technical industry, per the profile section. Per the market data, its gross margin is 29.9% and its operating margin is 8.9%. The source data does not specify its product lines, customer base, or revenue model beyond these classifications.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $862.1M | $76.4M | $29.4M | N/A | $74.8M | $18.2M | $334.5M |
| FY 2024 | $795.4M | $26.5M | $-16.2M | N/A | $30.6M | $9.3M | $168.7M |
| FY 2023 | $689.2M | $-6.7M | $-26.4M | N/A | $-23.9M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $689.2M in FY 2023 to $862.1M in FY 2025, and operating income moved from a loss to $76.4M over the same span. Per the market data, net margin is 3.4% and ROIC is 13.2%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 5.37 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, while Debt/Equity is 2.39. Reported debt rose from $168.7M to $334.5M between FY 2024 and FY 2025.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
- Seeking Alpha (GREEN, CATALYST): Headline "Astronics: Marked Down After A Record Quarter - Buy."
- TradingView (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): "Astronics Corporation Estimates."
- Simply Wall St (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): "Astronics (NasdaqGS:ATRO) Stock Forecast & Analyst Predictions."
- MarketBeat (RED, RISK WATCH): "Astronics (NASDAQ:ATRO) Stock Falls 3.9% - What's Next?"
- MarketBeat (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): Assenagon Asset Management S.A. share purchase report.
- MarketBeat (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): Inspire Investing LLC new investment report.
The news wire mixes one catalyst-flagged item with several market-wire items and one risk-watch item. The sole catalyst headline references a record quarter alongside a markdown, while the risk-watch item reports a 3.9% decline. The institutional items reference position changes by two named managers. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals or supply-chain links are recorded.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The source data therefore does not establish upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations. Investors should note that the sector designation (Industrials, Military/Government/Technical) implies exposure to government and defense spending cycles, but the source data does not quantify this exposure or identify specific 2nd-order bottlenecks.
Open Questions
- What are the company's principal product lines and the split of revenue among customers, including government and defense exposure?
- What drove the $-16.2M net loss in FY 2024 and the swing to $29.4M net income in FY 2025?
- What is the composition and maturity of the increase in debt from $168.7M to $334.5M?
- What is the basis for the "record quarter" referenced in the news wire, and what quarterly figures support it?
- What are the consensus analyst estimates and price targets, which the source data does not provide?
ATRO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Astronics Corporation (ATRO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Seeking Alpha report covering Astronics Corporation (ATRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Astronics Corporation (ATRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Astronics Corporation (ATRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Astronics Corporation (ATRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Astronics Corporation (ATRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Astronics Corporation (ATRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Astronics Corporation (ATRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Astronics Corporation (ATRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ATRO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $59.39?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ATRO (D+ • RQD 53/100) a Buy at $62.88?
Welcome to the ATRO (Astronics Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 53/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Military/Government/Technical. Bulls point to capital efficiency (13.2% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (92.1x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on ATRO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ATRO, but look at what you are paying: 92.1x trailing P/E with 29.9% gross margins. Unless Astronics Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
ATRO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ATRO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Military/Government/Technical and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $62.88 (52-wk range $33.12 - $94.46), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.