MarketBeat report covering Avalyn Pharma Inc. (AVLN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why AVLN Stock slipped -0.31% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Avalyn Pharma Inc. (AVLN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is AVLN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Avalyn Pharma Inc. (NASDAQ: AVLN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $25.63 (-0.31% 1D, market cap $1.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, AVLN ranks #386 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does AVLN compare to MNKD and AMPH in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), AVLN carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MNKD (MannKind Corporation) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 54.5%, cap $1.13B) and AMPH (Amphastar Pharmaceuticals Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 11.7x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $1.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMPH leads on earnings multiple (11.7x) while MNKD leads on capital efficiency (54.5% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AVLN?
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Per AVLN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001540171), Avalyn Pharma Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $148.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.8% FCF Margin ($31.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AVLN Turnaround Squeeze
While AVLN currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($29.66) and Max Pain ($26.91) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $42.18.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why AVLN Stock slipped -0.31% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Avalyn Pharma Inc. (AVLN) slipped -0.31% to $25.63, trading at 19% of its 52-week range ($22.24 – $40.17). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 19% of its 52-week range ($22.24 – $40.17) with RSI-14 at 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $25.63 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $31.8M annual free cash flow.
MarketBeat report covering Avalyn Pharma Inc. (AVLN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering Avalyn Pharma Inc. (AVLN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Avalyn Pharma Inc. (AVLN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering Avalyn Pharma Inc. (AVLN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Avalyn Pharma Inc. (AVLN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering Avalyn Pharma Inc. (AVLN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Avalyn Pharma Inc. (AVLN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Treatment for a serious lung disease failed to meet the company’s primary goal.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AVLN)
- ✓Walkthrough of AVLN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
AVLN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AVLN today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AVLN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AVLN)
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (AVLN vs. MNKD, AMPH, VSTM, RAPP)
Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Avalyn Pharma Inc. (AVLN) ranks #386 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #340 by equity capitalization ($1.14B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AMPH leads on earnings valuation at 11.7x trailing P/E, while MNKD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 54.5% ROIC and 92.3% gross margin. AMPH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with AVLN at 44/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVLN
ACTIVE
Avalyn Pharma Inc. | D | 44/100 | — | — | — | -0.31% | $1.14B | Benchmark Subject |
| MNKD MannKind Corporation | D+ | 56/100 | — | 92.3% | 54.5% | 0.00% | $1.13B | /mnkd-vs-avln → |
| AMPH Amphastar Pharmaceuticals Inc. | B | 72/100 | 11.7x | 49.5% | 9.0% | +2.93% | $1.18B | /amph-vs-avln → |
| VSTM Verastem Inc. | D- | 36/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +0.93% | $1.18B | /vstm-vs-avln → |
| RAPP Rapport Therapeutics Inc. | E | 30/100 | — | — | -22.9% | +3.47% | $1.20B | /rapp-vs-avln → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001540171In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Avalyn Pharma Inc. (AVLN) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, AVLN closed FY2025 with $148.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $0 | — | — | $148.9M | $0 |
3. AVLN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs AVLN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Avalyn Pharma Inc. (NASDAQ: AVLN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $25.63 (-0.31% 1D, market cap $1.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, AVLN ranks #386 in composite RQD confidence.
How does AVLN compare to MNKD and AMPH in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), AVLN carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MNKD (MannKind Corporation) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 54.5%, cap $1.13B) and AMPH (Amphastar Pharmaceuticals Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 11.7x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $1.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMPH leads on earnings multiple (11.7x) while MNKD leads on capital efficiency (54.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AVLN?
Per AVLN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001540171), Avalyn Pharma Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $148.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is AVLN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
AVLN last traded at $25.63 (-0.31% on volume of 343,497 shares), positioning the stock -13.59% below its 50-day simple moving average ($29.66) and -14.37% below its 200-day simple moving average ($29.93). Across its 52-week range of $22.24 to $40.17, AVLN sits at the 18.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($22.43 to $28.83).
AVLN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is AVLN stock moving today?
Why AVLN Stock slipped -0.31% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
AVLN — Avalyn Pharma Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, AVLN scores 44 out of 100, earning a letter grade of D and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine (10 / 20): The rating cites ROIC of 0% and FCF yield of 0%. For a prospective investor, this indicates the source data shows no measurable return on invested capital and no free-cash-flow yield to support valuation today.
- Whale 13F Flow (3 / 20): This is the weakest pillar, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning. The lowest score here suggests the source data does not show supportive institutional demand.
- Insider Conviction (9 / 20): Per the rating, this pillar covers SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. A score of 9 indicates limited insider-driven conviction signals in the source data.
- Macro Regime Fit (9 / 20): The rating reports Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. This is a market-average beta, meaning the stock's movement relative to the broader market is neutral on this measure, but the pillar score still reflects weak regime alignment.
- Forensic Balance Sheet (13 / 20): The rating cites Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. This is the strongest pillar, indicating the balance sheet is comparatively the most defensible component of the profile.
Investor implications: the potential upside drivers in this data are limited to the balance-sheet strength (Forensic pillar) and the cash position reported in the financials. The valuation tradeoff is significant: with a $1.14B market cap and 0% ROIC and FCF yield in the source data, the current price is not supported by reported cash generation. Ripple effects would most likely run through institutional and insider flow, given the weak scores in those pillars. This is an analytical summary, not personalized financial advice.
Business
Avalyn Pharma Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Health Care sector and the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry, per the profile. Not available in source data for specific products, customers, or revenue model. The source data reports revenue of $0.0M for FY 2025, so the profile does not confirm a commercial revenue stream.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31) | $0.0M | $0.0M | $0.0M | N/A | N/A | $52.3M | $0.0M |
Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 reports zero revenue, zero operating income, and zero net income, with $52.3M in cash and $0.0M in debt. Gross, operating, and net margins are each 0% per the market data, and ROIC is 0%. The Altman Z-Score of 2.5 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 are cited within the Roarable RQD rating, and Debt/Equity of 0.5 is also cited there. The balance sheet posture is therefore described in the source as cash-holding with no reported debt, while the income statement shows no reported revenue or profit.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news feed, the following items relate to AVLN, all tagged with a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label:
- A MarketBeat report headlined that the stock price was down 5.1%.
- A MarketBeat report headlined that the stock reached a new 1-year low.
- A Globe and Mail "U.S. Analyst Updates" item listing multiple tickers.
- A MarketBeat report headlined a "Moderate Buy" rating from sell-side brokerages.
- A TradingKey "Largest Companies by Market Cap" item.
- A MarketBeat report headlined that the shares gapped down.
Risk watch items per the feed: the new 1-year low and the gap-down headlines. Positive watch item per the feed: the "Moderate Buy" headline. Proprietary signals per the Butterfly graph: none.
Open Questions
- What revenue source, if any, sits behind the reported $0.0M in FY 2025 revenue, and what is the expected timeline for commercial revenue?
- Why are P/E, forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS unavailable, and does the company currently report positive earnings?
- What is the composition of the $52.3M cash position, and how long does it fund operations at the current loss profile?
- Who holds the shares, and what do 13F and insider filings show about institutional and insider positioning?
- What drove the news-flagged 5.1% decline, 1-year low, and gap-down, and are there any company-specific catalysts disclosed?
AVLN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Avalyn Pharma Inc. (AVLN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
MarketBeat report covering Avalyn Pharma Inc. (AVLN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Avalyn Pharma Inc. (AVLN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering Avalyn Pharma Inc. (AVLN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Avalyn Pharma Inc. (AVLN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering Avalyn Pharma Inc. (AVLN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Avalyn Pharma Inc. (AVLN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering Avalyn Pharma Inc. (AVLN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Avalyn Pharma Inc. (AVLN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
AVLN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $25.63?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AVLN (D • RQD 44/100) a Buy at $25.71?
Welcome to the AVLN (Avalyn Pharma Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 44/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on AVLN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AVLN, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Avalyn Pharma Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
AVLN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AVLN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $25.71 (52-wk range $22.24 - $40.17), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.