MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 22h ago
Why B&G Foods (BGS) Shares Are Trading Lower TodayYahoo Finance report covering B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why BGS Stock surged +3.88% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$2.41 +3.88% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.42
B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 29/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $188.6M
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BGS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
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Is BGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, B&G Foods Inc. (NYSE: BGS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $2.41 (+3.88% 1D, market cap $188.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, BGS ranks #130 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does BGS compare to OTLY and MED in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), BGS carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 21.8%, and ROIC of 3.3%. By comparison, OTLY (Oatly Group AB) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $247.3M) and MED (MEDIFAST INC) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.2%, cap $135.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BGS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BGS leads on capital efficiency (3.3% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BGS?
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Per BGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001278027), B&G Foods Inc. generated $1.83B in revenue (-5.4% YoY), -$43.3M in net income, and $70.7M in free cash flow against $2.83B in total assets and $1.95B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.42 (+0.51%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 3.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (29/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BGS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (29/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BGS SCORES 29/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (24% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.9% FCF Margin ($70.7M FCF) & 21.8% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+7/20 pts (24% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 35% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$2.43-9.9% Next Q
37
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$2.19-5% Next Q
34
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$2.08+15.9% Next Q
32
CurrentGrade E$2.41-9.8% Hist 90D α
29
Trajectory: E (37) → E (29)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BGS Turnaround Squeeze
While BGS currently carries a cautious 29/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.79) and Max Pain ($2.53) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.70.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BGS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BGS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 2, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why BGS Stock surged +3.88% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) surged +3.88% to $2.41, trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($1.99 – $6.38). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($1.99 – $6.38) with RSI-14 at 44.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±11.8% around $2.41 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 21.8% gross margin and $70.7M annual free cash flow.
Live BGS Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREStockInvest.us • 1d ago
B&g Foods Stock Price Forecast. Should You Buy BGS?StockInvest.us report covering B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRETradingView • 1d ago
B&G Foods, Inc. Estimates – NYSE:BGSTradingView report covering B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RISK WATCHYahoo Finance • 1d ago
B&G Foods (BGS) Stock Fair Value Moves Lower After Analyst Target CutsYahoo Finance report covering B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREMoomoo • 1d ago
B&G Foods(BGS) Stock Options Chain | Quotes & NewsMoomoo report covering B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRESeeking Alpha • 1d ago
B&G Foods sells more assets as looks to simplify the portfolio (BGS:NYSE)Seeking Alpha report covering B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRESimply Wall St • 1d ago
B&G Foods (NYSE:BGS) Stock Forecast & Analyst PredictionsSimply Wall St report covering B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREStock Titan • 1d ago
Green Giant Canada stays with B&G Foods after sale deal endsStock Titan report covering B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTYahoo • 5d ago
B&G Foods Declares Regular Quarterly DividendPARSIPPANY, N.J., October 28, 2026--B&G Foods, Inc. (NYSE: BGS) announced today that its Board of Directors has declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.095 per share of common stock. The dividend is payable on J
MARKET WIREYahoo • 6d ago
B&G Foods Announces Date of Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference CallPARSIPPANY, N.J., October 27, 2026--B&G Foods, Inc. (NYSE: BGS) announced today that it intends to issue a press release with third quarter 2026 financial results after the market close on Tuesday, November 10, 2026. B&G
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BGS)
- ✓Walkthrough of BGS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BGS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -55.04%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $2.26H $2.41L $2.26C $2.41VOL 2.62M
RES: $2.95SUP: $1.82SMA50: $2.79SMA200: $4.08
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
BGS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
14.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -5.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BGS today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BGS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BGS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BGS)
Consumer Staples Rank #130 of 147
⚔️ OTLY vs BGS Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (BGS vs. OTLY, MED, BYND, AFRI)
Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) ranks #130 by composite RQD confidence (29/100, grade E) and #99 by equity capitalization ($188.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BGS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while BGS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.3% ROIC and 21.8% gross margin. MED currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with BGS at 29/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGS
ACTIVE
B&G Foods Inc. | E | 29/100 | — | 21.8% | 3.3% | +3.88% | $188.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| OTLY Oatly Group AB | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | -0.52% | $247.3M | /otly-vs-bgs → |
| MED MEDIFAST INC | D | 48/100 | — | 71.3% | -10.2% | +3.13% | $135.9M | /med-vs-bgs → |
| BYND Beyond Meat Inc. | E | 29/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +2.03% | $118.8M | /bynd-vs-bgs → |
| AFRI Forafric Global PLC | E | 24/100 | — | 10.4% | -16.5% | -1.04% | $337.3M | /afri-vs-bgs → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-03 • CIK 0001278027 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03), B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.83B (-5.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.93B , and -11.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$43.3M, operating cash flow of $101.4M, and free cash flow of $70.7M (-31.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, BGS closed FY2025 with $2.83B in total assets against $1.95B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.24, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-01-03 | $1.83B | -$43.3M | $101.4M | $70.7M | $2.83B | $1.95B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-12-28 | $1.93B | -$251.3M | $130.9M | $103.7M | $2.99B | $2.01B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-12-30 | $2.06B | -$66.2M | $247.8M | $247.8M | — | — |
3. BGS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs BGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, B&G Foods Inc. (NYSE: BGS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $2.41 (+3.88% 1D, market cap $188.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, BGS ranks #130 in composite RQD confidence.
How does BGS compare to OTLY and MED in the Consumer Staples sector?
Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), BGS carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 21.8%, and ROIC of 3.3%. By comparison, OTLY (Oatly Group AB) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $247.3M) and MED (MEDIFAST INC) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.2%, cap $135.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BGS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BGS leads on capital efficiency (3.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BGS?
Per BGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001278027), B&G Foods Inc. generated $1.83B in revenue (-5.4% YoY), -$43.3M in net income, and $70.7M in free cash flow against $2.83B in total assets and $1.95B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is BGS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
BGS last traded at $2.41 (+3.88% on volume of 1,814,088 shares), positioning the stock -13.62% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.79) and -40.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.08). Across its 52-week range of $1.99 to $6.38, BGS sits at the 9.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.8% ($2.13 to $2.69).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 29/100 (E)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
BGS — B&G Foods Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-01-03
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 29/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $2.41 (+3.88% 1D, market capitalization $188.6M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.3%, gross margin of 21.8%, operating margin of 5.3%, and free cash flow yield of —.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (7/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (6/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.24, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 4.30x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
B&G Foods Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector, operating in the Packaged Foods industry,. The company's product lines, customer base, and revenue model are — The profile identifies the market capitalization as $0.2B. Reported revenue was $1.83B for FY 2025.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-01-03), B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) reported $1.83B in annual revenue (up from $1.93B in FY2024, -5.4% YoY) and -$43.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.06B revenue, -$66.2M net income) through FY2025, BGS scaled operating cash flow to $101.4M and free cash flow to $70.7M, backed by $2.83B in total assets against $1.95B in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 29/100): Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.99 – $6.38 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 16.8x EV/EBITDA against 5.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations beyond the Consumer Staples and Packaged Foods classification are — The second-order risk visible in the data is financial rather than supply-chain: the debt load relative to cash and the negative net income across periods mean that any operating or refinancing disruption would transmit directly to the equity, a dependency the source data documents through the balance sheet metrics rather than through named counterparties.
- Key Question #1: Can BGS sustain or expand its 5.3% operating margin and 3.3% ROIC against Packaged Foods peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.83B and free cash flow of $70.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.95B in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is BGS's equity valuation to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
BGS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 22h ago
Why B&G Foods (BGS) Shares Are Trading Lower Today Yahoo Finance report covering B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE StockInvest.us • 1d ago
B&g Foods Stock Price Forecast. Should You Buy BGS? StockInvest.us report covering B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago
B&G Foods, Inc. Estimates – NYSE:BGS TradingView report covering B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
B&G Foods (BGS) Stock Fair Value Moves Lower After Analyst Target Cuts Yahoo Finance report covering B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Moomoo • 1d ago
B&G Foods(BGS) Stock Options Chain | Quotes & News Moomoo report covering B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago
B&G Foods sells more assets as looks to simplify the portfolio (BGS:NYSE) Seeking Alpha report covering B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago
B&G Foods (NYSE:BGS) Stock Forecast & Analyst Predictions Simply Wall St report covering B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago
Green Giant Canada stays with B&G Foods after sale deal ends Stock Titan report covering B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
BGS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.41?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BGS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $2.90 (+25.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate The stock rose 9.71% on the day and its 52-week low of $1.99 sits well below the $2.26 price, indicating momentum off recent lows.
Don't sleep on BGS's setup in Consumer Staples. The stock rose 9.71% on the day and its 52-week low of $1.99 sits well below the $2.26 price, indicating momentum off recent lows.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (29/100) backs up the fundamental quality.
RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL
Both sides have a point here — BGS's 6/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $1.97 (-15.1%)
Spot @ $2.32 A Z-Score of 1.24 with debt of $1.95B against cash of $56.3M and a 0% FCF yield signals forensic balance-sheet stress.
Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on BGS: A Z-Score of 1.24 with debt of $1.95B against cash of $56.3M and a 0% FCF yield signals forensic balance-sheet stress.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Packaged Foods triggers a 12-15% air pocket.