Yahoo Finance report covering Aytu BioPharma Inc. (AYTU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why AYTU Stock advanced +0.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Aytu BioPharma Inc. (AYTU) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 27/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is AYTU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Aytu BioPharma Inc. (NASDAQ: AYTU) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $1.94 (+0.52% 1D, market cap $21.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, AYTU ranks #890 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does AYTU compare to TXMD and ATOS in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), AYTU carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 69.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, TXMD (TherapeuticsMD Inc.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.9%, cap $20.8M) and ATOS (Atossa Therapeutics Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $21.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AYTU leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TXMD leads on capital efficiency (-12.9% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AYTU?
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Per AYTU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001385818), Aytu BioPharma Inc. generated $66.4M in revenue (+1.8% YoY), -$13.6M in net income, and -$2.2M in free cash flow against $122.0M in total assets and $10.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
FRED Regime × Technicals: 11% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AYTU Turnaround Squeeze
While AYTU currently carries a cautious 27/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.09) and Max Pain ($2.04) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.22.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why AYTU Stock advanced +0.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Aytu BioPharma Inc. (AYTU) advanced +0.52% to $1.94, trading at 11% of its 52-week range ($1.8 – $3.07). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 11% of its 52-week range ($1.8 – $3.07) with RSI-14 at 43 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.8% around $1.94 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 69% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
TradingView report covering Aytu BioPharma Inc. (AYTU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com Canada report covering Aytu BioPharma Inc. (AYTU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Aytu BioPharma Inc. (AYTU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Aytu BioPharma Inc. (AYTU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Aytu BioPharma Inc. (AYTU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering Aytu BioPharma Inc. (AYTU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Aytu BioPharma Inc. (AYTU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AYTU)
- ✓Walkthrough of AYTU's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
AYTU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +1.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AYTU today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AYTU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AYTU)
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (AYTU vs. TXMD, ATOS, QNRX, QNTM)
Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)Across 1015 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aytu BioPharma Inc. (AYTU) ranks #890 by composite RQD confidence (27/100, grade E) and #825 by equity capitalization ($21.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AYTU leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TXMD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -12.9% ROIC and — gross margin. QNTM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with AYTU at 27/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AYTU
ACTIVE
Aytu BioPharma Inc. | E | 27/100 | — | 69.0% | -35.0% | +0.52% | $21.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| TXMD TherapeuticsMD Inc. | E | 34/100 | — | — | -12.9% | +0.56% | $20.8M | /txmd-vs-aytu → |
| ATOS Atossa Therapeutics Inc. | E | 33/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +5.99% | $21.7M | /atos-vs-aytu → |
| QNRX Quoin Pharmaceuticals Ltd. | D- | 37/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -11.45% | $21.8M | /qnrx-vs-aytu → |
| QNTM Quantum Biopharma Ltd. Class B Subordinate Voting Shares | D | 46/100 | — | — | — | -5.04% | $20.2M | /qntm-vs-aytu → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001385818 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Aytu BioPharma Inc. (AYTU) reported GAAP revenue of $66.4M (+1.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $65.2M , and -38.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$13.6M, operating cash flow of -$1.9M, and free cash flow of -$2.2M (-26.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, AYTU closed FY2025 with $122.0M in total assets against $10.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-06-30 | $66.4M | -$13.6M | -$1.9M | -$2.2M | $122.0M | $10.0M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-06-30 | $65.2M | -$15.8M | -$1.4M | -$1.7M | $116.2M | $10.0M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-06-30 | $107.4M | -$17.1M | -$5.1M | -$5.1M | — | — |
3. AYTU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs AYTU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Aytu BioPharma Inc. (NASDAQ: AYTU) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $1.94 (+0.52% 1D, market cap $21.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, AYTU ranks #890 in composite RQD confidence.
How does AYTU compare to TXMD and ATOS in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), AYTU carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 69.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, TXMD (TherapeuticsMD Inc.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.9%, cap $20.8M) and ATOS (Atossa Therapeutics Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $21.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AYTU leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TXMD leads on capital efficiency (-12.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AYTU?
Per AYTU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001385818), Aytu BioPharma Inc. generated $66.4M in revenue (+1.8% YoY), -$13.6M in net income, and -$2.2M in free cash flow against $122.0M in total assets and $10.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is AYTU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
AYTU last traded at $1.94 (+0.52% on volume of 16,455 shares), positioning the stock -7.18% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.09) and -16.02% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.31). Across its 52-week range of $1.80 to $3.07, AYTU sits at the 11.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.8% ($1.77 to $2.11).
AYTU — Aytu BioPharma Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Aytu BioPharma Inc. (AYTU) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 27/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.94 (+0.52% 1D, market capitalization $21.0M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (4/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 69.0%, operating margin of -11.8%, and free cash flow yield of -10.06%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.70x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Aytu BioPharma Inc. (AYTU) is a NASDAQ-listed operating company in the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry (Health Care sector) with an equity market capitalization of $21.0M. The business operates with a gross margin of 69%, an operating margin of -11.8%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35% (free cash flow yield of -10.06%). Within the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), Aytu BioPharma Inc. (AYTU) reported $66.4M in annual revenue (up from $65.2M in FY2024, +1.8% YoY) and -$13.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($107.4M revenue, -$17.1M net income) through FY2025, AYTU scaled operating cash flow to -$1.9M and free cash flow to -$2.2M, backed by $122.0M in total assets against $10.0M in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 27/100): Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -10.06% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.80 – $3.07 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -11.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
The only sector context is the Health Care / Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations classification. An investor should watch for the proxy statement timing noted in the news wire, but no supply-chain bottleneck can be identified from the source data.
- Key Question #1: Can AYTU sustain or expand its -11.8% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $66.4M and free cash flow of -$2.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $10.0M in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is AYTU's equity valuation to Health Care capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
AYTU Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Aytu BioPharma Inc. (AYTU) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Aytu BioPharma Inc. (AYTU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Aytu BioPharma Inc. (AYTU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com Canada report covering Aytu BioPharma Inc. (AYTU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Aytu BioPharma Inc. (AYTU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Aytu BioPharma Inc. (AYTU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Aytu BioPharma Inc. (AYTU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering Aytu BioPharma Inc. (AYTU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Aytu BioPharma Inc. (AYTU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
AYTU Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.94?
AYTU (E • RQD 27/100) operating leverage in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations is mispriced at $1.93
Don't sleep on AYTU's setup in Health Care. AYTU (E • RQD 27/100) operating leverage in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations is mispriced at $1.93. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (27/100) backs up the fundamental quality.
@MacroHawk_NYC Agree on the RQD 27/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $1.93 and keeping dry powder in case we test $1.79.
ROIC of -35%, FCF yield of -10.06%, and revenue down from $107.4M in FY 2023 to $66.4M in FY 2025 show a loss-making business with weak
Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short AYTU above $1.93. ROIC of -35%, FCF yield of -10.06%, and revenue down from $107.4M in FY 2023 to $66.4M in FY 2025 show a loss-making business with weak institutional and insider support.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (4/20) and FCF yield (-10.06%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $3.07.