Yahoo Finance report covering BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. (BCRX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why BCRX Stock dropped -2.66% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. (BCRX) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is BCRX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: BCRX) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $8.24 (-2.66% 1D, market cap $2.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, BCRX ranks #106 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does BCRX compare to VCEL and MESO in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), BCRX carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, VCEL (Vericel Corporation) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 133.0x, ROIC 3.4%, cap $2.06B) and MESO (Mesoblast Limited) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.97B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCRX leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while BCRX leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BCRX?
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Per BCRX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000882796), BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. generated $954.8M in revenue (+13308.9% YoY), $263.9M in net income, and $347.4M in free cash flow against $514.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 36.4% FCF Margin ($347.4M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (54.5) create a -11 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BCRX Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, BCRX faces multiple-compression risk if 8.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($8.59) or 200D SMA ($8.76) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($8.57) toward Bear Floor ($6.68).
Why BCRX Stock dropped -2.66% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. (BCRX) dropped -2.66% to $8.24, trading at 40% of its 52-week range ($6.23 – $11.22). Solid steady margins (85% return on capital), mixed timing at 8x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 40% of its 52-week range ($6.23 – $11.22) with RSI-14 at 54.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.7% around $8.24 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $347.4M annual free cash flow.
StockInvest.us report covering BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. (BCRX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. (BCRX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. (BCRX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. (BCRX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. (BCRX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. (BCRX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. (BCRX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The consensus price target hints at a 137.9% upside potential for BioCryst (BCRX). While empirical research shows that this sought-after metric is hardly effective, an upward trend in earnings estimate revisions could me
Pacira BioSciences (PCRX) possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BCRX Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
BCRX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +13308.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BCRX today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BCRX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BCRX)
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (BCRX vs. VCEL, MESO, RXRX, COAG)
Industry: Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1015 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. (BCRX) ranks #106 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #242 by equity capitalization ($2.16B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BCRX leads on earnings valuation at 8.3x trailing P/E, while BCRX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. BCRX currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 67/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BCRX
ACTIVE
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. | C+ | 67/100 | 8.3x | — | 85.0% | -2.66% | $2.16B | Benchmark Subject |
| VCEL Vericel Corporation | D+ | 58/100 | 133.0x | 74.4% | 3.4% | +0.62% | $2.06B | /vcel-vs-bcrx → |
| MESO Mesoblast Limited | D | 51/100 | — | — | — | -4.09% | $1.97B | /meso-vs-bcrx → |
| RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc. | D- | 40/100 | — | 5.0% | -35.0% | -4.96% | $2.41B | /rxrx-vs-bcrx → |
| COAG Hemab Therapeutics Holdings Inc. | C- | 59/100 | — | — | — | -0.65% | $1.94B | /coag-vs-bcrx → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000882796 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. (BCRX) reported GAAP revenue of $954.8M (+13308.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.1M , and +228.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $263.9M, operating cash flow of $347.4M, and free cash flow of $347.4M (+767.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, BCRX closed FY2025 with $514.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $954.8M | $263.9M | $347.4M | $347.4M | $514.2M | $0 |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $7.1M | -$88.9M | -$52.0M | -$52.0M | $490.4M | $314.9M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $290.4M | -$226.5M | -$95.1M | -$95.1M | — | — |
3. BCRX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs BCRX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: BCRX) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $8.24 (-2.66% 1D, market cap $2.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, BCRX ranks #106 in composite RQD confidence.
How does BCRX compare to VCEL and MESO in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), BCRX carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, VCEL (Vericel Corporation) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 133.0x, ROIC 3.4%, cap $2.06B) and MESO (Mesoblast Limited) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.97B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCRX leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while BCRX leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BCRX?
Per BCRX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000882796), BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. generated $954.8M in revenue (+13308.9% YoY), $263.9M in net income, and $347.4M in free cash flow against $514.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is BCRX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
BCRX last traded at $8.24 (-2.66% on volume of 4,090,453 shares), positioning the stock -4.07% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.59) and -5.94% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.76). Across its 52-week range of $6.23 to $11.22, BCRX sits at the 40.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.7% ($7.61 to $8.87).
BCRX — BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. (BCRX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 67/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $8.24 (-2.66% 1D, market capitalization $2.16B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (18/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 85.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 15.96%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in the Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) industry. The market capitalization is $2.2B.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. (BCRX) reported $954.8M in annual revenue (up from $7.1M in FY2024, +13308.9% YoY) and $263.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($290.4M revenue, -$226.5M net income) through FY2025, BCRX scaled operating cash flow to $347.4M and free cash flow to $347.4M, backed by $514.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 67/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 18/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $6.23 – $11.22 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 8.3x trailing P/E and 6.1x EV/EBITDA against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Operating in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) (Health Care), BCRX carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.
- Key Question #1: Can BCRX sustain or expand its — operating margin and 85.0% ROIC against Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $954.8M and free cash flow of $347.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is BCRX's 7.7x forward P/E multiple to Health Care capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
BCRX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. (BCRX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. (BCRX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StockInvest.us report covering BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. (BCRX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. (BCRX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. (BCRX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. (BCRX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. (BCRX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. (BCRX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc. (BCRX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
BCRX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $8.24?
Fundamental cash engine scores 18 of 20 with ROIC at 85% and a 15.96% FCF yield while the stock trades at 8.3x TTM earnings.
Here is why I am bullish on BCRX here at $8.47: Fundamental cash engine scores 18 of 20 with ROIC at 85% and a 15.96% FCF yield while the stock trades at 8.3x TTM earnings.. Compare BCRX's 0.0% operating margin and 85.0% ROIC against the rest of Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances). As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $8.05 are getting bought.
@RiskArb_Desk Shorting a 10/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $8.47 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Health Care.
Macro regime fit scores only 9 of 20 and whale/13F flow scores 10 of 20, leaving institutional support and sector alignment as clear we
Careful chasing BCRX at $8.47. Macro regime fit scores only 9 of 20 and whale/13F flow scores 10 of 20, leaving institutional support and sector alignment as clear weak points.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $6.78 on multiple compression.