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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / AZO / insiders
ORLY (67) AAP (28) HZO (52) ONEW (31) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

AutoZone Inc. (AZO) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$3,253.01 +2.62% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3,262.17

AutoZone Inc. (AZO) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $51.02B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AZO Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AZO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, AutoZone Inc. (NYSE: AZO) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $3,253.01 (+2.62% 1D, market cap $51.02B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AZO ranks #194 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AZO compare to ORLY and AAP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto & Home Supply Stores), AZO carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.2x, gross margin of 52.6%, and ROIC of 55.8%. By comparison, ORLY (O'Reilly Automotive Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 28.1x, ROIC 48.0%, cap $71.29B) and AAP (Advance Auto Parts Inc.) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E 62.8x, ROIC -1.4%, cap $2.72B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AZO leads on earnings multiple (20.2x) while AZO leads on capital efficiency (55.8% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AZO?
β–Ό

Per AZO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-30, CIK 0000866787), AutoZone Inc. generated $18.94B in revenue (+2.4% YoY), $2.50B in net income, and $1.79B in free cash flow against $19.67B in total assets and $8.62B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (52.6% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3,262.12 (+0.28%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) β€’ 9.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 56.4% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C+
025507510067
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B Β· Rk D+
Cash (17)Whales (13)SEC (13)Macro (9)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target
$4196 Bull$3385 Base$2640 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE AZO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AZO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±4.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY AZO SCORES 67/100 (C+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.5% FCF Margin ($1.79B FCF) & 52.6% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (60.2) create a -11 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$2,911.62+8.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$3,156.74+0% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$3,156.76+3% Next Q
Current
67
Grade C+$3,253.01+1.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (59) β†’ C+ (67)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AZO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, AZO faces multiple-compression risk if 20.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 50.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($2,973.02) or 200D SMA ($3,256.00) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($3,384.76) toward Bear Floor ($2,640.11).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AZOβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œAZO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

AZO Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (AZO)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on AZO. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (AZO Tape Review)

  • βœ“Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • βœ“Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • βœ“Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AZO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.58%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $3,137.0H $3,253.0L $3,137.0C $3,253.0VOL 207.3K
RES: $3,293.2SUP: $2,655.4SMA50: $2,973.0SMA200: $3,256.0
$3,841.9$3,540.7$3,239.5$2,938.4$2,637.2RES $3,293.2SUP $2,655.4$3,253.02026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AZO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ AZO Butterfly Map β†’ + Track AZO β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
13.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AZO today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AZO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AZO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AZO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #194 of 1009 βš”οΈ ORLY vs AZO Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AZO vs. ORLY, AAP, HZO, ONEW)

Industry: Auto & Home Supply Stores (6 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AutoZone Inc. (AZO) ranks #194 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #43 by equity capitalization ($51.02B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AZO leads on earnings valuation at 20.2x trailing P/E, while AZO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 55.8% ROIC and 52.6% gross margin. AZO currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AZO ACTIVE
AutoZone Inc.
C+ 67/100 20.2x 52.6% 55.8% +2.62% $51.02B Benchmark Subject
ORLY
O'Reilly Automotive Inc.
C+ 67/100 28.1x 51.6% 48.0% +2.93% $71.29B /orly-vs-azo β†’
AAP
Advance Auto Parts Inc.
E 28/100 62.8x 43.4% -1.4% +6.23% $2.72B /aap-vs-azo β†’
HZO
MarineMax Inc. (FL)
D+ 52/100 β€” 32.5% 2.4% -0.11% $1.17B /hzo-vs-azo β†’
ONEW
OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A)
E 31/100 β€” 22.8% -11.2% +6.95% $160.7M /onew-vs-azo β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-08-30 β€’ CIK 0000866787 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-30), AutoZone Inc. (AZO) reported GAAP revenue of $18.94B (+2.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $18.49B , and +8.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.50B, operating cash flow of $3.12B, and free cash flow of $1.79B (-7.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, AZO closed FY2025 with $19.67B in total assets against $8.62B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.45, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-08-30 $18.94B $2.50B $3.12B $1.79B $19.67B $8.62B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-08-31 $18.49B $2.66B $3.00B $1.93B $17.47B $9.01B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-08-26 $17.46B $2.53B $2.94B $2.16B $27.77B $6.50B

3. AZO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AZO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, AutoZone Inc. (NYSE: AZO) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $3,253.01 (+2.62% 1D, market cap $51.02B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AZO ranks #194 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AZO compare to ORLY and AAP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto & Home Supply Stores), AZO carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.2x, gross margin of 52.6%, and ROIC of 55.8%. By comparison, ORLY (O'Reilly Automotive Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 28.1x, ROIC 48.0%, cap $71.29B) and AAP (Advance Auto Parts Inc.) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E 62.8x, ROIC -1.4%, cap $2.72B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AZO leads on earnings multiple (20.2x) while AZO leads on capital efficiency (55.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AZO?

Per AZO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-30, CIK 0000866787), AutoZone Inc. generated $18.94B in revenue (+2.4% YoY), $2.50B in net income, and $1.79B in free cash flow against $19.67B in total assets and $8.62B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (52.6% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AZO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AZO last traded at $3,253.01 (+2.62% on volume of 145,086 shares), positioning the stock +9.42% above its 50-day simple moving average ($2,973.02) and -0.09% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3,256.00). Across its 52-week range of $2,730.65 to $3,996.25, AZO sits at the 41.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±4.7% ($3,100.12 to $3,405.90).

Direct Sub-Reports: AZO RQD Cockpit AZO 12M Forecast AZO Earnings & Move AZO Dividends & DRIP AZO Insiders & 13F AZO Whale Options AZO Profit Sankey AZO News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 67/100 (C+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AZO β€” AutoZone Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-08-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

AutoZone Inc. (AZO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 67/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $3,253.01 (+2.62% 1D, market capitalization $51.02B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 55.8%, gross margin of 52.6%, operating margin of 19.1%, and free cash flow yield of 3.55%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (13/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 0.92x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.45, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.85x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

AutoZone Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Auto & Home Supply Stores industry..5B. Per the market data, gross margin is 52.6%, operating margin 19.1%, and net margin 13.2%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-08-30), AutoZone Inc. (AZO) reported $18.94B in annual revenue (up from $18.49B in FY2024, +2.4% YoY) and $2.50B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($17.46B revenue, $2.53B net income) through FY2025, AZO scaled operating cash flow to $3.12B and free cash flow to $1.79B, backed by $19.67B in total assets against $8.62B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (C+ β€’ RQD 67/100): Strong cash generator (52.6% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2,730.65 – $3,996.25 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 20.2x trailing P/E and 12.4x EV/EBITDA against 19.1% operating margins and a 0.92x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Auto & Home Supply Stores (Consumer Discretionary), AZO carries a macro regime beta of 0.92 and gross margin of 52.6%.

  • Key Question #1: Can AZO sustain or expand its 19.1% operating margin and 55.8% ROIC against Auto & Home Supply Stores peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $18.94B and free cash flow of $1.79B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $8.62B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AZO's 18.8x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.92x)?

AZO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for AutoZone Inc. (AZO) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to AZO Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AZO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $3,253.01?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AZO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AZO:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Swing & Catalyst Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3,867.18 (+22.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

ROIC of 55.8% and an Altman Z-Score of 4.45 indicate a highly capital-efficient business with a strong balance-sheet profile.

Picked up a starter position in AZO in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $3169.82. ROIC of 55.8% and an Altman Z-Score of 4.45 indicate a highly capital-efficient business with a strong balance-sheet profile.. Trading inside a $2730.65–$3996.25 52-week range with 3.55% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Auto & Home Supply Stores multiples expand this quarter.

RetailWhale_TX πŸ‚ BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 13/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $3169.82 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2,630.95 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $3,169.82

Revenue grew from FY 2023 to FY 2025 while net income and free cash flow both declined, and the macro-regime pillar scored only 9 / 20.

Revenue grew from FY 2023 to FY 2025 while net income and free cash flow both declined, and the macro-regime pillar scored only 9 / 20.. Look at the math on AZO: paying 20.2x trailing P/E for 55.8% ROIC and 19.1% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Auto & Home Supply Stores demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $2789.44 before getting long.

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