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Bgin Blockchain Limited (Class A) (BGIN) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$1.78 +1.14% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.78

Bgin Blockchain Limited (Class A) (BGIN) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 25/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $199.1M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BGIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Bgin Blockchain Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: BGIN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $1.78 (+1.14% 1D, market cap $199.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, BGIN ranks #1060 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BGIN compare to PNNT and LDI in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), BGIN carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, PNNT (PennantPark Investment Corporation) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 6.0x, ROIC 7.2%, cap $197.2M) and LDI (loanDepot Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.9%, cap $195.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PNNT leads on earnings multiple (6.0x) while LIEN leads on capital efficiency (11.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BGIN?
β–Ό

Per BGIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001945565), Bgin Blockchain Limited (Class A) generated $67.4M in revenue (-77.7% YoY), -$177.0M in net income, and -$171.1M in free cash flow against $92.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.78 (+0.02%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (25/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510025
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (7)Whales (3)SEC (5)Macro (7)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.6% Base Target
$5 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE BGIN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BGIN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (25/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY BGIN SCORES 25/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+7/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 6% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 41.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
33
Grade E$2.11-12.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
30
Grade E$1.85-5.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
28
Grade E$1.74+2.3% Next Q
Current
25
Grade E$1.78-10.7% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (33) β†’ E (25)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BGIN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While BGIN currently carries a cautious 25/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.98) and Max Pain ($1.87) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.63.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BGINβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œBGIN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
3.77% Total Yield
1.97% Cash ($0.04/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 β€’ FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
45.7% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (7.3% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $20,230

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $763/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.5K
Yr 2
$12.4K
Yr 3
$13.3K
Yr 4
$14.2K
Yr 5
$15.3K
Yr 6
$16.4K
Yr 7
$17.6K
Yr 8
$18.9K
Yr 9
$20.2K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BGIN)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of BGIN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BGIN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -48.85%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $1.82H $1.82L $1.76C $1.78VOL 10.9K
RES: $3.55SUP: $1.65SMA50: $1.98SMA200: $2.52
$4.37$3.62$2.87$2.13$1.38RES $3.55SUP $1.65$1.782026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BGIN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -77.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BGIN today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BGIN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BGIN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BGIN)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BGIN vs. PNNT, LDI, LIEN, ZSQR)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bgin Blockchain Limited (Class A) (BGIN) ranks #1060 by composite RQD confidence (25/100, grade E) and #883 by equity capitalization ($199.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PNNT leads on earnings valuation at 6.0x trailing P/E, while LIEN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.0% ROIC and β€” gross margin. PNNT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with BGIN at 25/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BGIN ACTIVE
Bgin Blockchain Limited (Class A)
E 25/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +1.14% $199.1M Benchmark Subject
PNNT
PennantPark Investment Corporation
D 47/100 6.0x β€” 7.2% +2.65% $197.2M /pnnt-vs-bgin β†’
LDI
loanDepot Inc. (Class A)
E 31/100 β€” β€” -27.9% +4.92% $195.8M /ldi-vs-bgin β†’
LIEN
Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc.
E 34/100 6.3x β€” 11.0% -0.11% $208.1M /lien-vs-bgin β†’
ZSQR
Z Squared Inc.
E 24/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +2.79% $190.3M /zsqr-vs-bgin β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001945565 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bgin Blockchain Limited (Class A) (BGIN) reported GAAP revenue of $67.4M (-77.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $302.3M , and -73.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$177.0M, operating cash flow of -$166.9M, and free cash flow of -$171.1M (+19.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, BGIN closed FY2025 with $92.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $67.4M -$177.0M -$166.9M -$171.1M $92.8M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $302.3M $66.1M -$199.3M -$212.3M $270.8M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $257.3M $139.8M -$31.3M -$31.3M β€” β€”

3. BGIN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BGIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Bgin Blockchain Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: BGIN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $1.78 (+1.14% 1D, market cap $199.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, BGIN ranks #1060 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BGIN compare to PNNT and LDI in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), BGIN carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, PNNT (PennantPark Investment Corporation) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 6.0x, ROIC 7.2%, cap $197.2M) and LDI (loanDepot Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.9%, cap $195.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PNNT leads on earnings multiple (6.0x) while LIEN leads on capital efficiency (11.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BGIN?

Per BGIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001945565), Bgin Blockchain Limited (Class A) generated $67.4M in revenue (-77.7% YoY), -$177.0M in net income, and -$171.1M in free cash flow against $92.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BGIN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BGIN last traded at $1.78 (+1.14% on volume of 6,890 shares), positioning the stock -10.10% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.98) and -29.37% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.52). Across its 52-week range of $1.61 to $4.41, BGIN sits at the 6.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.56 to $2.00).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 25/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BGIN β€” Bgin Blockchain Limited (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Bgin Blockchain Limited (Class A) (BGIN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 25/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.78 (+1.14% 1D, market capitalization $199.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of β€”.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Bgin Blockchain Limited (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Finance: Consumer Services industry. Its market capitalization is $0.2B. β€”: specific products, customer base, and revenue model descriptions.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Bgin Blockchain Limited (Class A) (BGIN) reported $67.4M in annual revenue (up from $302.3M in FY2024, -77.7% YoY) and -$177.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($257.3M revenue, $139.8M net income) through FY2025, BGIN scaled operating cash flow to -$166.9M and free cash flow to -$171.1M, backed by $92.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 25/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of β€” and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.61 – $4.41 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Supply chain: NONE; butterfly links: none; proprietary signals: none. β€”: upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks.

  • Key Question #1: Can BGIN sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Finance: Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $67.4M and free cash flow of -$171.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is BGIN's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

BGIN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Bgin Blockchain Limited (Class A) (BGIN) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to BGIN Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BGIN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $1.78?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BGIN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BGIN:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Institutional Buy-Side πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.13 (+21.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Price sits at $1.82, near the low end of its $1.61 - $4.41 52-week range, with a 1.97% dividend yield.

Price sits at $1.82, near the low end of its $1.61 - $4.41 52-week range, with a 1.97% dividend yield.. When you look under the hood at BGIN, Fundamental Cash Engine is 7/20 with 0.0% gross margins and -35.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (3/20) has been quietly accumulating below $4.41. My 12M target is $2.13.

RetailWhale_TX πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” BGIN's 5/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.51 (-14.2%)
Spot @ $1.76

Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 and ROIC of -35% signal weak forensic health and negative capital returns.

Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 and ROIC of -35% signal weak forensic health and negative capital returns.. Look at the math on BGIN: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -35.0% ROIC and -60.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Finance: Consumer Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $1.55 before getting long.

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