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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BFAM / earnings
DFIN (79) UNF (63) CRAI (68) HRB (82) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. (BFAM) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±10.8% Move

$54.31 -1.22% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $54.09

Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. (BFAM) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.67B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BFAM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. (NYSE: BFAM) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $54.31 (-1.22% 1D, market cap $2.67B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BFAM ranks #301 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BFAM compare to DFIN and UNF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Consumer Services), BFAM carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.9x, gross margin of 23.8%, and ROIC of 12.8%. By comparison, DFIN (Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc.) holds a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 46.3x, ROIC 21.4%, cap $1.63B) and UNF (Unifirst Corporation) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 31.4x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $4.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HRB leads on earnings multiple (10.1x) while HRB leads on capital efficiency (46.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BFAM?
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Per BFAM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001437578), Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. generated $2.93B in revenue (+9.2% YoY), $193.1M in net income, and $258.5M in free cash flow against $3.89B in total assets and $747.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $54.09 (-0.41%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 8.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510061
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C- · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (6)SEC (14)Macro (11)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target
$114 Bull$55 Base$43 Bear
📬 FREE BFAM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BFAM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BFAM SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.99 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
69
Grade B-$68.41-2.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$66.92+3.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$69.29-21.6% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$54.31+0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (69) → C- (61)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BFAM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, BFAM faces multiple-compression risk if 16.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 21.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($67.70) or 200D SMA ($73.60) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($55.04) toward Bear Floor ($42.93).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BFAM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BFAM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±10.8% Swing Band

±$5.87 Expected Swing
$48.44 (-10.8%)Spot $54.31$60.18 (+10.8%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

BFAM Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 61/100

Trailing EPS: $3.97 • YoY Revenue Growth: 9.2%

Model Bullish Setup (61/100)Model Risk Weight (39/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$2.93B$193.1M$258.5M23.8%
FY 20242024-12-31$2.69B$140.2M$240.2M23.1%
FY 20232023-12-31$2.42B$74.2M$147.3M23.8%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating BFAM & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on BFAM
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BFAM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.85%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $66.98H $66.98L $54.31C $54.31VOL 7.37M
RES: $73.76SUP: $51.31SMA50: $67.70SMA200: $73.60
$100.7$87.53$74.36$61.18$48.01RES $73.76SUP $51.31$54.312026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BFAM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BFAM Butterfly Map → + Track BFAM →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
9.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BFAM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BFAM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BFAM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BFAM)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #301 of 1009 ⚔️ DFIN vs BFAM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BFAM vs. DFIN, UNF, CRAI, HRB)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. (BFAM) ranks #301 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #377 by equity capitalization ($2.67B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HRB leads on earnings valuation at 10.1x trailing P/E, while HRB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 46.2% ROIC and 44.5% gross margin. HRB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 82/100 (A-) compared with BFAM at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BFAM ACTIVE
Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc.
C- 61/100 16.9x 23.8% 12.8% -1.22% $2.67B Benchmark Subject
DFIN
Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc.
B+ 79/100 46.3x — 21.4% +1.29% $1.63B /dfin-vs-bfam →
UNF
Unifirst Corporation
C 63/100 31.4x 36.6% 6.4% +1.44% $4.61B /unf-vs-bfam →
CRAI
CRA International Inc.
C+ 68/100 22.5x — 33.6% +0.56% $1.23B /crai-vs-bfam →
HRB
H&R Block Inc.
A- 82/100 10.1x 44.5% 46.2% +1.83% $6.29B /hrb-vs-bfam →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001437578 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. (BFAM) reported GAAP revenue of $2.93B (+9.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.69B , and +21.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $193.1M, operating cash flow of $350.7M, and free cash flow of $258.5M (+7.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, BFAM closed FY2025 with $3.89B in total assets against $747.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.99, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.93B $193.1M $350.7M $258.5M $3.89B $747.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.69B $140.2M $337.5M $240.2M $3.85B $918.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.42B $74.2M $256.1M $147.3M $2.90B $679.0M

3. BFAM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BFAM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. (NYSE: BFAM) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $54.31 (-1.22% 1D, market cap $2.67B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BFAM ranks #301 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BFAM compare to DFIN and UNF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Consumer Services), BFAM carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.9x, gross margin of 23.8%, and ROIC of 12.8%. By comparison, DFIN (Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc.) holds a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 46.3x, ROIC 21.4%, cap $1.63B) and UNF (Unifirst Corporation) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 31.4x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $4.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HRB leads on earnings multiple (10.1x) while HRB leads on capital efficiency (46.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BFAM?

Per BFAM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001437578), Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. generated $2.93B in revenue (+9.2% YoY), $193.1M in net income, and $258.5M in free cash flow against $3.89B in total assets and $747.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BFAM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BFAM last traded at $54.31 (-1.22% on volume of 2,259,146 shares), positioning the stock -19.78% below its 50-day simple moving average ($67.70) and -26.21% below its 200-day simple moving average ($73.60). Across its 52-week range of $52.10 to $108.10, BFAM sits at the 3.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.8% ($48.44 to $60.18).

Direct Sub-Reports: BFAM RQD Cockpit BFAM 12M Forecast BFAM Earnings & Move BFAM Dividends & DRIP BFAM Insiders & 13F BFAM Whale Options BFAM Profit Sankey BFAM News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 61/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BFAM — Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. (BFAM) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 61/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $54.31 (-1.22% 1D, market capitalization $2.67B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 12.8%, gross margin of 23.8%, operating margin of 10.7%, and free cash flow yield of 7.94%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (18/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.16x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.99, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.56x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Other Consumer Services industry..3B. — for product detail, customer base, or revenue-model specifics beyond the sector and industry classification.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. (BFAM) reported $2.93B in annual revenue (up from $2.69B in FY2024, +9.2% YoY) and $193.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.42B revenue, $74.2M net income) through FY2025, BFAM scaled operating cash flow to $350.7M and free cash flow to $258.5M, backed by $3.89B in total assets against $747.6M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 61/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 7.94% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $52.10 – $108.10 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 16.9x trailing P/E and 9.8x EV/EBITDA against 10.7% operating margins and a 1.16x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— for upstream or downstream dependencies, sector-correlation mapping, or 2nd-order bottlenecks. The only sector-level evidence is the classification (Consumer Discretionary / Other Consumer Services) and the beta of 1.16, which implies amplified sensitivity to broad market moves.

  • Key Question #1: Can BFAM sustain or expand its 10.7% operating margin and 12.8% ROIC against Other Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.93B and free cash flow of $258.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $747.6M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is BFAM's 15.7x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.16x)?

BFAM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. (BFAM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BFAM Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BFAM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $54.31?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BFAM 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BFAM:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $72.57 (+32.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Insider Conviction scores 18 of 20 per the Roarable RQD rating while the company grew net income from $74.2M to $193.1M across FY 2023–

Long BFAM at $54.98 targeting $72.57. Insider Conviction scores 18 of 20 per the Roarable RQD rating while the company grew net income from $74.2M to $193.1M across FY 2023–FY 2025.. Institutional whale score is 6/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $52.10 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@BreakoutHunter Agree on the RQD 61/100 quality, though with 1.16 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $54.98 and keeping dry powder in case we test $51.13.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $46.18 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $54.98

Whale 13F Flow scores only 8 of 20 and the Altman Z-Score of 1.99 flags balance-sheet risk per the Roarable RQD rating.

I respect the product at Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc., but the stock at $54.98 is a different story. Whale 13F Flow scores only 8 of 20 and the Altman Z-Score of 1.99 flags balance-sheet risk per the Roarable RQD rating.. FCF yield is 7.94% and RQD sits at 61/100 (C-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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